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LONG RUN IMPACT OF SHARE QUYBACK INITIATION TOWARD THE SHARE PRICE OF FIRMS LISTED IN KUALA LUMPUR STOCK EXCHANGE
Chong Chuan ei
shy
HG 6015
Corporate Master in C548
Business Administration 2013 2013
PJ~~1atMaklumat Akademik MALAYSIA SARAWAK
LONG RUN IMPACT OF SHARE BUYBACK INITIATION TOWARD THE SHARE PRICE
OF FIRMS LISTED IN KUALA LUMPUR STOCK EXCHANGE
PKHIDMAT MAKLUMAT AKADEMIK
1llllllIllliri~1111111I1 1000246892
CHONG CHUAN WEI
A thesis submitted
In fulfilment of the requirements for the degree of Corporate Master in Business Administration
bull ~ bullbull - ltshy
1 _ bullbull
Faculty of Economics and Business
UNIVERSITI MALA YSIASARAW AK
2013
Statement of Originality
The work describe in this project entitled
Long Run Impact of Share Buyback Initiation toward the Share Price of Firms t Listed in Kuala Lumpur Stock Exchange
is to the best of the author s knowledge that of the author except
where due reference is made
May 292013 Chong Chuan Wei 11031806
shy v
~ l
-
I - bull
r
ABSTRAK
Impak J(Jngka Pangjang Pembelian Balik Saham kepada Harga Saham Syarikat
tersenarai di Bursa Malaysia
Oleh
Chong Chuan Wei
Kajiall ini dijalankan untuk cuba menyiasat dan menilai impak jangka pangjang
daripada pembelian baik saham terhadap harga syarikat yang terdapat di Bursa
Malaysia Kajian ini melibatkan syarikat yang menjalankan pembelian balik saham dari
tahull 1999 sehingga tahun 2008 di Bursa Malaysia Harga syarikat akan direkod
mengikut bulan selama tiga tahun selepas pembelian pertama dijalankan Kemlldian
rekod harga saham illi akan dikira dengall menggunakan formula Buy-and-Hold BHR
dan Buy-and-Hold Abnormal Return BHAR menggunakan Kuala Lumpur Komposite
Indeks KLCI sebagai penanda aras Nilai t-statistik dikira untuk menentukan kewujudan
BHAR Nilai t-statistik menunjukkan nilai BHAR tidak sama dengan kosong Selepas ilu
nilai BHAR akan diregresi dengan nisbah buku-kepada-pasaran dan jumlah nilai
pasaran Selepas menjalankan ujian regresi tersebut kesimpulan menunjukkan bahawa
nisbah bukll-kepada-pasaran dan i]lmlah harga pasaran mempunyai kesan terhadap
~ l
BHAR
Kata kunci Pembelian Balik Saham BHR BHAR buku-kepada-pasaran harga pasaran
ABSTRACT
Long Run Impact of Share Buyback Initiation toward the Share Price of Firms Listed in Kuala Lumpur Stock Exchange
By
Chong Chuan Wei
(ThiS paper is attempted to investigate and e~aluate the long run impact of share buyback
initiation toward the share price of firms in Kuala Lumpur Stock Exchange This
research involves firms that initiated share buyback from the year of 1999 until 2008 in
Kuala Lumpur Stock EXChang~The share price is recorded every month for three years
after the first share buyback is carried out The recorded share price will later be
calculated with formula of Buy-and-Hold BHR and Buy-and-Hold Abnormal Return
BHAR by using Kuala Lumpur Composite Index as the benchmark T -statistic value is
computed manually to show the existence of BHAR value The t-statistic value computed
showed that BHAR value is not equal to zero After that BHAR value is regressed with
book-to-market ratio and market value of the firmmiddot Aftltrro~ out the regression the J L
t
conclusion found that both Book-to-Market and Market Value show relationship with
share price
Keywords Share Buyback BHR BHAR Book-to-MarketMarket Value
t f
ACKNOWLEGMENT
In the effort of making this study successful I would like to express my sincere
appreciation to my supervisor Dr Mohamad Jais for his guidance and support in the
whole process of this study Even though Dr Mohamad Jais was busy I am glad that he is
always willing to spend some time with me to discuss the study The expertise and
knowledge of my supervisor has benefited me to complete this study on time Dr
Mohamad Jais has provided me meaningful insight of the research
Besides that I would also like to express my appreciation to my course mates that
provided me valuable ideas and suggestions Furthermore I would like to express my
gratitude to my family members for their understanding and morale support in
completing this study The help and patie~ce given had strengthened me to complete this
study successfully
-
I l bull I
Pusat Khidmat Maklumat Akademik UNlVERSm MALAYSIA SARAWAK
TABLE OF CONTENTS
ABSTRACT
ABSTRAK
ACKNOWLEDMENT
CHAPTER 1 INTRODUCTION 11 OVERVIEW
12 BACKGROUND OF THE STUDY 4
713 PROBLEM STATEMENT
14 OBJECTIVE OF THE STUDY 8
15 SIGNIFICANCE OF THE STUDY 8
916 SCOPE OF THE STUDY
17 ORGANIZATION OF THE CHt-PTER 10
CHAPTER 2 LITERATURE REVIEW
21 OVERVIEW 11
22 THEORIES ON THE MOTIVES OF SHARE BUYBACK THAT 12
SUPPORT EXISTENCE OF ABNORMAL RETURNS
23 ANNOUNCEMENT IMPACTS 14 - y bull bull Y I shy bull
1 ~t bull bull
24 PRIOR STUDY ON ABNORMAL RETURN OF SHARE BUYBACK 16
FIRMS IN KLSE
25 CUMULATIVE ABNORMAL RETURN (CAR) VERSUS BUY AND 18
HOLD ABNORMAL RETURN (BHARf
1 bull ( I I
i
26 SUMMARY 20
CHAPTER 3 rnTHODOLOGY
31 OVERVIEW 21
32 DATA DESCRIPTION 21
33 METHODOLOGY 22
34 THEORETICAL FRAMEWORK
35 EMPIRICAL MODEL FOR CROSS REGRESSION
26
26
36 HYPOTHESIS DEVELOPMENT 27
37 SUMMARY 28
CHAPTER 4 RESULTS AND DISCUSSION
41 OVERVIEW 29
42 AVERAGE BUY-AND-HOLD ABNORMAL RETURNS ON THE
LONG RUN PERFORMANCE 29
43 RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN BHAR WITH MARKET VALUE AND
BOOK-TO-MARKET RATIO 32
44 SUMMARY 35
CHAPTER 5 DISCUSSION_ IMPLICATIONS LIMITATION AND
RECOMMEDA TION
51 INTRODUCTION
J
bull H
36
52 DISCUSSION 36
53 IMPLICATIONS 36 54 LImITATIONS AND RECOMMENDATION OF THE STUDY 37
55 CONCLUSION 38
~ ~
I 1 1 bull t middot
--
LIST OF TABLES
TABLE 11 mANGES IN LAWS REGARDING SHARE REPURCHASE 2
FROM 1995 TO 2001 IN THE SELECTED COUNTRIES
TABLE 31 THE DISTRIBUTION OF LISTED COMPANIES IN KLSE THAT 22
INITIA TED SHARE BUYBACK PROGRAM FROM THE YEAR
1999 UNTIL 2008
TABLE 41 DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS OF BHAR OF INDIVIDUAL YEAR 30
FROM 1999 TO 2008
TABLE 42 DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS OF BHR AND BHAR FROM 1 31
YEAR TO 3 YEAR AFTER SHARE BUYBACK INITIATION
TABLE 43 CORRELATION TEST BETWEEN BHAR LMV AND BTM 32
TABLE 44 DESCRIPTIVE STATISTIC OF 3 YEAR BHAR WITH 33
DIFFERENT CATEGORY OF BTM VALUE
TABLE 45 DESCRIPTIVE STATISTIC OF 3 YEAR BHAR WITH 33
DIFFERENT CATEGORY OF MV
TABLE 46 ESTIMATION RESULTS ON THE REGRESSION BETWEEN 34
BHAR AND THE INDEPENDENT X~B~S I bullbullL I
I
bull bull
I
I
LIST OF DIAGRAM
DIAGRAM 341 RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN BUY -AND-HOLD ABNORMAL 26
RETURN WITH NATURAL LOGARITHM OF MARKET
VALUE AND BOOK-TO-MARKET RATIO
~
I
LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS
middotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddot middot-middotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddot-middot---middotmiddot-middot--middotmiddotr-middotmiddot~-middotmiddotmiddot~-middotmiddot-middot- -----------------------_shy middotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddot1
Abbreviation i Description
1-- - -~--l--- ---- ------ -- -------- -- ~
l_~~~ _ ____ Icumulati~~~~~orma~ ~eturn ______ ____ I BHR I Buy-and-Hold Return
middotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddot _ _middotmiddot_ -middot---middotf[SHAR---- ------l Buy~a~d=HoidAb~_~aTmiddotRetu
_ _- _ _- j_-_ r-LMV ---middot ----middot--r Nat~~al L--garithmmiddot~f M~k~tVal~~
---- shy[S-TM --------middotr Book-t~~Ma~ket~ati~ middot---middot middot----- middotmiddotmiddot-middotmiddotmiddot-middotmiddotmiddot- 1I l_ _____________ J _____ ___ __ _______ ___ _ ____1
1-- j bull
-
CHAPTER 1
INTRODUCTION
10 Overview
Share repurchase happened when a company bJ ys back its own shares Then the
company has the options either to cancel or hold them as treasury share that can be reshy
issued next time (Atrill 2009) Share buyback is one of the popular options besides
giving dividend for company who wish to distribute cash back to the shareholder
Jagannathan (2000) found out that open market repurchases in United States is pro-
cyclical and used by firms with higher temporary and non-operating cash flows
compare to dividend that tends to increase steadily over time and preferred by the firms
with higher permanent operating cash flows Jagannathan (2000) stated that share
repurchase usually happen following poor stock market performance while dividends
normally increase after good company perfonnance (cited in Vemimmen Quiry
Dallocchio Fur amp Salvi 2009)
According to Damodaran (200 I) there are basically three types of share buyback
process as below
(a) open-market repurchase by buying only a s~~ll~n~~il(6~omiddotoutStaDding stock in bull
the open market _
bull tmiddot
(b) tender offer where a finn plan to repurchase a large amount of the outstanding stock
for example 10 or more The finn will announce to the shareholders by specifying the
details like prte amount and duration of the repurchase
(c) negotiated repurchases is less widely used as the finn will negotiate with one of its
stockholder who owns a substantial amount of the shanes
Much of the prior studies had showed that share buyback has increased popularity
for finns to distribute cash rather than cash dividend Skinner (2008) had compared share
buyback and dividend in United States where he reviewed that amount of annual share
buyback value has exceeded cash dividend proving that share buyback has become the
preferred choice to distribute cash back to the shareholders (cited in Eije amp Megginson
2008) Evidence on popularity of share repurchase is easily observed from research by
Sabri (2003) as more countries changetf their law regarding share repurchase as
mentioned in the table below
Table 11
Changes in laws regarding share repurchase from 1995 to 2001 in the selected countries
Country
Australia
Effective Year 1995
Major changes
Deregulate the ~haIe- repUroha9ltt4ftVolv~PK [~moval of 10 limit
Denmark 2000 New Law on share repurchases applied since March 2000
Finland 1997 Companies shares
are pennitted to repurchase their own
Germany 1998 1998
1998
Change in tax regulation in favor of buyback shares Companies are pennitted to repurchase their own shares Modify th~ Security Act(STA 1998) related to
2
India
Japan
Netherlands Norway
Malaysia
Singapore
New Zealand Sweden
South Africa
Taiwan
1999
1995
2001 1999
1997
1998
1999
2000 1999 2000
1999
2000
disclosures of finns buy its own share Companies are pennitted to repurchase their own shares Companies are pennitted to repurchase their own shares Changes in Tax laws to encourage buybacks of shares Companies are pennitted to repurchase their own shares A public listed companies to repurchase its own shares or to give finallcial assistance to other persons to repurchase its own shares Companies are pennitted to repurchase their own shares Approving revision of share buybacks by Singapore Monterey Authority Issue tax treatment of buyback shares The buybacks of own shares law was amended Listed companies are pennitted to repurchase their own shares Listed companies are allowed to repurchase their own share by changing the companies Act of 1973 Listed companies are allowed to repurchase their own share
United Kingdom 1999 A consultation paper regard that Investment companies middotto be allowed to repurchase their own shares using capital profits
1996 A consultation paper regard to financial assistance by a company for the acquisition its own share
Sources Adopted from the finding by Sabri (2003) Using Treasury Repurchase Share to Stabilize
Stock Markets International Journal Of Business 8(4) 2003
There are also lots of studies that reviewed the purpose of inns repurchasing their
shares Among those Vemimmen Quiry Dallocchio Fur and Salvi (2009) stated several
possible reasons for share buybacks as below bull pr bull ~
(a) lack of better investment opportunity that cause Jllanager return excess funds for
shareholders to seek investment elsewhere
(b) managers give signal for goods news in future believing the shares are undervalued I
3
- I
(c) tax incentive as share buy backs is not taxable compare to paying dividend
(d) transferring value between shareholders who refuse to sell and shareholders who
~
accept the offer
(e) change leverage ratio by adjusting amount of equity
(t) prevent take over
(g) counter the dilution effect of share options
(h) provide managers tlexibiiity to make small adjustments in the capital structure and
etc
Generally share repurchase is believed to help the company achieving increase
in earnings per share (PIE) as the number of outstanding equity reduces However there are also arguments about this manipulation where the increase of PIE ratio is
accompanied with higher debt ratio which will post risk to the stability of the company
(Demodaran 2001)
12 Background of the study
Since share buyback was allowed in Malaysia on 1 September 1997 it is
increasingly gaining attention as compani~s st~ftea fo middotbii~~ its ~aros in large volume Based on the study by Is~ Ghani a~~ Lee on Malaysia listed company from
2001 to 2005 there were 149 firms with a total of 17864 repurchases days and total
purchase of 2309313664 shares This number is expected to increase as share
t I bull
4
=-shy I
pusat Khidmat Maklumat Akade~ UNIVERSm MALAYSIA SARAW
repurchase evolved to become a useful financial tool that is carried out by the
management to distribute excess cash to shareholders other than paying dividend
As share buyback is becoming commonly carried out many researches have been
done on announcement impact of share buyback Some the researches also reviewed that
share buyback announcement may not be carried ou as stated and hence it did not
generate positive impacts to the share price in the long run (Zhang 2002) Much fewer
researches were done on long tenn impact of actual share buyback as it required
significant amount of data that some stock exchange did not enclose
Although open market share repurchase is regularly being studied in United
States researchers nonnally encounter trouble in getting actual repurchase data as United
States has a general lack of disclosure requirement associated with share repurchase In
United States listed finn can buy back its own shares without making any
announcements and finns that already made announcements are under no obligation to
implement their proposed plans (Brockman amp Chung 2012) Thus this is difficult for
researcher to study the impact of actual share repurchases especially those that require
detail timing prices or magnitudes of the repurchases
In my study the issue of data does not occur as KLSE has a full disclosure on
share buyback In Malaysia a listed corporation middotltfanoniY1Ufcbas4its Qwn shares after ~ t middot t
getting authorization of its shareholders in a general meeting The share repurchase is
subject to rules under the Companies Act 1965 section 67 A and Part lIlA of the
Companies Regulations 1966 The shareholders will be infonned either through a
statement accompanying its notice of general meeting or a circular After the general
5
meeting that is called to consider the proposed share repurchase the listed corporation
must implediately announce the outcome to the stock exchange A listed corporation in
KLSE is only aJ1owed to purchase or hold not more than 10 of its issued and paid-up
capital
After a repurchase is carried out the listed corporation must immediately
announce to KLSE not later than 630pm on the day the purchase is made This
announcement will have to contain the detail as below
(a) date of purchase
(b) description of shares purchased
(0) number of shares purchased
(d) price of each share or where relevant the highest and lowest price paid
(e) total consideration paid
(0 number of shares purchased retained in treasury
(g) number of share purchased which are proposed to be cancelled
(h) cumulative net outstanding treasury s~ares at the date of notification where ~~ - ~ ~~
j bull bull L t
applicable
(i) where all or any of the shares are proposed to be cancelled the adjusted share capital
bull t r I
lt bull
6
13 Problem statement
Studyon abnormal return of share price for share buyback firms had been carried
out numerously across the countries that initiated share buyback Much of these studies
had indicated that there exists positive return on the share price either short run or long
run after share buyback announcement or actual sh~re buyback initiation Most of the
previous studies about share buyback in Malaysia were focus on share buyback
announcement and short term studies following the actual share repurchases As Malaysia
only allowed share buyback since 1 September 1997 it posts difficulties for the previous
researchers to study on the long run impacts after share buyback initiation as limited
numbers of data is available Therefore research on long run impact is crucial to clarify
whether there exits any long run abnormal return by comparing with the Kuala Lumpur
Composite Index KLCI as the benchmark
Other than that obtaining abnormal return is always the primary aim of deciding
any stock investment By assuming management has better timing and upfront
infonnation share repurchase would signal a good entry to gain an abnormal return
Therefore this study will benefit all the market participants towards long run impact of
share buyback initiation With data easily available in the Kuala Lumpur Stock
Exchange KLSE website it will be an in~eres~i~g topic to discover the relationship of - -111 ~ II
actual share buyback and its share price
- In order to streamline the large numbers of share buyback companies and further
identify those that really contribute to abnormal return characteristics of those companies
are investigated as well The long run return computed will be later linked to the specific i_ [ I
7
characteristic of these individual companies namely book-to-market ratio (BTM) and
marketyalue (MV) which are characteristics commonly study in the prior studies
14 Research Objectives
141 General Objective
This study aims to determine the long run abnormal return for firms that chose to initiate
share buyback program from 1999 to 2008 in Kuala Lumpur Stock Exchange
142 Specific Objectives
(a) To investigate the long run abnormal return of share repurchases to share price of
the repurchase firms from 1999 to 2008
(b) Investigate the relationship of long run abnormal return of share buyback companies with its market value (MV) and book-to-market (BTM) ratio
15 Significant of the study
As share buyback only initiated in Kuala Lumpur Exchange (KLSE) since 1997
very few publish journal have been done to review its relationship with its share price
Only few published journal was found to study on the short term announcement impact
using Cumulative Abnormal Return CAR This itpto15abiyo6e1hthe srn~JJI1umber of companies participating in share b~yback when the prsram is approved that become
limitation to the previous study As a result there exists the need to study the impact of
share buyback to the share price in a longer duration
If
) ~
8
_ - - - --
Other than that as investors always looking for indicators to achieve abnonnal
retuTJ in the stock market share repurchase that is said to have signaling effect will
probably be agood sign to buy or sell a stock Asymmetry infonnation lead many market
participants especially the retail investor to confuse on the intention of share buyback It
is still unknown whether share buyback really benefited the shareholders This proves
that it is important for this study to examine whether there exist any long run abnonnal
return after share buyback initiation so that it can be used as an indicator for market
participants
16 Scope of the study
This study intends to examine the long run impact of actual share buyback
initiation towards its share price of listed companies in Kuala Lumpur Exchange (KLSE)
The share buyback companies that will be covered are from 1 January 1999 until 31
December 2008 Each of these share buyback company will later be tracked down for
monthly perfonnance using Buy-and-Hold Abnonnal Return(BHAR) method starting
from the first day of initiating share buyback program until for the end of the three years
to examine the long run impact of share repurchase towards its share price Each of this
BHAR value will later be regressed with the book-to-market ratio (BTM) and natural
logarithm of market value (MV) to examine the ~~istence of any relationship bull ~ ~ j-
l ~ l i
I I bull
9
=========~--- ---- -- ----------------==-----------shy
17 Organization of the chapter
Chapt~r one covers introduction on the concept of share repurchase and the
happening around the listed nations It will also involve list of related research and issue
on share repurchase Chapter two involves literature review about the previous research It will review
several theories on share buyback that support existence of positive return research on
impact of announcement and actual repurchase characteristics of the share buyback
companies that possess abnormal returns the methodologies and others
Chapter 3 contains discussion on data coHection where the source will be stated
clearly The theoretical framework will be reviewed in detail follow by the derivation of
empirical model of this study and the method to be used for this study
Chapter 4 contains the result and detail discussion by compare and contrast with
previous findings The empirical result will be interpreted and discussed
Chapter 5 will contain the conclusion of this study policy implications and
limitation of the study
y ~ ~
bull [~ I
~ o
10
CHAPTER 2
LITERATURE REVIEW
21 Overview
As share buyback only initiated in Malaysia on 1997 after Asian Financial Crisis
there are still very few published journals found related to the issue of share buyback in
Malaysia One of the few published journal found is Market Reaction to Actual Share
Repurchase in Malaysia by Isa Ghani and Lee in 2011 which also stated in the journal
that they only found a published journal before their study which is Price Reaction to
Stock Repurchases Evidence from KLSE done by Lim and Bacha in 2002
In this chapter discussion will be started with motives behind the initiation of
share buyback that support existence of abnormal returns followed with previous finding
on the performance of share price following share repurchase As mentioned previously
due to relatively few published journal abotrt share repurchase in the Malaysia context
much of the argument will be based on previous research done in foreign countries that
may have some different behaviours from Malaysias situation
I
II
22 Theories on the motives of share buyback that support existence of abnormal
returns There e many theories about the reasons a company conducts a share buyback
Among the most popular theories that regularly being studied are signaling effects free
cash flows dividend substitution defensive strategies changing capital structures and
others In 2000 Ditmar did a research to test the motives of share buyback in United
States involving repurchase from the year 1977 till 1996 In his research he cited the
failure of previous research in determining the motives of share buyback where they only
tested a few motives neglecting other potential factors Therefore by using a censored
regression analysis he tested five motives of share buyback as below
(a) Excess Capital Hypothesis Repurchases and Distribution Policy
(b) Undervaluation Hypothesis Repurchases and Investment Policy
(c) Optimal Leverage Ratio Hypothesis Repurchases and Capital Structure Policy
(d) Management Incentive Hypothesis Repurchases and Compensation Policy
(e) Takeover Deterrence Hypothesis Repurchases and Corporate Control
Ditmar found out that it is possible that firms to repurchase stock for several reasons and
the statistics result support the hypothesis of excess capital the optimal leverage ratio the
undervaluation and the takeover deterrence
Lee and Suh in 20 II found that- the amOUI)ts of ~hare repurchases across countries bull - bull --- ~ bull ~1 bull 0
are significantly associated with large cash holdings Their study indicated that fmhs
across countries that repurchase share usually hold large amount of excess cash and
experience raised in amount of cash holdings prior to repurchases The increases in
excess cash appear to be achieved from decrease in capital ~xpen~iture instead of
l bull [ I I
12
PJ~~1atMaklumat Akademik MALAYSIA SARAWAK
LONG RUN IMPACT OF SHARE BUYBACK INITIATION TOWARD THE SHARE PRICE
OF FIRMS LISTED IN KUALA LUMPUR STOCK EXCHANGE
PKHIDMAT MAKLUMAT AKADEMIK
1llllllIllliri~1111111I1 1000246892
CHONG CHUAN WEI
A thesis submitted
In fulfilment of the requirements for the degree of Corporate Master in Business Administration
bull ~ bullbull - ltshy
1 _ bullbull
Faculty of Economics and Business
UNIVERSITI MALA YSIASARAW AK
2013
Statement of Originality
The work describe in this project entitled
Long Run Impact of Share Buyback Initiation toward the Share Price of Firms t Listed in Kuala Lumpur Stock Exchange
is to the best of the author s knowledge that of the author except
where due reference is made
May 292013 Chong Chuan Wei 11031806
shy v
~ l
-
I - bull
r
ABSTRAK
Impak J(Jngka Pangjang Pembelian Balik Saham kepada Harga Saham Syarikat
tersenarai di Bursa Malaysia
Oleh
Chong Chuan Wei
Kajiall ini dijalankan untuk cuba menyiasat dan menilai impak jangka pangjang
daripada pembelian baik saham terhadap harga syarikat yang terdapat di Bursa
Malaysia Kajian ini melibatkan syarikat yang menjalankan pembelian balik saham dari
tahull 1999 sehingga tahun 2008 di Bursa Malaysia Harga syarikat akan direkod
mengikut bulan selama tiga tahun selepas pembelian pertama dijalankan Kemlldian
rekod harga saham illi akan dikira dengall menggunakan formula Buy-and-Hold BHR
dan Buy-and-Hold Abnormal Return BHAR menggunakan Kuala Lumpur Komposite
Indeks KLCI sebagai penanda aras Nilai t-statistik dikira untuk menentukan kewujudan
BHAR Nilai t-statistik menunjukkan nilai BHAR tidak sama dengan kosong Selepas ilu
nilai BHAR akan diregresi dengan nisbah buku-kepada-pasaran dan jumlah nilai
pasaran Selepas menjalankan ujian regresi tersebut kesimpulan menunjukkan bahawa
nisbah bukll-kepada-pasaran dan i]lmlah harga pasaran mempunyai kesan terhadap
~ l
BHAR
Kata kunci Pembelian Balik Saham BHR BHAR buku-kepada-pasaran harga pasaran
ABSTRACT
Long Run Impact of Share Buyback Initiation toward the Share Price of Firms Listed in Kuala Lumpur Stock Exchange
By
Chong Chuan Wei
(ThiS paper is attempted to investigate and e~aluate the long run impact of share buyback
initiation toward the share price of firms in Kuala Lumpur Stock Exchange This
research involves firms that initiated share buyback from the year of 1999 until 2008 in
Kuala Lumpur Stock EXChang~The share price is recorded every month for three years
after the first share buyback is carried out The recorded share price will later be
calculated with formula of Buy-and-Hold BHR and Buy-and-Hold Abnormal Return
BHAR by using Kuala Lumpur Composite Index as the benchmark T -statistic value is
computed manually to show the existence of BHAR value The t-statistic value computed
showed that BHAR value is not equal to zero After that BHAR value is regressed with
book-to-market ratio and market value of the firmmiddot Aftltrro~ out the regression the J L
t
conclusion found that both Book-to-Market and Market Value show relationship with
share price
Keywords Share Buyback BHR BHAR Book-to-MarketMarket Value
t f
ACKNOWLEGMENT
In the effort of making this study successful I would like to express my sincere
appreciation to my supervisor Dr Mohamad Jais for his guidance and support in the
whole process of this study Even though Dr Mohamad Jais was busy I am glad that he is
always willing to spend some time with me to discuss the study The expertise and
knowledge of my supervisor has benefited me to complete this study on time Dr
Mohamad Jais has provided me meaningful insight of the research
Besides that I would also like to express my appreciation to my course mates that
provided me valuable ideas and suggestions Furthermore I would like to express my
gratitude to my family members for their understanding and morale support in
completing this study The help and patie~ce given had strengthened me to complete this
study successfully
-
I l bull I
Pusat Khidmat Maklumat Akademik UNlVERSm MALAYSIA SARAWAK
TABLE OF CONTENTS
ABSTRACT
ABSTRAK
ACKNOWLEDMENT
CHAPTER 1 INTRODUCTION 11 OVERVIEW
12 BACKGROUND OF THE STUDY 4
713 PROBLEM STATEMENT
14 OBJECTIVE OF THE STUDY 8
15 SIGNIFICANCE OF THE STUDY 8
916 SCOPE OF THE STUDY
17 ORGANIZATION OF THE CHt-PTER 10
CHAPTER 2 LITERATURE REVIEW
21 OVERVIEW 11
22 THEORIES ON THE MOTIVES OF SHARE BUYBACK THAT 12
SUPPORT EXISTENCE OF ABNORMAL RETURNS
23 ANNOUNCEMENT IMPACTS 14 - y bull bull Y I shy bull
1 ~t bull bull
24 PRIOR STUDY ON ABNORMAL RETURN OF SHARE BUYBACK 16
FIRMS IN KLSE
25 CUMULATIVE ABNORMAL RETURN (CAR) VERSUS BUY AND 18
HOLD ABNORMAL RETURN (BHARf
1 bull ( I I
i
26 SUMMARY 20
CHAPTER 3 rnTHODOLOGY
31 OVERVIEW 21
32 DATA DESCRIPTION 21
33 METHODOLOGY 22
34 THEORETICAL FRAMEWORK
35 EMPIRICAL MODEL FOR CROSS REGRESSION
26
26
36 HYPOTHESIS DEVELOPMENT 27
37 SUMMARY 28
CHAPTER 4 RESULTS AND DISCUSSION
41 OVERVIEW 29
42 AVERAGE BUY-AND-HOLD ABNORMAL RETURNS ON THE
LONG RUN PERFORMANCE 29
43 RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN BHAR WITH MARKET VALUE AND
BOOK-TO-MARKET RATIO 32
44 SUMMARY 35
CHAPTER 5 DISCUSSION_ IMPLICATIONS LIMITATION AND
RECOMMEDA TION
51 INTRODUCTION
J
bull H
36
52 DISCUSSION 36
53 IMPLICATIONS 36 54 LImITATIONS AND RECOMMENDATION OF THE STUDY 37
55 CONCLUSION 38
~ ~
I 1 1 bull t middot
--
LIST OF TABLES
TABLE 11 mANGES IN LAWS REGARDING SHARE REPURCHASE 2
FROM 1995 TO 2001 IN THE SELECTED COUNTRIES
TABLE 31 THE DISTRIBUTION OF LISTED COMPANIES IN KLSE THAT 22
INITIA TED SHARE BUYBACK PROGRAM FROM THE YEAR
1999 UNTIL 2008
TABLE 41 DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS OF BHAR OF INDIVIDUAL YEAR 30
FROM 1999 TO 2008
TABLE 42 DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS OF BHR AND BHAR FROM 1 31
YEAR TO 3 YEAR AFTER SHARE BUYBACK INITIATION
TABLE 43 CORRELATION TEST BETWEEN BHAR LMV AND BTM 32
TABLE 44 DESCRIPTIVE STATISTIC OF 3 YEAR BHAR WITH 33
DIFFERENT CATEGORY OF BTM VALUE
TABLE 45 DESCRIPTIVE STATISTIC OF 3 YEAR BHAR WITH 33
DIFFERENT CATEGORY OF MV
TABLE 46 ESTIMATION RESULTS ON THE REGRESSION BETWEEN 34
BHAR AND THE INDEPENDENT X~B~S I bullbullL I
I
bull bull
I
I
LIST OF DIAGRAM
DIAGRAM 341 RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN BUY -AND-HOLD ABNORMAL 26
RETURN WITH NATURAL LOGARITHM OF MARKET
VALUE AND BOOK-TO-MARKET RATIO
~
I
LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS
middotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddot middot-middotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddot-middot---middotmiddot-middot--middotmiddotr-middotmiddot~-middotmiddotmiddot~-middotmiddot-middot- -----------------------_shy middotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddot1
Abbreviation i Description
1-- - -~--l--- ---- ------ -- -------- -- ~
l_~~~ _ ____ Icumulati~~~~~orma~ ~eturn ______ ____ I BHR I Buy-and-Hold Return
middotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddot _ _middotmiddot_ -middot---middotf[SHAR---- ------l Buy~a~d=HoidAb~_~aTmiddotRetu
_ _- _ _- j_-_ r-LMV ---middot ----middot--r Nat~~al L--garithmmiddot~f M~k~tVal~~
---- shy[S-TM --------middotr Book-t~~Ma~ket~ati~ middot---middot middot----- middotmiddotmiddot-middotmiddotmiddot-middotmiddotmiddot- 1I l_ _____________ J _____ ___ __ _______ ___ _ ____1
1-- j bull
-
CHAPTER 1
INTRODUCTION
10 Overview
Share repurchase happened when a company bJ ys back its own shares Then the
company has the options either to cancel or hold them as treasury share that can be reshy
issued next time (Atrill 2009) Share buyback is one of the popular options besides
giving dividend for company who wish to distribute cash back to the shareholder
Jagannathan (2000) found out that open market repurchases in United States is pro-
cyclical and used by firms with higher temporary and non-operating cash flows
compare to dividend that tends to increase steadily over time and preferred by the firms
with higher permanent operating cash flows Jagannathan (2000) stated that share
repurchase usually happen following poor stock market performance while dividends
normally increase after good company perfonnance (cited in Vemimmen Quiry
Dallocchio Fur amp Salvi 2009)
According to Damodaran (200 I) there are basically three types of share buyback
process as below
(a) open-market repurchase by buying only a s~~ll~n~~il(6~omiddotoutStaDding stock in bull
the open market _
bull tmiddot
(b) tender offer where a finn plan to repurchase a large amount of the outstanding stock
for example 10 or more The finn will announce to the shareholders by specifying the
details like prte amount and duration of the repurchase
(c) negotiated repurchases is less widely used as the finn will negotiate with one of its
stockholder who owns a substantial amount of the shanes
Much of the prior studies had showed that share buyback has increased popularity
for finns to distribute cash rather than cash dividend Skinner (2008) had compared share
buyback and dividend in United States where he reviewed that amount of annual share
buyback value has exceeded cash dividend proving that share buyback has become the
preferred choice to distribute cash back to the shareholders (cited in Eije amp Megginson
2008) Evidence on popularity of share repurchase is easily observed from research by
Sabri (2003) as more countries changetf their law regarding share repurchase as
mentioned in the table below
Table 11
Changes in laws regarding share repurchase from 1995 to 2001 in the selected countries
Country
Australia
Effective Year 1995
Major changes
Deregulate the ~haIe- repUroha9ltt4ftVolv~PK [~moval of 10 limit
Denmark 2000 New Law on share repurchases applied since March 2000
Finland 1997 Companies shares
are pennitted to repurchase their own
Germany 1998 1998
1998
Change in tax regulation in favor of buyback shares Companies are pennitted to repurchase their own shares Modify th~ Security Act(STA 1998) related to
2
India
Japan
Netherlands Norway
Malaysia
Singapore
New Zealand Sweden
South Africa
Taiwan
1999
1995
2001 1999
1997
1998
1999
2000 1999 2000
1999
2000
disclosures of finns buy its own share Companies are pennitted to repurchase their own shares Companies are pennitted to repurchase their own shares Changes in Tax laws to encourage buybacks of shares Companies are pennitted to repurchase their own shares A public listed companies to repurchase its own shares or to give finallcial assistance to other persons to repurchase its own shares Companies are pennitted to repurchase their own shares Approving revision of share buybacks by Singapore Monterey Authority Issue tax treatment of buyback shares The buybacks of own shares law was amended Listed companies are pennitted to repurchase their own shares Listed companies are allowed to repurchase their own share by changing the companies Act of 1973 Listed companies are allowed to repurchase their own share
United Kingdom 1999 A consultation paper regard that Investment companies middotto be allowed to repurchase their own shares using capital profits
1996 A consultation paper regard to financial assistance by a company for the acquisition its own share
Sources Adopted from the finding by Sabri (2003) Using Treasury Repurchase Share to Stabilize
Stock Markets International Journal Of Business 8(4) 2003
There are also lots of studies that reviewed the purpose of inns repurchasing their
shares Among those Vemimmen Quiry Dallocchio Fur and Salvi (2009) stated several
possible reasons for share buybacks as below bull pr bull ~
(a) lack of better investment opportunity that cause Jllanager return excess funds for
shareholders to seek investment elsewhere
(b) managers give signal for goods news in future believing the shares are undervalued I
3
- I
(c) tax incentive as share buy backs is not taxable compare to paying dividend
(d) transferring value between shareholders who refuse to sell and shareholders who
~
accept the offer
(e) change leverage ratio by adjusting amount of equity
(t) prevent take over
(g) counter the dilution effect of share options
(h) provide managers tlexibiiity to make small adjustments in the capital structure and
etc
Generally share repurchase is believed to help the company achieving increase
in earnings per share (PIE) as the number of outstanding equity reduces However there are also arguments about this manipulation where the increase of PIE ratio is
accompanied with higher debt ratio which will post risk to the stability of the company
(Demodaran 2001)
12 Background of the study
Since share buyback was allowed in Malaysia on 1 September 1997 it is
increasingly gaining attention as compani~s st~ftea fo middotbii~~ its ~aros in large volume Based on the study by Is~ Ghani a~~ Lee on Malaysia listed company from
2001 to 2005 there were 149 firms with a total of 17864 repurchases days and total
purchase of 2309313664 shares This number is expected to increase as share
t I bull
4
=-shy I
pusat Khidmat Maklumat Akade~ UNIVERSm MALAYSIA SARAW
repurchase evolved to become a useful financial tool that is carried out by the
management to distribute excess cash to shareholders other than paying dividend
As share buyback is becoming commonly carried out many researches have been
done on announcement impact of share buyback Some the researches also reviewed that
share buyback announcement may not be carried ou as stated and hence it did not
generate positive impacts to the share price in the long run (Zhang 2002) Much fewer
researches were done on long tenn impact of actual share buyback as it required
significant amount of data that some stock exchange did not enclose
Although open market share repurchase is regularly being studied in United
States researchers nonnally encounter trouble in getting actual repurchase data as United
States has a general lack of disclosure requirement associated with share repurchase In
United States listed finn can buy back its own shares without making any
announcements and finns that already made announcements are under no obligation to
implement their proposed plans (Brockman amp Chung 2012) Thus this is difficult for
researcher to study the impact of actual share repurchases especially those that require
detail timing prices or magnitudes of the repurchases
In my study the issue of data does not occur as KLSE has a full disclosure on
share buyback In Malaysia a listed corporation middotltfanoniY1Ufcbas4its Qwn shares after ~ t middot t
getting authorization of its shareholders in a general meeting The share repurchase is
subject to rules under the Companies Act 1965 section 67 A and Part lIlA of the
Companies Regulations 1966 The shareholders will be infonned either through a
statement accompanying its notice of general meeting or a circular After the general
5
meeting that is called to consider the proposed share repurchase the listed corporation
must implediately announce the outcome to the stock exchange A listed corporation in
KLSE is only aJ1owed to purchase or hold not more than 10 of its issued and paid-up
capital
After a repurchase is carried out the listed corporation must immediately
announce to KLSE not later than 630pm on the day the purchase is made This
announcement will have to contain the detail as below
(a) date of purchase
(b) description of shares purchased
(0) number of shares purchased
(d) price of each share or where relevant the highest and lowest price paid
(e) total consideration paid
(0 number of shares purchased retained in treasury
(g) number of share purchased which are proposed to be cancelled
(h) cumulative net outstanding treasury s~ares at the date of notification where ~~ - ~ ~~
j bull bull L t
applicable
(i) where all or any of the shares are proposed to be cancelled the adjusted share capital
bull t r I
lt bull
6
13 Problem statement
Studyon abnormal return of share price for share buyback firms had been carried
out numerously across the countries that initiated share buyback Much of these studies
had indicated that there exists positive return on the share price either short run or long
run after share buyback announcement or actual sh~re buyback initiation Most of the
previous studies about share buyback in Malaysia were focus on share buyback
announcement and short term studies following the actual share repurchases As Malaysia
only allowed share buyback since 1 September 1997 it posts difficulties for the previous
researchers to study on the long run impacts after share buyback initiation as limited
numbers of data is available Therefore research on long run impact is crucial to clarify
whether there exits any long run abnormal return by comparing with the Kuala Lumpur
Composite Index KLCI as the benchmark
Other than that obtaining abnormal return is always the primary aim of deciding
any stock investment By assuming management has better timing and upfront
infonnation share repurchase would signal a good entry to gain an abnormal return
Therefore this study will benefit all the market participants towards long run impact of
share buyback initiation With data easily available in the Kuala Lumpur Stock
Exchange KLSE website it will be an in~eres~i~g topic to discover the relationship of - -111 ~ II
actual share buyback and its share price
- In order to streamline the large numbers of share buyback companies and further
identify those that really contribute to abnormal return characteristics of those companies
are investigated as well The long run return computed will be later linked to the specific i_ [ I
7
characteristic of these individual companies namely book-to-market ratio (BTM) and
marketyalue (MV) which are characteristics commonly study in the prior studies
14 Research Objectives
141 General Objective
This study aims to determine the long run abnormal return for firms that chose to initiate
share buyback program from 1999 to 2008 in Kuala Lumpur Stock Exchange
142 Specific Objectives
(a) To investigate the long run abnormal return of share repurchases to share price of
the repurchase firms from 1999 to 2008
(b) Investigate the relationship of long run abnormal return of share buyback companies with its market value (MV) and book-to-market (BTM) ratio
15 Significant of the study
As share buyback only initiated in Kuala Lumpur Exchange (KLSE) since 1997
very few publish journal have been done to review its relationship with its share price
Only few published journal was found to study on the short term announcement impact
using Cumulative Abnormal Return CAR This itpto15abiyo6e1hthe srn~JJI1umber of companies participating in share b~yback when the prsram is approved that become
limitation to the previous study As a result there exists the need to study the impact of
share buyback to the share price in a longer duration
If
) ~
8
_ - - - --
Other than that as investors always looking for indicators to achieve abnonnal
retuTJ in the stock market share repurchase that is said to have signaling effect will
probably be agood sign to buy or sell a stock Asymmetry infonnation lead many market
participants especially the retail investor to confuse on the intention of share buyback It
is still unknown whether share buyback really benefited the shareholders This proves
that it is important for this study to examine whether there exist any long run abnonnal
return after share buyback initiation so that it can be used as an indicator for market
participants
16 Scope of the study
This study intends to examine the long run impact of actual share buyback
initiation towards its share price of listed companies in Kuala Lumpur Exchange (KLSE)
The share buyback companies that will be covered are from 1 January 1999 until 31
December 2008 Each of these share buyback company will later be tracked down for
monthly perfonnance using Buy-and-Hold Abnonnal Return(BHAR) method starting
from the first day of initiating share buyback program until for the end of the three years
to examine the long run impact of share repurchase towards its share price Each of this
BHAR value will later be regressed with the book-to-market ratio (BTM) and natural
logarithm of market value (MV) to examine the ~~istence of any relationship bull ~ ~ j-
l ~ l i
I I bull
9
=========~--- ---- -- ----------------==-----------shy
17 Organization of the chapter
Chapt~r one covers introduction on the concept of share repurchase and the
happening around the listed nations It will also involve list of related research and issue
on share repurchase Chapter two involves literature review about the previous research It will review
several theories on share buyback that support existence of positive return research on
impact of announcement and actual repurchase characteristics of the share buyback
companies that possess abnormal returns the methodologies and others
Chapter 3 contains discussion on data coHection where the source will be stated
clearly The theoretical framework will be reviewed in detail follow by the derivation of
empirical model of this study and the method to be used for this study
Chapter 4 contains the result and detail discussion by compare and contrast with
previous findings The empirical result will be interpreted and discussed
Chapter 5 will contain the conclusion of this study policy implications and
limitation of the study
y ~ ~
bull [~ I
~ o
10
CHAPTER 2
LITERATURE REVIEW
21 Overview
As share buyback only initiated in Malaysia on 1997 after Asian Financial Crisis
there are still very few published journals found related to the issue of share buyback in
Malaysia One of the few published journal found is Market Reaction to Actual Share
Repurchase in Malaysia by Isa Ghani and Lee in 2011 which also stated in the journal
that they only found a published journal before their study which is Price Reaction to
Stock Repurchases Evidence from KLSE done by Lim and Bacha in 2002
In this chapter discussion will be started with motives behind the initiation of
share buyback that support existence of abnormal returns followed with previous finding
on the performance of share price following share repurchase As mentioned previously
due to relatively few published journal abotrt share repurchase in the Malaysia context
much of the argument will be based on previous research done in foreign countries that
may have some different behaviours from Malaysias situation
I
II
22 Theories on the motives of share buyback that support existence of abnormal
returns There e many theories about the reasons a company conducts a share buyback
Among the most popular theories that regularly being studied are signaling effects free
cash flows dividend substitution defensive strategies changing capital structures and
others In 2000 Ditmar did a research to test the motives of share buyback in United
States involving repurchase from the year 1977 till 1996 In his research he cited the
failure of previous research in determining the motives of share buyback where they only
tested a few motives neglecting other potential factors Therefore by using a censored
regression analysis he tested five motives of share buyback as below
(a) Excess Capital Hypothesis Repurchases and Distribution Policy
(b) Undervaluation Hypothesis Repurchases and Investment Policy
(c) Optimal Leverage Ratio Hypothesis Repurchases and Capital Structure Policy
(d) Management Incentive Hypothesis Repurchases and Compensation Policy
(e) Takeover Deterrence Hypothesis Repurchases and Corporate Control
Ditmar found out that it is possible that firms to repurchase stock for several reasons and
the statistics result support the hypothesis of excess capital the optimal leverage ratio the
undervaluation and the takeover deterrence
Lee and Suh in 20 II found that- the amOUI)ts of ~hare repurchases across countries bull - bull --- ~ bull ~1 bull 0
are significantly associated with large cash holdings Their study indicated that fmhs
across countries that repurchase share usually hold large amount of excess cash and
experience raised in amount of cash holdings prior to repurchases The increases in
excess cash appear to be achieved from decrease in capital ~xpen~iture instead of
l bull [ I I
12
Statement of Originality
The work describe in this project entitled
Long Run Impact of Share Buyback Initiation toward the Share Price of Firms t Listed in Kuala Lumpur Stock Exchange
is to the best of the author s knowledge that of the author except
where due reference is made
May 292013 Chong Chuan Wei 11031806
shy v
~ l
-
I - bull
r
ABSTRAK
Impak J(Jngka Pangjang Pembelian Balik Saham kepada Harga Saham Syarikat
tersenarai di Bursa Malaysia
Oleh
Chong Chuan Wei
Kajiall ini dijalankan untuk cuba menyiasat dan menilai impak jangka pangjang
daripada pembelian baik saham terhadap harga syarikat yang terdapat di Bursa
Malaysia Kajian ini melibatkan syarikat yang menjalankan pembelian balik saham dari
tahull 1999 sehingga tahun 2008 di Bursa Malaysia Harga syarikat akan direkod
mengikut bulan selama tiga tahun selepas pembelian pertama dijalankan Kemlldian
rekod harga saham illi akan dikira dengall menggunakan formula Buy-and-Hold BHR
dan Buy-and-Hold Abnormal Return BHAR menggunakan Kuala Lumpur Komposite
Indeks KLCI sebagai penanda aras Nilai t-statistik dikira untuk menentukan kewujudan
BHAR Nilai t-statistik menunjukkan nilai BHAR tidak sama dengan kosong Selepas ilu
nilai BHAR akan diregresi dengan nisbah buku-kepada-pasaran dan jumlah nilai
pasaran Selepas menjalankan ujian regresi tersebut kesimpulan menunjukkan bahawa
nisbah bukll-kepada-pasaran dan i]lmlah harga pasaran mempunyai kesan terhadap
~ l
BHAR
Kata kunci Pembelian Balik Saham BHR BHAR buku-kepada-pasaran harga pasaran
ABSTRACT
Long Run Impact of Share Buyback Initiation toward the Share Price of Firms Listed in Kuala Lumpur Stock Exchange
By
Chong Chuan Wei
(ThiS paper is attempted to investigate and e~aluate the long run impact of share buyback
initiation toward the share price of firms in Kuala Lumpur Stock Exchange This
research involves firms that initiated share buyback from the year of 1999 until 2008 in
Kuala Lumpur Stock EXChang~The share price is recorded every month for three years
after the first share buyback is carried out The recorded share price will later be
calculated with formula of Buy-and-Hold BHR and Buy-and-Hold Abnormal Return
BHAR by using Kuala Lumpur Composite Index as the benchmark T -statistic value is
computed manually to show the existence of BHAR value The t-statistic value computed
showed that BHAR value is not equal to zero After that BHAR value is regressed with
book-to-market ratio and market value of the firmmiddot Aftltrro~ out the regression the J L
t
conclusion found that both Book-to-Market and Market Value show relationship with
share price
Keywords Share Buyback BHR BHAR Book-to-MarketMarket Value
t f
ACKNOWLEGMENT
In the effort of making this study successful I would like to express my sincere
appreciation to my supervisor Dr Mohamad Jais for his guidance and support in the
whole process of this study Even though Dr Mohamad Jais was busy I am glad that he is
always willing to spend some time with me to discuss the study The expertise and
knowledge of my supervisor has benefited me to complete this study on time Dr
Mohamad Jais has provided me meaningful insight of the research
Besides that I would also like to express my appreciation to my course mates that
provided me valuable ideas and suggestions Furthermore I would like to express my
gratitude to my family members for their understanding and morale support in
completing this study The help and patie~ce given had strengthened me to complete this
study successfully
-
I l bull I
Pusat Khidmat Maklumat Akademik UNlVERSm MALAYSIA SARAWAK
TABLE OF CONTENTS
ABSTRACT
ABSTRAK
ACKNOWLEDMENT
CHAPTER 1 INTRODUCTION 11 OVERVIEW
12 BACKGROUND OF THE STUDY 4
713 PROBLEM STATEMENT
14 OBJECTIVE OF THE STUDY 8
15 SIGNIFICANCE OF THE STUDY 8
916 SCOPE OF THE STUDY
17 ORGANIZATION OF THE CHt-PTER 10
CHAPTER 2 LITERATURE REVIEW
21 OVERVIEW 11
22 THEORIES ON THE MOTIVES OF SHARE BUYBACK THAT 12
SUPPORT EXISTENCE OF ABNORMAL RETURNS
23 ANNOUNCEMENT IMPACTS 14 - y bull bull Y I shy bull
1 ~t bull bull
24 PRIOR STUDY ON ABNORMAL RETURN OF SHARE BUYBACK 16
FIRMS IN KLSE
25 CUMULATIVE ABNORMAL RETURN (CAR) VERSUS BUY AND 18
HOLD ABNORMAL RETURN (BHARf
1 bull ( I I
i
26 SUMMARY 20
CHAPTER 3 rnTHODOLOGY
31 OVERVIEW 21
32 DATA DESCRIPTION 21
33 METHODOLOGY 22
34 THEORETICAL FRAMEWORK
35 EMPIRICAL MODEL FOR CROSS REGRESSION
26
26
36 HYPOTHESIS DEVELOPMENT 27
37 SUMMARY 28
CHAPTER 4 RESULTS AND DISCUSSION
41 OVERVIEW 29
42 AVERAGE BUY-AND-HOLD ABNORMAL RETURNS ON THE
LONG RUN PERFORMANCE 29
43 RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN BHAR WITH MARKET VALUE AND
BOOK-TO-MARKET RATIO 32
44 SUMMARY 35
CHAPTER 5 DISCUSSION_ IMPLICATIONS LIMITATION AND
RECOMMEDA TION
51 INTRODUCTION
J
bull H
36
52 DISCUSSION 36
53 IMPLICATIONS 36 54 LImITATIONS AND RECOMMENDATION OF THE STUDY 37
55 CONCLUSION 38
~ ~
I 1 1 bull t middot
--
LIST OF TABLES
TABLE 11 mANGES IN LAWS REGARDING SHARE REPURCHASE 2
FROM 1995 TO 2001 IN THE SELECTED COUNTRIES
TABLE 31 THE DISTRIBUTION OF LISTED COMPANIES IN KLSE THAT 22
INITIA TED SHARE BUYBACK PROGRAM FROM THE YEAR
1999 UNTIL 2008
TABLE 41 DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS OF BHAR OF INDIVIDUAL YEAR 30
FROM 1999 TO 2008
TABLE 42 DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS OF BHR AND BHAR FROM 1 31
YEAR TO 3 YEAR AFTER SHARE BUYBACK INITIATION
TABLE 43 CORRELATION TEST BETWEEN BHAR LMV AND BTM 32
TABLE 44 DESCRIPTIVE STATISTIC OF 3 YEAR BHAR WITH 33
DIFFERENT CATEGORY OF BTM VALUE
TABLE 45 DESCRIPTIVE STATISTIC OF 3 YEAR BHAR WITH 33
DIFFERENT CATEGORY OF MV
TABLE 46 ESTIMATION RESULTS ON THE REGRESSION BETWEEN 34
BHAR AND THE INDEPENDENT X~B~S I bullbullL I
I
bull bull
I
I
LIST OF DIAGRAM
DIAGRAM 341 RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN BUY -AND-HOLD ABNORMAL 26
RETURN WITH NATURAL LOGARITHM OF MARKET
VALUE AND BOOK-TO-MARKET RATIO
~
I
LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS
middotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddot middot-middotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddot-middot---middotmiddot-middot--middotmiddotr-middotmiddot~-middotmiddotmiddot~-middotmiddot-middot- -----------------------_shy middotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddot1
Abbreviation i Description
1-- - -~--l--- ---- ------ -- -------- -- ~
l_~~~ _ ____ Icumulati~~~~~orma~ ~eturn ______ ____ I BHR I Buy-and-Hold Return
middotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddot _ _middotmiddot_ -middot---middotf[SHAR---- ------l Buy~a~d=HoidAb~_~aTmiddotRetu
_ _- _ _- j_-_ r-LMV ---middot ----middot--r Nat~~al L--garithmmiddot~f M~k~tVal~~
---- shy[S-TM --------middotr Book-t~~Ma~ket~ati~ middot---middot middot----- middotmiddotmiddot-middotmiddotmiddot-middotmiddotmiddot- 1I l_ _____________ J _____ ___ __ _______ ___ _ ____1
1-- j bull
-
CHAPTER 1
INTRODUCTION
10 Overview
Share repurchase happened when a company bJ ys back its own shares Then the
company has the options either to cancel or hold them as treasury share that can be reshy
issued next time (Atrill 2009) Share buyback is one of the popular options besides
giving dividend for company who wish to distribute cash back to the shareholder
Jagannathan (2000) found out that open market repurchases in United States is pro-
cyclical and used by firms with higher temporary and non-operating cash flows
compare to dividend that tends to increase steadily over time and preferred by the firms
with higher permanent operating cash flows Jagannathan (2000) stated that share
repurchase usually happen following poor stock market performance while dividends
normally increase after good company perfonnance (cited in Vemimmen Quiry
Dallocchio Fur amp Salvi 2009)
According to Damodaran (200 I) there are basically three types of share buyback
process as below
(a) open-market repurchase by buying only a s~~ll~n~~il(6~omiddotoutStaDding stock in bull
the open market _
bull tmiddot
(b) tender offer where a finn plan to repurchase a large amount of the outstanding stock
for example 10 or more The finn will announce to the shareholders by specifying the
details like prte amount and duration of the repurchase
(c) negotiated repurchases is less widely used as the finn will negotiate with one of its
stockholder who owns a substantial amount of the shanes
Much of the prior studies had showed that share buyback has increased popularity
for finns to distribute cash rather than cash dividend Skinner (2008) had compared share
buyback and dividend in United States where he reviewed that amount of annual share
buyback value has exceeded cash dividend proving that share buyback has become the
preferred choice to distribute cash back to the shareholders (cited in Eije amp Megginson
2008) Evidence on popularity of share repurchase is easily observed from research by
Sabri (2003) as more countries changetf their law regarding share repurchase as
mentioned in the table below
Table 11
Changes in laws regarding share repurchase from 1995 to 2001 in the selected countries
Country
Australia
Effective Year 1995
Major changes
Deregulate the ~haIe- repUroha9ltt4ftVolv~PK [~moval of 10 limit
Denmark 2000 New Law on share repurchases applied since March 2000
Finland 1997 Companies shares
are pennitted to repurchase their own
Germany 1998 1998
1998
Change in tax regulation in favor of buyback shares Companies are pennitted to repurchase their own shares Modify th~ Security Act(STA 1998) related to
2
India
Japan
Netherlands Norway
Malaysia
Singapore
New Zealand Sweden
South Africa
Taiwan
1999
1995
2001 1999
1997
1998
1999
2000 1999 2000
1999
2000
disclosures of finns buy its own share Companies are pennitted to repurchase their own shares Companies are pennitted to repurchase their own shares Changes in Tax laws to encourage buybacks of shares Companies are pennitted to repurchase their own shares A public listed companies to repurchase its own shares or to give finallcial assistance to other persons to repurchase its own shares Companies are pennitted to repurchase their own shares Approving revision of share buybacks by Singapore Monterey Authority Issue tax treatment of buyback shares The buybacks of own shares law was amended Listed companies are pennitted to repurchase their own shares Listed companies are allowed to repurchase their own share by changing the companies Act of 1973 Listed companies are allowed to repurchase their own share
United Kingdom 1999 A consultation paper regard that Investment companies middotto be allowed to repurchase their own shares using capital profits
1996 A consultation paper regard to financial assistance by a company for the acquisition its own share
Sources Adopted from the finding by Sabri (2003) Using Treasury Repurchase Share to Stabilize
Stock Markets International Journal Of Business 8(4) 2003
There are also lots of studies that reviewed the purpose of inns repurchasing their
shares Among those Vemimmen Quiry Dallocchio Fur and Salvi (2009) stated several
possible reasons for share buybacks as below bull pr bull ~
(a) lack of better investment opportunity that cause Jllanager return excess funds for
shareholders to seek investment elsewhere
(b) managers give signal for goods news in future believing the shares are undervalued I
3
- I
(c) tax incentive as share buy backs is not taxable compare to paying dividend
(d) transferring value between shareholders who refuse to sell and shareholders who
~
accept the offer
(e) change leverage ratio by adjusting amount of equity
(t) prevent take over
(g) counter the dilution effect of share options
(h) provide managers tlexibiiity to make small adjustments in the capital structure and
etc
Generally share repurchase is believed to help the company achieving increase
in earnings per share (PIE) as the number of outstanding equity reduces However there are also arguments about this manipulation where the increase of PIE ratio is
accompanied with higher debt ratio which will post risk to the stability of the company
(Demodaran 2001)
12 Background of the study
Since share buyback was allowed in Malaysia on 1 September 1997 it is
increasingly gaining attention as compani~s st~ftea fo middotbii~~ its ~aros in large volume Based on the study by Is~ Ghani a~~ Lee on Malaysia listed company from
2001 to 2005 there were 149 firms with a total of 17864 repurchases days and total
purchase of 2309313664 shares This number is expected to increase as share
t I bull
4
=-shy I
pusat Khidmat Maklumat Akade~ UNIVERSm MALAYSIA SARAW
repurchase evolved to become a useful financial tool that is carried out by the
management to distribute excess cash to shareholders other than paying dividend
As share buyback is becoming commonly carried out many researches have been
done on announcement impact of share buyback Some the researches also reviewed that
share buyback announcement may not be carried ou as stated and hence it did not
generate positive impacts to the share price in the long run (Zhang 2002) Much fewer
researches were done on long tenn impact of actual share buyback as it required
significant amount of data that some stock exchange did not enclose
Although open market share repurchase is regularly being studied in United
States researchers nonnally encounter trouble in getting actual repurchase data as United
States has a general lack of disclosure requirement associated with share repurchase In
United States listed finn can buy back its own shares without making any
announcements and finns that already made announcements are under no obligation to
implement their proposed plans (Brockman amp Chung 2012) Thus this is difficult for
researcher to study the impact of actual share repurchases especially those that require
detail timing prices or magnitudes of the repurchases
In my study the issue of data does not occur as KLSE has a full disclosure on
share buyback In Malaysia a listed corporation middotltfanoniY1Ufcbas4its Qwn shares after ~ t middot t
getting authorization of its shareholders in a general meeting The share repurchase is
subject to rules under the Companies Act 1965 section 67 A and Part lIlA of the
Companies Regulations 1966 The shareholders will be infonned either through a
statement accompanying its notice of general meeting or a circular After the general
5
meeting that is called to consider the proposed share repurchase the listed corporation
must implediately announce the outcome to the stock exchange A listed corporation in
KLSE is only aJ1owed to purchase or hold not more than 10 of its issued and paid-up
capital
After a repurchase is carried out the listed corporation must immediately
announce to KLSE not later than 630pm on the day the purchase is made This
announcement will have to contain the detail as below
(a) date of purchase
(b) description of shares purchased
(0) number of shares purchased
(d) price of each share or where relevant the highest and lowest price paid
(e) total consideration paid
(0 number of shares purchased retained in treasury
(g) number of share purchased which are proposed to be cancelled
(h) cumulative net outstanding treasury s~ares at the date of notification where ~~ - ~ ~~
j bull bull L t
applicable
(i) where all or any of the shares are proposed to be cancelled the adjusted share capital
bull t r I
lt bull
6
13 Problem statement
Studyon abnormal return of share price for share buyback firms had been carried
out numerously across the countries that initiated share buyback Much of these studies
had indicated that there exists positive return on the share price either short run or long
run after share buyback announcement or actual sh~re buyback initiation Most of the
previous studies about share buyback in Malaysia were focus on share buyback
announcement and short term studies following the actual share repurchases As Malaysia
only allowed share buyback since 1 September 1997 it posts difficulties for the previous
researchers to study on the long run impacts after share buyback initiation as limited
numbers of data is available Therefore research on long run impact is crucial to clarify
whether there exits any long run abnormal return by comparing with the Kuala Lumpur
Composite Index KLCI as the benchmark
Other than that obtaining abnormal return is always the primary aim of deciding
any stock investment By assuming management has better timing and upfront
infonnation share repurchase would signal a good entry to gain an abnormal return
Therefore this study will benefit all the market participants towards long run impact of
share buyback initiation With data easily available in the Kuala Lumpur Stock
Exchange KLSE website it will be an in~eres~i~g topic to discover the relationship of - -111 ~ II
actual share buyback and its share price
- In order to streamline the large numbers of share buyback companies and further
identify those that really contribute to abnormal return characteristics of those companies
are investigated as well The long run return computed will be later linked to the specific i_ [ I
7
characteristic of these individual companies namely book-to-market ratio (BTM) and
marketyalue (MV) which are characteristics commonly study in the prior studies
14 Research Objectives
141 General Objective
This study aims to determine the long run abnormal return for firms that chose to initiate
share buyback program from 1999 to 2008 in Kuala Lumpur Stock Exchange
142 Specific Objectives
(a) To investigate the long run abnormal return of share repurchases to share price of
the repurchase firms from 1999 to 2008
(b) Investigate the relationship of long run abnormal return of share buyback companies with its market value (MV) and book-to-market (BTM) ratio
15 Significant of the study
As share buyback only initiated in Kuala Lumpur Exchange (KLSE) since 1997
very few publish journal have been done to review its relationship with its share price
Only few published journal was found to study on the short term announcement impact
using Cumulative Abnormal Return CAR This itpto15abiyo6e1hthe srn~JJI1umber of companies participating in share b~yback when the prsram is approved that become
limitation to the previous study As a result there exists the need to study the impact of
share buyback to the share price in a longer duration
If
) ~
8
_ - - - --
Other than that as investors always looking for indicators to achieve abnonnal
retuTJ in the stock market share repurchase that is said to have signaling effect will
probably be agood sign to buy or sell a stock Asymmetry infonnation lead many market
participants especially the retail investor to confuse on the intention of share buyback It
is still unknown whether share buyback really benefited the shareholders This proves
that it is important for this study to examine whether there exist any long run abnonnal
return after share buyback initiation so that it can be used as an indicator for market
participants
16 Scope of the study
This study intends to examine the long run impact of actual share buyback
initiation towards its share price of listed companies in Kuala Lumpur Exchange (KLSE)
The share buyback companies that will be covered are from 1 January 1999 until 31
December 2008 Each of these share buyback company will later be tracked down for
monthly perfonnance using Buy-and-Hold Abnonnal Return(BHAR) method starting
from the first day of initiating share buyback program until for the end of the three years
to examine the long run impact of share repurchase towards its share price Each of this
BHAR value will later be regressed with the book-to-market ratio (BTM) and natural
logarithm of market value (MV) to examine the ~~istence of any relationship bull ~ ~ j-
l ~ l i
I I bull
9
=========~--- ---- -- ----------------==-----------shy
17 Organization of the chapter
Chapt~r one covers introduction on the concept of share repurchase and the
happening around the listed nations It will also involve list of related research and issue
on share repurchase Chapter two involves literature review about the previous research It will review
several theories on share buyback that support existence of positive return research on
impact of announcement and actual repurchase characteristics of the share buyback
companies that possess abnormal returns the methodologies and others
Chapter 3 contains discussion on data coHection where the source will be stated
clearly The theoretical framework will be reviewed in detail follow by the derivation of
empirical model of this study and the method to be used for this study
Chapter 4 contains the result and detail discussion by compare and contrast with
previous findings The empirical result will be interpreted and discussed
Chapter 5 will contain the conclusion of this study policy implications and
limitation of the study
y ~ ~
bull [~ I
~ o
10
CHAPTER 2
LITERATURE REVIEW
21 Overview
As share buyback only initiated in Malaysia on 1997 after Asian Financial Crisis
there are still very few published journals found related to the issue of share buyback in
Malaysia One of the few published journal found is Market Reaction to Actual Share
Repurchase in Malaysia by Isa Ghani and Lee in 2011 which also stated in the journal
that they only found a published journal before their study which is Price Reaction to
Stock Repurchases Evidence from KLSE done by Lim and Bacha in 2002
In this chapter discussion will be started with motives behind the initiation of
share buyback that support existence of abnormal returns followed with previous finding
on the performance of share price following share repurchase As mentioned previously
due to relatively few published journal abotrt share repurchase in the Malaysia context
much of the argument will be based on previous research done in foreign countries that
may have some different behaviours from Malaysias situation
I
II
22 Theories on the motives of share buyback that support existence of abnormal
returns There e many theories about the reasons a company conducts a share buyback
Among the most popular theories that regularly being studied are signaling effects free
cash flows dividend substitution defensive strategies changing capital structures and
others In 2000 Ditmar did a research to test the motives of share buyback in United
States involving repurchase from the year 1977 till 1996 In his research he cited the
failure of previous research in determining the motives of share buyback where they only
tested a few motives neglecting other potential factors Therefore by using a censored
regression analysis he tested five motives of share buyback as below
(a) Excess Capital Hypothesis Repurchases and Distribution Policy
(b) Undervaluation Hypothesis Repurchases and Investment Policy
(c) Optimal Leverage Ratio Hypothesis Repurchases and Capital Structure Policy
(d) Management Incentive Hypothesis Repurchases and Compensation Policy
(e) Takeover Deterrence Hypothesis Repurchases and Corporate Control
Ditmar found out that it is possible that firms to repurchase stock for several reasons and
the statistics result support the hypothesis of excess capital the optimal leverage ratio the
undervaluation and the takeover deterrence
Lee and Suh in 20 II found that- the amOUI)ts of ~hare repurchases across countries bull - bull --- ~ bull ~1 bull 0
are significantly associated with large cash holdings Their study indicated that fmhs
across countries that repurchase share usually hold large amount of excess cash and
experience raised in amount of cash holdings prior to repurchases The increases in
excess cash appear to be achieved from decrease in capital ~xpen~iture instead of
l bull [ I I
12
ABSTRAK
Impak J(Jngka Pangjang Pembelian Balik Saham kepada Harga Saham Syarikat
tersenarai di Bursa Malaysia
Oleh
Chong Chuan Wei
Kajiall ini dijalankan untuk cuba menyiasat dan menilai impak jangka pangjang
daripada pembelian baik saham terhadap harga syarikat yang terdapat di Bursa
Malaysia Kajian ini melibatkan syarikat yang menjalankan pembelian balik saham dari
tahull 1999 sehingga tahun 2008 di Bursa Malaysia Harga syarikat akan direkod
mengikut bulan selama tiga tahun selepas pembelian pertama dijalankan Kemlldian
rekod harga saham illi akan dikira dengall menggunakan formula Buy-and-Hold BHR
dan Buy-and-Hold Abnormal Return BHAR menggunakan Kuala Lumpur Komposite
Indeks KLCI sebagai penanda aras Nilai t-statistik dikira untuk menentukan kewujudan
BHAR Nilai t-statistik menunjukkan nilai BHAR tidak sama dengan kosong Selepas ilu
nilai BHAR akan diregresi dengan nisbah buku-kepada-pasaran dan jumlah nilai
pasaran Selepas menjalankan ujian regresi tersebut kesimpulan menunjukkan bahawa
nisbah bukll-kepada-pasaran dan i]lmlah harga pasaran mempunyai kesan terhadap
~ l
BHAR
Kata kunci Pembelian Balik Saham BHR BHAR buku-kepada-pasaran harga pasaran
ABSTRACT
Long Run Impact of Share Buyback Initiation toward the Share Price of Firms Listed in Kuala Lumpur Stock Exchange
By
Chong Chuan Wei
(ThiS paper is attempted to investigate and e~aluate the long run impact of share buyback
initiation toward the share price of firms in Kuala Lumpur Stock Exchange This
research involves firms that initiated share buyback from the year of 1999 until 2008 in
Kuala Lumpur Stock EXChang~The share price is recorded every month for three years
after the first share buyback is carried out The recorded share price will later be
calculated with formula of Buy-and-Hold BHR and Buy-and-Hold Abnormal Return
BHAR by using Kuala Lumpur Composite Index as the benchmark T -statistic value is
computed manually to show the existence of BHAR value The t-statistic value computed
showed that BHAR value is not equal to zero After that BHAR value is regressed with
book-to-market ratio and market value of the firmmiddot Aftltrro~ out the regression the J L
t
conclusion found that both Book-to-Market and Market Value show relationship with
share price
Keywords Share Buyback BHR BHAR Book-to-MarketMarket Value
t f
ACKNOWLEGMENT
In the effort of making this study successful I would like to express my sincere
appreciation to my supervisor Dr Mohamad Jais for his guidance and support in the
whole process of this study Even though Dr Mohamad Jais was busy I am glad that he is
always willing to spend some time with me to discuss the study The expertise and
knowledge of my supervisor has benefited me to complete this study on time Dr
Mohamad Jais has provided me meaningful insight of the research
Besides that I would also like to express my appreciation to my course mates that
provided me valuable ideas and suggestions Furthermore I would like to express my
gratitude to my family members for their understanding and morale support in
completing this study The help and patie~ce given had strengthened me to complete this
study successfully
-
I l bull I
Pusat Khidmat Maklumat Akademik UNlVERSm MALAYSIA SARAWAK
TABLE OF CONTENTS
ABSTRACT
ABSTRAK
ACKNOWLEDMENT
CHAPTER 1 INTRODUCTION 11 OVERVIEW
12 BACKGROUND OF THE STUDY 4
713 PROBLEM STATEMENT
14 OBJECTIVE OF THE STUDY 8
15 SIGNIFICANCE OF THE STUDY 8
916 SCOPE OF THE STUDY
17 ORGANIZATION OF THE CHt-PTER 10
CHAPTER 2 LITERATURE REVIEW
21 OVERVIEW 11
22 THEORIES ON THE MOTIVES OF SHARE BUYBACK THAT 12
SUPPORT EXISTENCE OF ABNORMAL RETURNS
23 ANNOUNCEMENT IMPACTS 14 - y bull bull Y I shy bull
1 ~t bull bull
24 PRIOR STUDY ON ABNORMAL RETURN OF SHARE BUYBACK 16
FIRMS IN KLSE
25 CUMULATIVE ABNORMAL RETURN (CAR) VERSUS BUY AND 18
HOLD ABNORMAL RETURN (BHARf
1 bull ( I I
i
26 SUMMARY 20
CHAPTER 3 rnTHODOLOGY
31 OVERVIEW 21
32 DATA DESCRIPTION 21
33 METHODOLOGY 22
34 THEORETICAL FRAMEWORK
35 EMPIRICAL MODEL FOR CROSS REGRESSION
26
26
36 HYPOTHESIS DEVELOPMENT 27
37 SUMMARY 28
CHAPTER 4 RESULTS AND DISCUSSION
41 OVERVIEW 29
42 AVERAGE BUY-AND-HOLD ABNORMAL RETURNS ON THE
LONG RUN PERFORMANCE 29
43 RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN BHAR WITH MARKET VALUE AND
BOOK-TO-MARKET RATIO 32
44 SUMMARY 35
CHAPTER 5 DISCUSSION_ IMPLICATIONS LIMITATION AND
RECOMMEDA TION
51 INTRODUCTION
J
bull H
36
52 DISCUSSION 36
53 IMPLICATIONS 36 54 LImITATIONS AND RECOMMENDATION OF THE STUDY 37
55 CONCLUSION 38
~ ~
I 1 1 bull t middot
--
LIST OF TABLES
TABLE 11 mANGES IN LAWS REGARDING SHARE REPURCHASE 2
FROM 1995 TO 2001 IN THE SELECTED COUNTRIES
TABLE 31 THE DISTRIBUTION OF LISTED COMPANIES IN KLSE THAT 22
INITIA TED SHARE BUYBACK PROGRAM FROM THE YEAR
1999 UNTIL 2008
TABLE 41 DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS OF BHAR OF INDIVIDUAL YEAR 30
FROM 1999 TO 2008
TABLE 42 DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS OF BHR AND BHAR FROM 1 31
YEAR TO 3 YEAR AFTER SHARE BUYBACK INITIATION
TABLE 43 CORRELATION TEST BETWEEN BHAR LMV AND BTM 32
TABLE 44 DESCRIPTIVE STATISTIC OF 3 YEAR BHAR WITH 33
DIFFERENT CATEGORY OF BTM VALUE
TABLE 45 DESCRIPTIVE STATISTIC OF 3 YEAR BHAR WITH 33
DIFFERENT CATEGORY OF MV
TABLE 46 ESTIMATION RESULTS ON THE REGRESSION BETWEEN 34
BHAR AND THE INDEPENDENT X~B~S I bullbullL I
I
bull bull
I
I
LIST OF DIAGRAM
DIAGRAM 341 RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN BUY -AND-HOLD ABNORMAL 26
RETURN WITH NATURAL LOGARITHM OF MARKET
VALUE AND BOOK-TO-MARKET RATIO
~
I
LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS
middotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddot middot-middotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddot-middot---middotmiddot-middot--middotmiddotr-middotmiddot~-middotmiddotmiddot~-middotmiddot-middot- -----------------------_shy middotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddot1
Abbreviation i Description
1-- - -~--l--- ---- ------ -- -------- -- ~
l_~~~ _ ____ Icumulati~~~~~orma~ ~eturn ______ ____ I BHR I Buy-and-Hold Return
middotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddot _ _middotmiddot_ -middot---middotf[SHAR---- ------l Buy~a~d=HoidAb~_~aTmiddotRetu
_ _- _ _- j_-_ r-LMV ---middot ----middot--r Nat~~al L--garithmmiddot~f M~k~tVal~~
---- shy[S-TM --------middotr Book-t~~Ma~ket~ati~ middot---middot middot----- middotmiddotmiddot-middotmiddotmiddot-middotmiddotmiddot- 1I l_ _____________ J _____ ___ __ _______ ___ _ ____1
1-- j bull
-
CHAPTER 1
INTRODUCTION
10 Overview
Share repurchase happened when a company bJ ys back its own shares Then the
company has the options either to cancel or hold them as treasury share that can be reshy
issued next time (Atrill 2009) Share buyback is one of the popular options besides
giving dividend for company who wish to distribute cash back to the shareholder
Jagannathan (2000) found out that open market repurchases in United States is pro-
cyclical and used by firms with higher temporary and non-operating cash flows
compare to dividend that tends to increase steadily over time and preferred by the firms
with higher permanent operating cash flows Jagannathan (2000) stated that share
repurchase usually happen following poor stock market performance while dividends
normally increase after good company perfonnance (cited in Vemimmen Quiry
Dallocchio Fur amp Salvi 2009)
According to Damodaran (200 I) there are basically three types of share buyback
process as below
(a) open-market repurchase by buying only a s~~ll~n~~il(6~omiddotoutStaDding stock in bull
the open market _
bull tmiddot
(b) tender offer where a finn plan to repurchase a large amount of the outstanding stock
for example 10 or more The finn will announce to the shareholders by specifying the
details like prte amount and duration of the repurchase
(c) negotiated repurchases is less widely used as the finn will negotiate with one of its
stockholder who owns a substantial amount of the shanes
Much of the prior studies had showed that share buyback has increased popularity
for finns to distribute cash rather than cash dividend Skinner (2008) had compared share
buyback and dividend in United States where he reviewed that amount of annual share
buyback value has exceeded cash dividend proving that share buyback has become the
preferred choice to distribute cash back to the shareholders (cited in Eije amp Megginson
2008) Evidence on popularity of share repurchase is easily observed from research by
Sabri (2003) as more countries changetf their law regarding share repurchase as
mentioned in the table below
Table 11
Changes in laws regarding share repurchase from 1995 to 2001 in the selected countries
Country
Australia
Effective Year 1995
Major changes
Deregulate the ~haIe- repUroha9ltt4ftVolv~PK [~moval of 10 limit
Denmark 2000 New Law on share repurchases applied since March 2000
Finland 1997 Companies shares
are pennitted to repurchase their own
Germany 1998 1998
1998
Change in tax regulation in favor of buyback shares Companies are pennitted to repurchase their own shares Modify th~ Security Act(STA 1998) related to
2
India
Japan
Netherlands Norway
Malaysia
Singapore
New Zealand Sweden
South Africa
Taiwan
1999
1995
2001 1999
1997
1998
1999
2000 1999 2000
1999
2000
disclosures of finns buy its own share Companies are pennitted to repurchase their own shares Companies are pennitted to repurchase their own shares Changes in Tax laws to encourage buybacks of shares Companies are pennitted to repurchase their own shares A public listed companies to repurchase its own shares or to give finallcial assistance to other persons to repurchase its own shares Companies are pennitted to repurchase their own shares Approving revision of share buybacks by Singapore Monterey Authority Issue tax treatment of buyback shares The buybacks of own shares law was amended Listed companies are pennitted to repurchase their own shares Listed companies are allowed to repurchase their own share by changing the companies Act of 1973 Listed companies are allowed to repurchase their own share
United Kingdom 1999 A consultation paper regard that Investment companies middotto be allowed to repurchase their own shares using capital profits
1996 A consultation paper regard to financial assistance by a company for the acquisition its own share
Sources Adopted from the finding by Sabri (2003) Using Treasury Repurchase Share to Stabilize
Stock Markets International Journal Of Business 8(4) 2003
There are also lots of studies that reviewed the purpose of inns repurchasing their
shares Among those Vemimmen Quiry Dallocchio Fur and Salvi (2009) stated several
possible reasons for share buybacks as below bull pr bull ~
(a) lack of better investment opportunity that cause Jllanager return excess funds for
shareholders to seek investment elsewhere
(b) managers give signal for goods news in future believing the shares are undervalued I
3
- I
(c) tax incentive as share buy backs is not taxable compare to paying dividend
(d) transferring value between shareholders who refuse to sell and shareholders who
~
accept the offer
(e) change leverage ratio by adjusting amount of equity
(t) prevent take over
(g) counter the dilution effect of share options
(h) provide managers tlexibiiity to make small adjustments in the capital structure and
etc
Generally share repurchase is believed to help the company achieving increase
in earnings per share (PIE) as the number of outstanding equity reduces However there are also arguments about this manipulation where the increase of PIE ratio is
accompanied with higher debt ratio which will post risk to the stability of the company
(Demodaran 2001)
12 Background of the study
Since share buyback was allowed in Malaysia on 1 September 1997 it is
increasingly gaining attention as compani~s st~ftea fo middotbii~~ its ~aros in large volume Based on the study by Is~ Ghani a~~ Lee on Malaysia listed company from
2001 to 2005 there were 149 firms with a total of 17864 repurchases days and total
purchase of 2309313664 shares This number is expected to increase as share
t I bull
4
=-shy I
pusat Khidmat Maklumat Akade~ UNIVERSm MALAYSIA SARAW
repurchase evolved to become a useful financial tool that is carried out by the
management to distribute excess cash to shareholders other than paying dividend
As share buyback is becoming commonly carried out many researches have been
done on announcement impact of share buyback Some the researches also reviewed that
share buyback announcement may not be carried ou as stated and hence it did not
generate positive impacts to the share price in the long run (Zhang 2002) Much fewer
researches were done on long tenn impact of actual share buyback as it required
significant amount of data that some stock exchange did not enclose
Although open market share repurchase is regularly being studied in United
States researchers nonnally encounter trouble in getting actual repurchase data as United
States has a general lack of disclosure requirement associated with share repurchase In
United States listed finn can buy back its own shares without making any
announcements and finns that already made announcements are under no obligation to
implement their proposed plans (Brockman amp Chung 2012) Thus this is difficult for
researcher to study the impact of actual share repurchases especially those that require
detail timing prices or magnitudes of the repurchases
In my study the issue of data does not occur as KLSE has a full disclosure on
share buyback In Malaysia a listed corporation middotltfanoniY1Ufcbas4its Qwn shares after ~ t middot t
getting authorization of its shareholders in a general meeting The share repurchase is
subject to rules under the Companies Act 1965 section 67 A and Part lIlA of the
Companies Regulations 1966 The shareholders will be infonned either through a
statement accompanying its notice of general meeting or a circular After the general
5
meeting that is called to consider the proposed share repurchase the listed corporation
must implediately announce the outcome to the stock exchange A listed corporation in
KLSE is only aJ1owed to purchase or hold not more than 10 of its issued and paid-up
capital
After a repurchase is carried out the listed corporation must immediately
announce to KLSE not later than 630pm on the day the purchase is made This
announcement will have to contain the detail as below
(a) date of purchase
(b) description of shares purchased
(0) number of shares purchased
(d) price of each share or where relevant the highest and lowest price paid
(e) total consideration paid
(0 number of shares purchased retained in treasury
(g) number of share purchased which are proposed to be cancelled
(h) cumulative net outstanding treasury s~ares at the date of notification where ~~ - ~ ~~
j bull bull L t
applicable
(i) where all or any of the shares are proposed to be cancelled the adjusted share capital
bull t r I
lt bull
6
13 Problem statement
Studyon abnormal return of share price for share buyback firms had been carried
out numerously across the countries that initiated share buyback Much of these studies
had indicated that there exists positive return on the share price either short run or long
run after share buyback announcement or actual sh~re buyback initiation Most of the
previous studies about share buyback in Malaysia were focus on share buyback
announcement and short term studies following the actual share repurchases As Malaysia
only allowed share buyback since 1 September 1997 it posts difficulties for the previous
researchers to study on the long run impacts after share buyback initiation as limited
numbers of data is available Therefore research on long run impact is crucial to clarify
whether there exits any long run abnormal return by comparing with the Kuala Lumpur
Composite Index KLCI as the benchmark
Other than that obtaining abnormal return is always the primary aim of deciding
any stock investment By assuming management has better timing and upfront
infonnation share repurchase would signal a good entry to gain an abnormal return
Therefore this study will benefit all the market participants towards long run impact of
share buyback initiation With data easily available in the Kuala Lumpur Stock
Exchange KLSE website it will be an in~eres~i~g topic to discover the relationship of - -111 ~ II
actual share buyback and its share price
- In order to streamline the large numbers of share buyback companies and further
identify those that really contribute to abnormal return characteristics of those companies
are investigated as well The long run return computed will be later linked to the specific i_ [ I
7
characteristic of these individual companies namely book-to-market ratio (BTM) and
marketyalue (MV) which are characteristics commonly study in the prior studies
14 Research Objectives
141 General Objective
This study aims to determine the long run abnormal return for firms that chose to initiate
share buyback program from 1999 to 2008 in Kuala Lumpur Stock Exchange
142 Specific Objectives
(a) To investigate the long run abnormal return of share repurchases to share price of
the repurchase firms from 1999 to 2008
(b) Investigate the relationship of long run abnormal return of share buyback companies with its market value (MV) and book-to-market (BTM) ratio
15 Significant of the study
As share buyback only initiated in Kuala Lumpur Exchange (KLSE) since 1997
very few publish journal have been done to review its relationship with its share price
Only few published journal was found to study on the short term announcement impact
using Cumulative Abnormal Return CAR This itpto15abiyo6e1hthe srn~JJI1umber of companies participating in share b~yback when the prsram is approved that become
limitation to the previous study As a result there exists the need to study the impact of
share buyback to the share price in a longer duration
If
) ~
8
_ - - - --
Other than that as investors always looking for indicators to achieve abnonnal
retuTJ in the stock market share repurchase that is said to have signaling effect will
probably be agood sign to buy or sell a stock Asymmetry infonnation lead many market
participants especially the retail investor to confuse on the intention of share buyback It
is still unknown whether share buyback really benefited the shareholders This proves
that it is important for this study to examine whether there exist any long run abnonnal
return after share buyback initiation so that it can be used as an indicator for market
participants
16 Scope of the study
This study intends to examine the long run impact of actual share buyback
initiation towards its share price of listed companies in Kuala Lumpur Exchange (KLSE)
The share buyback companies that will be covered are from 1 January 1999 until 31
December 2008 Each of these share buyback company will later be tracked down for
monthly perfonnance using Buy-and-Hold Abnonnal Return(BHAR) method starting
from the first day of initiating share buyback program until for the end of the three years
to examine the long run impact of share repurchase towards its share price Each of this
BHAR value will later be regressed with the book-to-market ratio (BTM) and natural
logarithm of market value (MV) to examine the ~~istence of any relationship bull ~ ~ j-
l ~ l i
I I bull
9
=========~--- ---- -- ----------------==-----------shy
17 Organization of the chapter
Chapt~r one covers introduction on the concept of share repurchase and the
happening around the listed nations It will also involve list of related research and issue
on share repurchase Chapter two involves literature review about the previous research It will review
several theories on share buyback that support existence of positive return research on
impact of announcement and actual repurchase characteristics of the share buyback
companies that possess abnormal returns the methodologies and others
Chapter 3 contains discussion on data coHection where the source will be stated
clearly The theoretical framework will be reviewed in detail follow by the derivation of
empirical model of this study and the method to be used for this study
Chapter 4 contains the result and detail discussion by compare and contrast with
previous findings The empirical result will be interpreted and discussed
Chapter 5 will contain the conclusion of this study policy implications and
limitation of the study
y ~ ~
bull [~ I
~ o
10
CHAPTER 2
LITERATURE REVIEW
21 Overview
As share buyback only initiated in Malaysia on 1997 after Asian Financial Crisis
there are still very few published journals found related to the issue of share buyback in
Malaysia One of the few published journal found is Market Reaction to Actual Share
Repurchase in Malaysia by Isa Ghani and Lee in 2011 which also stated in the journal
that they only found a published journal before their study which is Price Reaction to
Stock Repurchases Evidence from KLSE done by Lim and Bacha in 2002
In this chapter discussion will be started with motives behind the initiation of
share buyback that support existence of abnormal returns followed with previous finding
on the performance of share price following share repurchase As mentioned previously
due to relatively few published journal abotrt share repurchase in the Malaysia context
much of the argument will be based on previous research done in foreign countries that
may have some different behaviours from Malaysias situation
I
II
22 Theories on the motives of share buyback that support existence of abnormal
returns There e many theories about the reasons a company conducts a share buyback
Among the most popular theories that regularly being studied are signaling effects free
cash flows dividend substitution defensive strategies changing capital structures and
others In 2000 Ditmar did a research to test the motives of share buyback in United
States involving repurchase from the year 1977 till 1996 In his research he cited the
failure of previous research in determining the motives of share buyback where they only
tested a few motives neglecting other potential factors Therefore by using a censored
regression analysis he tested five motives of share buyback as below
(a) Excess Capital Hypothesis Repurchases and Distribution Policy
(b) Undervaluation Hypothesis Repurchases and Investment Policy
(c) Optimal Leverage Ratio Hypothesis Repurchases and Capital Structure Policy
(d) Management Incentive Hypothesis Repurchases and Compensation Policy
(e) Takeover Deterrence Hypothesis Repurchases and Corporate Control
Ditmar found out that it is possible that firms to repurchase stock for several reasons and
the statistics result support the hypothesis of excess capital the optimal leverage ratio the
undervaluation and the takeover deterrence
Lee and Suh in 20 II found that- the amOUI)ts of ~hare repurchases across countries bull - bull --- ~ bull ~1 bull 0
are significantly associated with large cash holdings Their study indicated that fmhs
across countries that repurchase share usually hold large amount of excess cash and
experience raised in amount of cash holdings prior to repurchases The increases in
excess cash appear to be achieved from decrease in capital ~xpen~iture instead of
l bull [ I I
12
ABSTRACT
Long Run Impact of Share Buyback Initiation toward the Share Price of Firms Listed in Kuala Lumpur Stock Exchange
By
Chong Chuan Wei
(ThiS paper is attempted to investigate and e~aluate the long run impact of share buyback
initiation toward the share price of firms in Kuala Lumpur Stock Exchange This
research involves firms that initiated share buyback from the year of 1999 until 2008 in
Kuala Lumpur Stock EXChang~The share price is recorded every month for three years
after the first share buyback is carried out The recorded share price will later be
calculated with formula of Buy-and-Hold BHR and Buy-and-Hold Abnormal Return
BHAR by using Kuala Lumpur Composite Index as the benchmark T -statistic value is
computed manually to show the existence of BHAR value The t-statistic value computed
showed that BHAR value is not equal to zero After that BHAR value is regressed with
book-to-market ratio and market value of the firmmiddot Aftltrro~ out the regression the J L
t
conclusion found that both Book-to-Market and Market Value show relationship with
share price
Keywords Share Buyback BHR BHAR Book-to-MarketMarket Value
t f
ACKNOWLEGMENT
In the effort of making this study successful I would like to express my sincere
appreciation to my supervisor Dr Mohamad Jais for his guidance and support in the
whole process of this study Even though Dr Mohamad Jais was busy I am glad that he is
always willing to spend some time with me to discuss the study The expertise and
knowledge of my supervisor has benefited me to complete this study on time Dr
Mohamad Jais has provided me meaningful insight of the research
Besides that I would also like to express my appreciation to my course mates that
provided me valuable ideas and suggestions Furthermore I would like to express my
gratitude to my family members for their understanding and morale support in
completing this study The help and patie~ce given had strengthened me to complete this
study successfully
-
I l bull I
Pusat Khidmat Maklumat Akademik UNlVERSm MALAYSIA SARAWAK
TABLE OF CONTENTS
ABSTRACT
ABSTRAK
ACKNOWLEDMENT
CHAPTER 1 INTRODUCTION 11 OVERVIEW
12 BACKGROUND OF THE STUDY 4
713 PROBLEM STATEMENT
14 OBJECTIVE OF THE STUDY 8
15 SIGNIFICANCE OF THE STUDY 8
916 SCOPE OF THE STUDY
17 ORGANIZATION OF THE CHt-PTER 10
CHAPTER 2 LITERATURE REVIEW
21 OVERVIEW 11
22 THEORIES ON THE MOTIVES OF SHARE BUYBACK THAT 12
SUPPORT EXISTENCE OF ABNORMAL RETURNS
23 ANNOUNCEMENT IMPACTS 14 - y bull bull Y I shy bull
1 ~t bull bull
24 PRIOR STUDY ON ABNORMAL RETURN OF SHARE BUYBACK 16
FIRMS IN KLSE
25 CUMULATIVE ABNORMAL RETURN (CAR) VERSUS BUY AND 18
HOLD ABNORMAL RETURN (BHARf
1 bull ( I I
i
26 SUMMARY 20
CHAPTER 3 rnTHODOLOGY
31 OVERVIEW 21
32 DATA DESCRIPTION 21
33 METHODOLOGY 22
34 THEORETICAL FRAMEWORK
35 EMPIRICAL MODEL FOR CROSS REGRESSION
26
26
36 HYPOTHESIS DEVELOPMENT 27
37 SUMMARY 28
CHAPTER 4 RESULTS AND DISCUSSION
41 OVERVIEW 29
42 AVERAGE BUY-AND-HOLD ABNORMAL RETURNS ON THE
LONG RUN PERFORMANCE 29
43 RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN BHAR WITH MARKET VALUE AND
BOOK-TO-MARKET RATIO 32
44 SUMMARY 35
CHAPTER 5 DISCUSSION_ IMPLICATIONS LIMITATION AND
RECOMMEDA TION
51 INTRODUCTION
J
bull H
36
52 DISCUSSION 36
53 IMPLICATIONS 36 54 LImITATIONS AND RECOMMENDATION OF THE STUDY 37
55 CONCLUSION 38
~ ~
I 1 1 bull t middot
--
LIST OF TABLES
TABLE 11 mANGES IN LAWS REGARDING SHARE REPURCHASE 2
FROM 1995 TO 2001 IN THE SELECTED COUNTRIES
TABLE 31 THE DISTRIBUTION OF LISTED COMPANIES IN KLSE THAT 22
INITIA TED SHARE BUYBACK PROGRAM FROM THE YEAR
1999 UNTIL 2008
TABLE 41 DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS OF BHAR OF INDIVIDUAL YEAR 30
FROM 1999 TO 2008
TABLE 42 DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS OF BHR AND BHAR FROM 1 31
YEAR TO 3 YEAR AFTER SHARE BUYBACK INITIATION
TABLE 43 CORRELATION TEST BETWEEN BHAR LMV AND BTM 32
TABLE 44 DESCRIPTIVE STATISTIC OF 3 YEAR BHAR WITH 33
DIFFERENT CATEGORY OF BTM VALUE
TABLE 45 DESCRIPTIVE STATISTIC OF 3 YEAR BHAR WITH 33
DIFFERENT CATEGORY OF MV
TABLE 46 ESTIMATION RESULTS ON THE REGRESSION BETWEEN 34
BHAR AND THE INDEPENDENT X~B~S I bullbullL I
I
bull bull
I
I
LIST OF DIAGRAM
DIAGRAM 341 RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN BUY -AND-HOLD ABNORMAL 26
RETURN WITH NATURAL LOGARITHM OF MARKET
VALUE AND BOOK-TO-MARKET RATIO
~
I
LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS
middotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddot middot-middotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddot-middot---middotmiddot-middot--middotmiddotr-middotmiddot~-middotmiddotmiddot~-middotmiddot-middot- -----------------------_shy middotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddot1
Abbreviation i Description
1-- - -~--l--- ---- ------ -- -------- -- ~
l_~~~ _ ____ Icumulati~~~~~orma~ ~eturn ______ ____ I BHR I Buy-and-Hold Return
middotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddot _ _middotmiddot_ -middot---middotf[SHAR---- ------l Buy~a~d=HoidAb~_~aTmiddotRetu
_ _- _ _- j_-_ r-LMV ---middot ----middot--r Nat~~al L--garithmmiddot~f M~k~tVal~~
---- shy[S-TM --------middotr Book-t~~Ma~ket~ati~ middot---middot middot----- middotmiddotmiddot-middotmiddotmiddot-middotmiddotmiddot- 1I l_ _____________ J _____ ___ __ _______ ___ _ ____1
1-- j bull
-
CHAPTER 1
INTRODUCTION
10 Overview
Share repurchase happened when a company bJ ys back its own shares Then the
company has the options either to cancel or hold them as treasury share that can be reshy
issued next time (Atrill 2009) Share buyback is one of the popular options besides
giving dividend for company who wish to distribute cash back to the shareholder
Jagannathan (2000) found out that open market repurchases in United States is pro-
cyclical and used by firms with higher temporary and non-operating cash flows
compare to dividend that tends to increase steadily over time and preferred by the firms
with higher permanent operating cash flows Jagannathan (2000) stated that share
repurchase usually happen following poor stock market performance while dividends
normally increase after good company perfonnance (cited in Vemimmen Quiry
Dallocchio Fur amp Salvi 2009)
According to Damodaran (200 I) there are basically three types of share buyback
process as below
(a) open-market repurchase by buying only a s~~ll~n~~il(6~omiddotoutStaDding stock in bull
the open market _
bull tmiddot
(b) tender offer where a finn plan to repurchase a large amount of the outstanding stock
for example 10 or more The finn will announce to the shareholders by specifying the
details like prte amount and duration of the repurchase
(c) negotiated repurchases is less widely used as the finn will negotiate with one of its
stockholder who owns a substantial amount of the shanes
Much of the prior studies had showed that share buyback has increased popularity
for finns to distribute cash rather than cash dividend Skinner (2008) had compared share
buyback and dividend in United States where he reviewed that amount of annual share
buyback value has exceeded cash dividend proving that share buyback has become the
preferred choice to distribute cash back to the shareholders (cited in Eije amp Megginson
2008) Evidence on popularity of share repurchase is easily observed from research by
Sabri (2003) as more countries changetf their law regarding share repurchase as
mentioned in the table below
Table 11
Changes in laws regarding share repurchase from 1995 to 2001 in the selected countries
Country
Australia
Effective Year 1995
Major changes
Deregulate the ~haIe- repUroha9ltt4ftVolv~PK [~moval of 10 limit
Denmark 2000 New Law on share repurchases applied since March 2000
Finland 1997 Companies shares
are pennitted to repurchase their own
Germany 1998 1998
1998
Change in tax regulation in favor of buyback shares Companies are pennitted to repurchase their own shares Modify th~ Security Act(STA 1998) related to
2
India
Japan
Netherlands Norway
Malaysia
Singapore
New Zealand Sweden
South Africa
Taiwan
1999
1995
2001 1999
1997
1998
1999
2000 1999 2000
1999
2000
disclosures of finns buy its own share Companies are pennitted to repurchase their own shares Companies are pennitted to repurchase their own shares Changes in Tax laws to encourage buybacks of shares Companies are pennitted to repurchase their own shares A public listed companies to repurchase its own shares or to give finallcial assistance to other persons to repurchase its own shares Companies are pennitted to repurchase their own shares Approving revision of share buybacks by Singapore Monterey Authority Issue tax treatment of buyback shares The buybacks of own shares law was amended Listed companies are pennitted to repurchase their own shares Listed companies are allowed to repurchase their own share by changing the companies Act of 1973 Listed companies are allowed to repurchase their own share
United Kingdom 1999 A consultation paper regard that Investment companies middotto be allowed to repurchase their own shares using capital profits
1996 A consultation paper regard to financial assistance by a company for the acquisition its own share
Sources Adopted from the finding by Sabri (2003) Using Treasury Repurchase Share to Stabilize
Stock Markets International Journal Of Business 8(4) 2003
There are also lots of studies that reviewed the purpose of inns repurchasing their
shares Among those Vemimmen Quiry Dallocchio Fur and Salvi (2009) stated several
possible reasons for share buybacks as below bull pr bull ~
(a) lack of better investment opportunity that cause Jllanager return excess funds for
shareholders to seek investment elsewhere
(b) managers give signal for goods news in future believing the shares are undervalued I
3
- I
(c) tax incentive as share buy backs is not taxable compare to paying dividend
(d) transferring value between shareholders who refuse to sell and shareholders who
~
accept the offer
(e) change leverage ratio by adjusting amount of equity
(t) prevent take over
(g) counter the dilution effect of share options
(h) provide managers tlexibiiity to make small adjustments in the capital structure and
etc
Generally share repurchase is believed to help the company achieving increase
in earnings per share (PIE) as the number of outstanding equity reduces However there are also arguments about this manipulation where the increase of PIE ratio is
accompanied with higher debt ratio which will post risk to the stability of the company
(Demodaran 2001)
12 Background of the study
Since share buyback was allowed in Malaysia on 1 September 1997 it is
increasingly gaining attention as compani~s st~ftea fo middotbii~~ its ~aros in large volume Based on the study by Is~ Ghani a~~ Lee on Malaysia listed company from
2001 to 2005 there were 149 firms with a total of 17864 repurchases days and total
purchase of 2309313664 shares This number is expected to increase as share
t I bull
4
=-shy I
pusat Khidmat Maklumat Akade~ UNIVERSm MALAYSIA SARAW
repurchase evolved to become a useful financial tool that is carried out by the
management to distribute excess cash to shareholders other than paying dividend
As share buyback is becoming commonly carried out many researches have been
done on announcement impact of share buyback Some the researches also reviewed that
share buyback announcement may not be carried ou as stated and hence it did not
generate positive impacts to the share price in the long run (Zhang 2002) Much fewer
researches were done on long tenn impact of actual share buyback as it required
significant amount of data that some stock exchange did not enclose
Although open market share repurchase is regularly being studied in United
States researchers nonnally encounter trouble in getting actual repurchase data as United
States has a general lack of disclosure requirement associated with share repurchase In
United States listed finn can buy back its own shares without making any
announcements and finns that already made announcements are under no obligation to
implement their proposed plans (Brockman amp Chung 2012) Thus this is difficult for
researcher to study the impact of actual share repurchases especially those that require
detail timing prices or magnitudes of the repurchases
In my study the issue of data does not occur as KLSE has a full disclosure on
share buyback In Malaysia a listed corporation middotltfanoniY1Ufcbas4its Qwn shares after ~ t middot t
getting authorization of its shareholders in a general meeting The share repurchase is
subject to rules under the Companies Act 1965 section 67 A and Part lIlA of the
Companies Regulations 1966 The shareholders will be infonned either through a
statement accompanying its notice of general meeting or a circular After the general
5
meeting that is called to consider the proposed share repurchase the listed corporation
must implediately announce the outcome to the stock exchange A listed corporation in
KLSE is only aJ1owed to purchase or hold not more than 10 of its issued and paid-up
capital
After a repurchase is carried out the listed corporation must immediately
announce to KLSE not later than 630pm on the day the purchase is made This
announcement will have to contain the detail as below
(a) date of purchase
(b) description of shares purchased
(0) number of shares purchased
(d) price of each share or where relevant the highest and lowest price paid
(e) total consideration paid
(0 number of shares purchased retained in treasury
(g) number of share purchased which are proposed to be cancelled
(h) cumulative net outstanding treasury s~ares at the date of notification where ~~ - ~ ~~
j bull bull L t
applicable
(i) where all or any of the shares are proposed to be cancelled the adjusted share capital
bull t r I
lt bull
6
13 Problem statement
Studyon abnormal return of share price for share buyback firms had been carried
out numerously across the countries that initiated share buyback Much of these studies
had indicated that there exists positive return on the share price either short run or long
run after share buyback announcement or actual sh~re buyback initiation Most of the
previous studies about share buyback in Malaysia were focus on share buyback
announcement and short term studies following the actual share repurchases As Malaysia
only allowed share buyback since 1 September 1997 it posts difficulties for the previous
researchers to study on the long run impacts after share buyback initiation as limited
numbers of data is available Therefore research on long run impact is crucial to clarify
whether there exits any long run abnormal return by comparing with the Kuala Lumpur
Composite Index KLCI as the benchmark
Other than that obtaining abnormal return is always the primary aim of deciding
any stock investment By assuming management has better timing and upfront
infonnation share repurchase would signal a good entry to gain an abnormal return
Therefore this study will benefit all the market participants towards long run impact of
share buyback initiation With data easily available in the Kuala Lumpur Stock
Exchange KLSE website it will be an in~eres~i~g topic to discover the relationship of - -111 ~ II
actual share buyback and its share price
- In order to streamline the large numbers of share buyback companies and further
identify those that really contribute to abnormal return characteristics of those companies
are investigated as well The long run return computed will be later linked to the specific i_ [ I
7
characteristic of these individual companies namely book-to-market ratio (BTM) and
marketyalue (MV) which are characteristics commonly study in the prior studies
14 Research Objectives
141 General Objective
This study aims to determine the long run abnormal return for firms that chose to initiate
share buyback program from 1999 to 2008 in Kuala Lumpur Stock Exchange
142 Specific Objectives
(a) To investigate the long run abnormal return of share repurchases to share price of
the repurchase firms from 1999 to 2008
(b) Investigate the relationship of long run abnormal return of share buyback companies with its market value (MV) and book-to-market (BTM) ratio
15 Significant of the study
As share buyback only initiated in Kuala Lumpur Exchange (KLSE) since 1997
very few publish journal have been done to review its relationship with its share price
Only few published journal was found to study on the short term announcement impact
using Cumulative Abnormal Return CAR This itpto15abiyo6e1hthe srn~JJI1umber of companies participating in share b~yback when the prsram is approved that become
limitation to the previous study As a result there exists the need to study the impact of
share buyback to the share price in a longer duration
If
) ~
8
_ - - - --
Other than that as investors always looking for indicators to achieve abnonnal
retuTJ in the stock market share repurchase that is said to have signaling effect will
probably be agood sign to buy or sell a stock Asymmetry infonnation lead many market
participants especially the retail investor to confuse on the intention of share buyback It
is still unknown whether share buyback really benefited the shareholders This proves
that it is important for this study to examine whether there exist any long run abnonnal
return after share buyback initiation so that it can be used as an indicator for market
participants
16 Scope of the study
This study intends to examine the long run impact of actual share buyback
initiation towards its share price of listed companies in Kuala Lumpur Exchange (KLSE)
The share buyback companies that will be covered are from 1 January 1999 until 31
December 2008 Each of these share buyback company will later be tracked down for
monthly perfonnance using Buy-and-Hold Abnonnal Return(BHAR) method starting
from the first day of initiating share buyback program until for the end of the three years
to examine the long run impact of share repurchase towards its share price Each of this
BHAR value will later be regressed with the book-to-market ratio (BTM) and natural
logarithm of market value (MV) to examine the ~~istence of any relationship bull ~ ~ j-
l ~ l i
I I bull
9
=========~--- ---- -- ----------------==-----------shy
17 Organization of the chapter
Chapt~r one covers introduction on the concept of share repurchase and the
happening around the listed nations It will also involve list of related research and issue
on share repurchase Chapter two involves literature review about the previous research It will review
several theories on share buyback that support existence of positive return research on
impact of announcement and actual repurchase characteristics of the share buyback
companies that possess abnormal returns the methodologies and others
Chapter 3 contains discussion on data coHection where the source will be stated
clearly The theoretical framework will be reviewed in detail follow by the derivation of
empirical model of this study and the method to be used for this study
Chapter 4 contains the result and detail discussion by compare and contrast with
previous findings The empirical result will be interpreted and discussed
Chapter 5 will contain the conclusion of this study policy implications and
limitation of the study
y ~ ~
bull [~ I
~ o
10
CHAPTER 2
LITERATURE REVIEW
21 Overview
As share buyback only initiated in Malaysia on 1997 after Asian Financial Crisis
there are still very few published journals found related to the issue of share buyback in
Malaysia One of the few published journal found is Market Reaction to Actual Share
Repurchase in Malaysia by Isa Ghani and Lee in 2011 which also stated in the journal
that they only found a published journal before their study which is Price Reaction to
Stock Repurchases Evidence from KLSE done by Lim and Bacha in 2002
In this chapter discussion will be started with motives behind the initiation of
share buyback that support existence of abnormal returns followed with previous finding
on the performance of share price following share repurchase As mentioned previously
due to relatively few published journal abotrt share repurchase in the Malaysia context
much of the argument will be based on previous research done in foreign countries that
may have some different behaviours from Malaysias situation
I
II
22 Theories on the motives of share buyback that support existence of abnormal
returns There e many theories about the reasons a company conducts a share buyback
Among the most popular theories that regularly being studied are signaling effects free
cash flows dividend substitution defensive strategies changing capital structures and
others In 2000 Ditmar did a research to test the motives of share buyback in United
States involving repurchase from the year 1977 till 1996 In his research he cited the
failure of previous research in determining the motives of share buyback where they only
tested a few motives neglecting other potential factors Therefore by using a censored
regression analysis he tested five motives of share buyback as below
(a) Excess Capital Hypothesis Repurchases and Distribution Policy
(b) Undervaluation Hypothesis Repurchases and Investment Policy
(c) Optimal Leverage Ratio Hypothesis Repurchases and Capital Structure Policy
(d) Management Incentive Hypothesis Repurchases and Compensation Policy
(e) Takeover Deterrence Hypothesis Repurchases and Corporate Control
Ditmar found out that it is possible that firms to repurchase stock for several reasons and
the statistics result support the hypothesis of excess capital the optimal leverage ratio the
undervaluation and the takeover deterrence
Lee and Suh in 20 II found that- the amOUI)ts of ~hare repurchases across countries bull - bull --- ~ bull ~1 bull 0
are significantly associated with large cash holdings Their study indicated that fmhs
across countries that repurchase share usually hold large amount of excess cash and
experience raised in amount of cash holdings prior to repurchases The increases in
excess cash appear to be achieved from decrease in capital ~xpen~iture instead of
l bull [ I I
12
ACKNOWLEGMENT
In the effort of making this study successful I would like to express my sincere
appreciation to my supervisor Dr Mohamad Jais for his guidance and support in the
whole process of this study Even though Dr Mohamad Jais was busy I am glad that he is
always willing to spend some time with me to discuss the study The expertise and
knowledge of my supervisor has benefited me to complete this study on time Dr
Mohamad Jais has provided me meaningful insight of the research
Besides that I would also like to express my appreciation to my course mates that
provided me valuable ideas and suggestions Furthermore I would like to express my
gratitude to my family members for their understanding and morale support in
completing this study The help and patie~ce given had strengthened me to complete this
study successfully
-
I l bull I
Pusat Khidmat Maklumat Akademik UNlVERSm MALAYSIA SARAWAK
TABLE OF CONTENTS
ABSTRACT
ABSTRAK
ACKNOWLEDMENT
CHAPTER 1 INTRODUCTION 11 OVERVIEW
12 BACKGROUND OF THE STUDY 4
713 PROBLEM STATEMENT
14 OBJECTIVE OF THE STUDY 8
15 SIGNIFICANCE OF THE STUDY 8
916 SCOPE OF THE STUDY
17 ORGANIZATION OF THE CHt-PTER 10
CHAPTER 2 LITERATURE REVIEW
21 OVERVIEW 11
22 THEORIES ON THE MOTIVES OF SHARE BUYBACK THAT 12
SUPPORT EXISTENCE OF ABNORMAL RETURNS
23 ANNOUNCEMENT IMPACTS 14 - y bull bull Y I shy bull
1 ~t bull bull
24 PRIOR STUDY ON ABNORMAL RETURN OF SHARE BUYBACK 16
FIRMS IN KLSE
25 CUMULATIVE ABNORMAL RETURN (CAR) VERSUS BUY AND 18
HOLD ABNORMAL RETURN (BHARf
1 bull ( I I
i
26 SUMMARY 20
CHAPTER 3 rnTHODOLOGY
31 OVERVIEW 21
32 DATA DESCRIPTION 21
33 METHODOLOGY 22
34 THEORETICAL FRAMEWORK
35 EMPIRICAL MODEL FOR CROSS REGRESSION
26
26
36 HYPOTHESIS DEVELOPMENT 27
37 SUMMARY 28
CHAPTER 4 RESULTS AND DISCUSSION
41 OVERVIEW 29
42 AVERAGE BUY-AND-HOLD ABNORMAL RETURNS ON THE
LONG RUN PERFORMANCE 29
43 RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN BHAR WITH MARKET VALUE AND
BOOK-TO-MARKET RATIO 32
44 SUMMARY 35
CHAPTER 5 DISCUSSION_ IMPLICATIONS LIMITATION AND
RECOMMEDA TION
51 INTRODUCTION
J
bull H
36
52 DISCUSSION 36
53 IMPLICATIONS 36 54 LImITATIONS AND RECOMMENDATION OF THE STUDY 37
55 CONCLUSION 38
~ ~
I 1 1 bull t middot
--
LIST OF TABLES
TABLE 11 mANGES IN LAWS REGARDING SHARE REPURCHASE 2
FROM 1995 TO 2001 IN THE SELECTED COUNTRIES
TABLE 31 THE DISTRIBUTION OF LISTED COMPANIES IN KLSE THAT 22
INITIA TED SHARE BUYBACK PROGRAM FROM THE YEAR
1999 UNTIL 2008
TABLE 41 DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS OF BHAR OF INDIVIDUAL YEAR 30
FROM 1999 TO 2008
TABLE 42 DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS OF BHR AND BHAR FROM 1 31
YEAR TO 3 YEAR AFTER SHARE BUYBACK INITIATION
TABLE 43 CORRELATION TEST BETWEEN BHAR LMV AND BTM 32
TABLE 44 DESCRIPTIVE STATISTIC OF 3 YEAR BHAR WITH 33
DIFFERENT CATEGORY OF BTM VALUE
TABLE 45 DESCRIPTIVE STATISTIC OF 3 YEAR BHAR WITH 33
DIFFERENT CATEGORY OF MV
TABLE 46 ESTIMATION RESULTS ON THE REGRESSION BETWEEN 34
BHAR AND THE INDEPENDENT X~B~S I bullbullL I
I
bull bull
I
I
LIST OF DIAGRAM
DIAGRAM 341 RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN BUY -AND-HOLD ABNORMAL 26
RETURN WITH NATURAL LOGARITHM OF MARKET
VALUE AND BOOK-TO-MARKET RATIO
~
I
LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS
middotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddot middot-middotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddot-middot---middotmiddot-middot--middotmiddotr-middotmiddot~-middotmiddotmiddot~-middotmiddot-middot- -----------------------_shy middotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddot1
Abbreviation i Description
1-- - -~--l--- ---- ------ -- -------- -- ~
l_~~~ _ ____ Icumulati~~~~~orma~ ~eturn ______ ____ I BHR I Buy-and-Hold Return
middotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddot _ _middotmiddot_ -middot---middotf[SHAR---- ------l Buy~a~d=HoidAb~_~aTmiddotRetu
_ _- _ _- j_-_ r-LMV ---middot ----middot--r Nat~~al L--garithmmiddot~f M~k~tVal~~
---- shy[S-TM --------middotr Book-t~~Ma~ket~ati~ middot---middot middot----- middotmiddotmiddot-middotmiddotmiddot-middotmiddotmiddot- 1I l_ _____________ J _____ ___ __ _______ ___ _ ____1
1-- j bull
-
CHAPTER 1
INTRODUCTION
10 Overview
Share repurchase happened when a company bJ ys back its own shares Then the
company has the options either to cancel or hold them as treasury share that can be reshy
issued next time (Atrill 2009) Share buyback is one of the popular options besides
giving dividend for company who wish to distribute cash back to the shareholder
Jagannathan (2000) found out that open market repurchases in United States is pro-
cyclical and used by firms with higher temporary and non-operating cash flows
compare to dividend that tends to increase steadily over time and preferred by the firms
with higher permanent operating cash flows Jagannathan (2000) stated that share
repurchase usually happen following poor stock market performance while dividends
normally increase after good company perfonnance (cited in Vemimmen Quiry
Dallocchio Fur amp Salvi 2009)
According to Damodaran (200 I) there are basically three types of share buyback
process as below
(a) open-market repurchase by buying only a s~~ll~n~~il(6~omiddotoutStaDding stock in bull
the open market _
bull tmiddot
(b) tender offer where a finn plan to repurchase a large amount of the outstanding stock
for example 10 or more The finn will announce to the shareholders by specifying the
details like prte amount and duration of the repurchase
(c) negotiated repurchases is less widely used as the finn will negotiate with one of its
stockholder who owns a substantial amount of the shanes
Much of the prior studies had showed that share buyback has increased popularity
for finns to distribute cash rather than cash dividend Skinner (2008) had compared share
buyback and dividend in United States where he reviewed that amount of annual share
buyback value has exceeded cash dividend proving that share buyback has become the
preferred choice to distribute cash back to the shareholders (cited in Eije amp Megginson
2008) Evidence on popularity of share repurchase is easily observed from research by
Sabri (2003) as more countries changetf their law regarding share repurchase as
mentioned in the table below
Table 11
Changes in laws regarding share repurchase from 1995 to 2001 in the selected countries
Country
Australia
Effective Year 1995
Major changes
Deregulate the ~haIe- repUroha9ltt4ftVolv~PK [~moval of 10 limit
Denmark 2000 New Law on share repurchases applied since March 2000
Finland 1997 Companies shares
are pennitted to repurchase their own
Germany 1998 1998
1998
Change in tax regulation in favor of buyback shares Companies are pennitted to repurchase their own shares Modify th~ Security Act(STA 1998) related to
2
India
Japan
Netherlands Norway
Malaysia
Singapore
New Zealand Sweden
South Africa
Taiwan
1999
1995
2001 1999
1997
1998
1999
2000 1999 2000
1999
2000
disclosures of finns buy its own share Companies are pennitted to repurchase their own shares Companies are pennitted to repurchase their own shares Changes in Tax laws to encourage buybacks of shares Companies are pennitted to repurchase their own shares A public listed companies to repurchase its own shares or to give finallcial assistance to other persons to repurchase its own shares Companies are pennitted to repurchase their own shares Approving revision of share buybacks by Singapore Monterey Authority Issue tax treatment of buyback shares The buybacks of own shares law was amended Listed companies are pennitted to repurchase their own shares Listed companies are allowed to repurchase their own share by changing the companies Act of 1973 Listed companies are allowed to repurchase their own share
United Kingdom 1999 A consultation paper regard that Investment companies middotto be allowed to repurchase their own shares using capital profits
1996 A consultation paper regard to financial assistance by a company for the acquisition its own share
Sources Adopted from the finding by Sabri (2003) Using Treasury Repurchase Share to Stabilize
Stock Markets International Journal Of Business 8(4) 2003
There are also lots of studies that reviewed the purpose of inns repurchasing their
shares Among those Vemimmen Quiry Dallocchio Fur and Salvi (2009) stated several
possible reasons for share buybacks as below bull pr bull ~
(a) lack of better investment opportunity that cause Jllanager return excess funds for
shareholders to seek investment elsewhere
(b) managers give signal for goods news in future believing the shares are undervalued I
3
- I
(c) tax incentive as share buy backs is not taxable compare to paying dividend
(d) transferring value between shareholders who refuse to sell and shareholders who
~
accept the offer
(e) change leverage ratio by adjusting amount of equity
(t) prevent take over
(g) counter the dilution effect of share options
(h) provide managers tlexibiiity to make small adjustments in the capital structure and
etc
Generally share repurchase is believed to help the company achieving increase
in earnings per share (PIE) as the number of outstanding equity reduces However there are also arguments about this manipulation where the increase of PIE ratio is
accompanied with higher debt ratio which will post risk to the stability of the company
(Demodaran 2001)
12 Background of the study
Since share buyback was allowed in Malaysia on 1 September 1997 it is
increasingly gaining attention as compani~s st~ftea fo middotbii~~ its ~aros in large volume Based on the study by Is~ Ghani a~~ Lee on Malaysia listed company from
2001 to 2005 there were 149 firms with a total of 17864 repurchases days and total
purchase of 2309313664 shares This number is expected to increase as share
t I bull
4
=-shy I
pusat Khidmat Maklumat Akade~ UNIVERSm MALAYSIA SARAW
repurchase evolved to become a useful financial tool that is carried out by the
management to distribute excess cash to shareholders other than paying dividend
As share buyback is becoming commonly carried out many researches have been
done on announcement impact of share buyback Some the researches also reviewed that
share buyback announcement may not be carried ou as stated and hence it did not
generate positive impacts to the share price in the long run (Zhang 2002) Much fewer
researches were done on long tenn impact of actual share buyback as it required
significant amount of data that some stock exchange did not enclose
Although open market share repurchase is regularly being studied in United
States researchers nonnally encounter trouble in getting actual repurchase data as United
States has a general lack of disclosure requirement associated with share repurchase In
United States listed finn can buy back its own shares without making any
announcements and finns that already made announcements are under no obligation to
implement their proposed plans (Brockman amp Chung 2012) Thus this is difficult for
researcher to study the impact of actual share repurchases especially those that require
detail timing prices or magnitudes of the repurchases
In my study the issue of data does not occur as KLSE has a full disclosure on
share buyback In Malaysia a listed corporation middotltfanoniY1Ufcbas4its Qwn shares after ~ t middot t
getting authorization of its shareholders in a general meeting The share repurchase is
subject to rules under the Companies Act 1965 section 67 A and Part lIlA of the
Companies Regulations 1966 The shareholders will be infonned either through a
statement accompanying its notice of general meeting or a circular After the general
5
meeting that is called to consider the proposed share repurchase the listed corporation
must implediately announce the outcome to the stock exchange A listed corporation in
KLSE is only aJ1owed to purchase or hold not more than 10 of its issued and paid-up
capital
After a repurchase is carried out the listed corporation must immediately
announce to KLSE not later than 630pm on the day the purchase is made This
announcement will have to contain the detail as below
(a) date of purchase
(b) description of shares purchased
(0) number of shares purchased
(d) price of each share or where relevant the highest and lowest price paid
(e) total consideration paid
(0 number of shares purchased retained in treasury
(g) number of share purchased which are proposed to be cancelled
(h) cumulative net outstanding treasury s~ares at the date of notification where ~~ - ~ ~~
j bull bull L t
applicable
(i) where all or any of the shares are proposed to be cancelled the adjusted share capital
bull t r I
lt bull
6
13 Problem statement
Studyon abnormal return of share price for share buyback firms had been carried
out numerously across the countries that initiated share buyback Much of these studies
had indicated that there exists positive return on the share price either short run or long
run after share buyback announcement or actual sh~re buyback initiation Most of the
previous studies about share buyback in Malaysia were focus on share buyback
announcement and short term studies following the actual share repurchases As Malaysia
only allowed share buyback since 1 September 1997 it posts difficulties for the previous
researchers to study on the long run impacts after share buyback initiation as limited
numbers of data is available Therefore research on long run impact is crucial to clarify
whether there exits any long run abnormal return by comparing with the Kuala Lumpur
Composite Index KLCI as the benchmark
Other than that obtaining abnormal return is always the primary aim of deciding
any stock investment By assuming management has better timing and upfront
infonnation share repurchase would signal a good entry to gain an abnormal return
Therefore this study will benefit all the market participants towards long run impact of
share buyback initiation With data easily available in the Kuala Lumpur Stock
Exchange KLSE website it will be an in~eres~i~g topic to discover the relationship of - -111 ~ II
actual share buyback and its share price
- In order to streamline the large numbers of share buyback companies and further
identify those that really contribute to abnormal return characteristics of those companies
are investigated as well The long run return computed will be later linked to the specific i_ [ I
7
characteristic of these individual companies namely book-to-market ratio (BTM) and
marketyalue (MV) which are characteristics commonly study in the prior studies
14 Research Objectives
141 General Objective
This study aims to determine the long run abnormal return for firms that chose to initiate
share buyback program from 1999 to 2008 in Kuala Lumpur Stock Exchange
142 Specific Objectives
(a) To investigate the long run abnormal return of share repurchases to share price of
the repurchase firms from 1999 to 2008
(b) Investigate the relationship of long run abnormal return of share buyback companies with its market value (MV) and book-to-market (BTM) ratio
15 Significant of the study
As share buyback only initiated in Kuala Lumpur Exchange (KLSE) since 1997
very few publish journal have been done to review its relationship with its share price
Only few published journal was found to study on the short term announcement impact
using Cumulative Abnormal Return CAR This itpto15abiyo6e1hthe srn~JJI1umber of companies participating in share b~yback when the prsram is approved that become
limitation to the previous study As a result there exists the need to study the impact of
share buyback to the share price in a longer duration
If
) ~
8
_ - - - --
Other than that as investors always looking for indicators to achieve abnonnal
retuTJ in the stock market share repurchase that is said to have signaling effect will
probably be agood sign to buy or sell a stock Asymmetry infonnation lead many market
participants especially the retail investor to confuse on the intention of share buyback It
is still unknown whether share buyback really benefited the shareholders This proves
that it is important for this study to examine whether there exist any long run abnonnal
return after share buyback initiation so that it can be used as an indicator for market
participants
16 Scope of the study
This study intends to examine the long run impact of actual share buyback
initiation towards its share price of listed companies in Kuala Lumpur Exchange (KLSE)
The share buyback companies that will be covered are from 1 January 1999 until 31
December 2008 Each of these share buyback company will later be tracked down for
monthly perfonnance using Buy-and-Hold Abnonnal Return(BHAR) method starting
from the first day of initiating share buyback program until for the end of the three years
to examine the long run impact of share repurchase towards its share price Each of this
BHAR value will later be regressed with the book-to-market ratio (BTM) and natural
logarithm of market value (MV) to examine the ~~istence of any relationship bull ~ ~ j-
l ~ l i
I I bull
9
=========~--- ---- -- ----------------==-----------shy
17 Organization of the chapter
Chapt~r one covers introduction on the concept of share repurchase and the
happening around the listed nations It will also involve list of related research and issue
on share repurchase Chapter two involves literature review about the previous research It will review
several theories on share buyback that support existence of positive return research on
impact of announcement and actual repurchase characteristics of the share buyback
companies that possess abnormal returns the methodologies and others
Chapter 3 contains discussion on data coHection where the source will be stated
clearly The theoretical framework will be reviewed in detail follow by the derivation of
empirical model of this study and the method to be used for this study
Chapter 4 contains the result and detail discussion by compare and contrast with
previous findings The empirical result will be interpreted and discussed
Chapter 5 will contain the conclusion of this study policy implications and
limitation of the study
y ~ ~
bull [~ I
~ o
10
CHAPTER 2
LITERATURE REVIEW
21 Overview
As share buyback only initiated in Malaysia on 1997 after Asian Financial Crisis
there are still very few published journals found related to the issue of share buyback in
Malaysia One of the few published journal found is Market Reaction to Actual Share
Repurchase in Malaysia by Isa Ghani and Lee in 2011 which also stated in the journal
that they only found a published journal before their study which is Price Reaction to
Stock Repurchases Evidence from KLSE done by Lim and Bacha in 2002
In this chapter discussion will be started with motives behind the initiation of
share buyback that support existence of abnormal returns followed with previous finding
on the performance of share price following share repurchase As mentioned previously
due to relatively few published journal abotrt share repurchase in the Malaysia context
much of the argument will be based on previous research done in foreign countries that
may have some different behaviours from Malaysias situation
I
II
22 Theories on the motives of share buyback that support existence of abnormal
returns There e many theories about the reasons a company conducts a share buyback
Among the most popular theories that regularly being studied are signaling effects free
cash flows dividend substitution defensive strategies changing capital structures and
others In 2000 Ditmar did a research to test the motives of share buyback in United
States involving repurchase from the year 1977 till 1996 In his research he cited the
failure of previous research in determining the motives of share buyback where they only
tested a few motives neglecting other potential factors Therefore by using a censored
regression analysis he tested five motives of share buyback as below
(a) Excess Capital Hypothesis Repurchases and Distribution Policy
(b) Undervaluation Hypothesis Repurchases and Investment Policy
(c) Optimal Leverage Ratio Hypothesis Repurchases and Capital Structure Policy
(d) Management Incentive Hypothesis Repurchases and Compensation Policy
(e) Takeover Deterrence Hypothesis Repurchases and Corporate Control
Ditmar found out that it is possible that firms to repurchase stock for several reasons and
the statistics result support the hypothesis of excess capital the optimal leverage ratio the
undervaluation and the takeover deterrence
Lee and Suh in 20 II found that- the amOUI)ts of ~hare repurchases across countries bull - bull --- ~ bull ~1 bull 0
are significantly associated with large cash holdings Their study indicated that fmhs
across countries that repurchase share usually hold large amount of excess cash and
experience raised in amount of cash holdings prior to repurchases The increases in
excess cash appear to be achieved from decrease in capital ~xpen~iture instead of
l bull [ I I
12
Pusat Khidmat Maklumat Akademik UNlVERSm MALAYSIA SARAWAK
TABLE OF CONTENTS
ABSTRACT
ABSTRAK
ACKNOWLEDMENT
CHAPTER 1 INTRODUCTION 11 OVERVIEW
12 BACKGROUND OF THE STUDY 4
713 PROBLEM STATEMENT
14 OBJECTIVE OF THE STUDY 8
15 SIGNIFICANCE OF THE STUDY 8
916 SCOPE OF THE STUDY
17 ORGANIZATION OF THE CHt-PTER 10
CHAPTER 2 LITERATURE REVIEW
21 OVERVIEW 11
22 THEORIES ON THE MOTIVES OF SHARE BUYBACK THAT 12
SUPPORT EXISTENCE OF ABNORMAL RETURNS
23 ANNOUNCEMENT IMPACTS 14 - y bull bull Y I shy bull
1 ~t bull bull
24 PRIOR STUDY ON ABNORMAL RETURN OF SHARE BUYBACK 16
FIRMS IN KLSE
25 CUMULATIVE ABNORMAL RETURN (CAR) VERSUS BUY AND 18
HOLD ABNORMAL RETURN (BHARf
1 bull ( I I
i
26 SUMMARY 20
CHAPTER 3 rnTHODOLOGY
31 OVERVIEW 21
32 DATA DESCRIPTION 21
33 METHODOLOGY 22
34 THEORETICAL FRAMEWORK
35 EMPIRICAL MODEL FOR CROSS REGRESSION
26
26
36 HYPOTHESIS DEVELOPMENT 27
37 SUMMARY 28
CHAPTER 4 RESULTS AND DISCUSSION
41 OVERVIEW 29
42 AVERAGE BUY-AND-HOLD ABNORMAL RETURNS ON THE
LONG RUN PERFORMANCE 29
43 RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN BHAR WITH MARKET VALUE AND
BOOK-TO-MARKET RATIO 32
44 SUMMARY 35
CHAPTER 5 DISCUSSION_ IMPLICATIONS LIMITATION AND
RECOMMEDA TION
51 INTRODUCTION
J
bull H
36
52 DISCUSSION 36
53 IMPLICATIONS 36 54 LImITATIONS AND RECOMMENDATION OF THE STUDY 37
55 CONCLUSION 38
~ ~
I 1 1 bull t middot
--
LIST OF TABLES
TABLE 11 mANGES IN LAWS REGARDING SHARE REPURCHASE 2
FROM 1995 TO 2001 IN THE SELECTED COUNTRIES
TABLE 31 THE DISTRIBUTION OF LISTED COMPANIES IN KLSE THAT 22
INITIA TED SHARE BUYBACK PROGRAM FROM THE YEAR
1999 UNTIL 2008
TABLE 41 DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS OF BHAR OF INDIVIDUAL YEAR 30
FROM 1999 TO 2008
TABLE 42 DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS OF BHR AND BHAR FROM 1 31
YEAR TO 3 YEAR AFTER SHARE BUYBACK INITIATION
TABLE 43 CORRELATION TEST BETWEEN BHAR LMV AND BTM 32
TABLE 44 DESCRIPTIVE STATISTIC OF 3 YEAR BHAR WITH 33
DIFFERENT CATEGORY OF BTM VALUE
TABLE 45 DESCRIPTIVE STATISTIC OF 3 YEAR BHAR WITH 33
DIFFERENT CATEGORY OF MV
TABLE 46 ESTIMATION RESULTS ON THE REGRESSION BETWEEN 34
BHAR AND THE INDEPENDENT X~B~S I bullbullL I
I
bull bull
I
I
LIST OF DIAGRAM
DIAGRAM 341 RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN BUY -AND-HOLD ABNORMAL 26
RETURN WITH NATURAL LOGARITHM OF MARKET
VALUE AND BOOK-TO-MARKET RATIO
~
I
LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS
middotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddot middot-middotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddot-middot---middotmiddot-middot--middotmiddotr-middotmiddot~-middotmiddotmiddot~-middotmiddot-middot- -----------------------_shy middotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddot1
Abbreviation i Description
1-- - -~--l--- ---- ------ -- -------- -- ~
l_~~~ _ ____ Icumulati~~~~~orma~ ~eturn ______ ____ I BHR I Buy-and-Hold Return
middotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddot _ _middotmiddot_ -middot---middotf[SHAR---- ------l Buy~a~d=HoidAb~_~aTmiddotRetu
_ _- _ _- j_-_ r-LMV ---middot ----middot--r Nat~~al L--garithmmiddot~f M~k~tVal~~
---- shy[S-TM --------middotr Book-t~~Ma~ket~ati~ middot---middot middot----- middotmiddotmiddot-middotmiddotmiddot-middotmiddotmiddot- 1I l_ _____________ J _____ ___ __ _______ ___ _ ____1
1-- j bull
-
CHAPTER 1
INTRODUCTION
10 Overview
Share repurchase happened when a company bJ ys back its own shares Then the
company has the options either to cancel or hold them as treasury share that can be reshy
issued next time (Atrill 2009) Share buyback is one of the popular options besides
giving dividend for company who wish to distribute cash back to the shareholder
Jagannathan (2000) found out that open market repurchases in United States is pro-
cyclical and used by firms with higher temporary and non-operating cash flows
compare to dividend that tends to increase steadily over time and preferred by the firms
with higher permanent operating cash flows Jagannathan (2000) stated that share
repurchase usually happen following poor stock market performance while dividends
normally increase after good company perfonnance (cited in Vemimmen Quiry
Dallocchio Fur amp Salvi 2009)
According to Damodaran (200 I) there are basically three types of share buyback
process as below
(a) open-market repurchase by buying only a s~~ll~n~~il(6~omiddotoutStaDding stock in bull
the open market _
bull tmiddot
(b) tender offer where a finn plan to repurchase a large amount of the outstanding stock
for example 10 or more The finn will announce to the shareholders by specifying the
details like prte amount and duration of the repurchase
(c) negotiated repurchases is less widely used as the finn will negotiate with one of its
stockholder who owns a substantial amount of the shanes
Much of the prior studies had showed that share buyback has increased popularity
for finns to distribute cash rather than cash dividend Skinner (2008) had compared share
buyback and dividend in United States where he reviewed that amount of annual share
buyback value has exceeded cash dividend proving that share buyback has become the
preferred choice to distribute cash back to the shareholders (cited in Eije amp Megginson
2008) Evidence on popularity of share repurchase is easily observed from research by
Sabri (2003) as more countries changetf their law regarding share repurchase as
mentioned in the table below
Table 11
Changes in laws regarding share repurchase from 1995 to 2001 in the selected countries
Country
Australia
Effective Year 1995
Major changes
Deregulate the ~haIe- repUroha9ltt4ftVolv~PK [~moval of 10 limit
Denmark 2000 New Law on share repurchases applied since March 2000
Finland 1997 Companies shares
are pennitted to repurchase their own
Germany 1998 1998
1998
Change in tax regulation in favor of buyback shares Companies are pennitted to repurchase their own shares Modify th~ Security Act(STA 1998) related to
2
India
Japan
Netherlands Norway
Malaysia
Singapore
New Zealand Sweden
South Africa
Taiwan
1999
1995
2001 1999
1997
1998
1999
2000 1999 2000
1999
2000
disclosures of finns buy its own share Companies are pennitted to repurchase their own shares Companies are pennitted to repurchase their own shares Changes in Tax laws to encourage buybacks of shares Companies are pennitted to repurchase their own shares A public listed companies to repurchase its own shares or to give finallcial assistance to other persons to repurchase its own shares Companies are pennitted to repurchase their own shares Approving revision of share buybacks by Singapore Monterey Authority Issue tax treatment of buyback shares The buybacks of own shares law was amended Listed companies are pennitted to repurchase their own shares Listed companies are allowed to repurchase their own share by changing the companies Act of 1973 Listed companies are allowed to repurchase their own share
United Kingdom 1999 A consultation paper regard that Investment companies middotto be allowed to repurchase their own shares using capital profits
1996 A consultation paper regard to financial assistance by a company for the acquisition its own share
Sources Adopted from the finding by Sabri (2003) Using Treasury Repurchase Share to Stabilize
Stock Markets International Journal Of Business 8(4) 2003
There are also lots of studies that reviewed the purpose of inns repurchasing their
shares Among those Vemimmen Quiry Dallocchio Fur and Salvi (2009) stated several
possible reasons for share buybacks as below bull pr bull ~
(a) lack of better investment opportunity that cause Jllanager return excess funds for
shareholders to seek investment elsewhere
(b) managers give signal for goods news in future believing the shares are undervalued I
3
- I
(c) tax incentive as share buy backs is not taxable compare to paying dividend
(d) transferring value between shareholders who refuse to sell and shareholders who
~
accept the offer
(e) change leverage ratio by adjusting amount of equity
(t) prevent take over
(g) counter the dilution effect of share options
(h) provide managers tlexibiiity to make small adjustments in the capital structure and
etc
Generally share repurchase is believed to help the company achieving increase
in earnings per share (PIE) as the number of outstanding equity reduces However there are also arguments about this manipulation where the increase of PIE ratio is
accompanied with higher debt ratio which will post risk to the stability of the company
(Demodaran 2001)
12 Background of the study
Since share buyback was allowed in Malaysia on 1 September 1997 it is
increasingly gaining attention as compani~s st~ftea fo middotbii~~ its ~aros in large volume Based on the study by Is~ Ghani a~~ Lee on Malaysia listed company from
2001 to 2005 there were 149 firms with a total of 17864 repurchases days and total
purchase of 2309313664 shares This number is expected to increase as share
t I bull
4
=-shy I
pusat Khidmat Maklumat Akade~ UNIVERSm MALAYSIA SARAW
repurchase evolved to become a useful financial tool that is carried out by the
management to distribute excess cash to shareholders other than paying dividend
As share buyback is becoming commonly carried out many researches have been
done on announcement impact of share buyback Some the researches also reviewed that
share buyback announcement may not be carried ou as stated and hence it did not
generate positive impacts to the share price in the long run (Zhang 2002) Much fewer
researches were done on long tenn impact of actual share buyback as it required
significant amount of data that some stock exchange did not enclose
Although open market share repurchase is regularly being studied in United
States researchers nonnally encounter trouble in getting actual repurchase data as United
States has a general lack of disclosure requirement associated with share repurchase In
United States listed finn can buy back its own shares without making any
announcements and finns that already made announcements are under no obligation to
implement their proposed plans (Brockman amp Chung 2012) Thus this is difficult for
researcher to study the impact of actual share repurchases especially those that require
detail timing prices or magnitudes of the repurchases
In my study the issue of data does not occur as KLSE has a full disclosure on
share buyback In Malaysia a listed corporation middotltfanoniY1Ufcbas4its Qwn shares after ~ t middot t
getting authorization of its shareholders in a general meeting The share repurchase is
subject to rules under the Companies Act 1965 section 67 A and Part lIlA of the
Companies Regulations 1966 The shareholders will be infonned either through a
statement accompanying its notice of general meeting or a circular After the general
5
meeting that is called to consider the proposed share repurchase the listed corporation
must implediately announce the outcome to the stock exchange A listed corporation in
KLSE is only aJ1owed to purchase or hold not more than 10 of its issued and paid-up
capital
After a repurchase is carried out the listed corporation must immediately
announce to KLSE not later than 630pm on the day the purchase is made This
announcement will have to contain the detail as below
(a) date of purchase
(b) description of shares purchased
(0) number of shares purchased
(d) price of each share or where relevant the highest and lowest price paid
(e) total consideration paid
(0 number of shares purchased retained in treasury
(g) number of share purchased which are proposed to be cancelled
(h) cumulative net outstanding treasury s~ares at the date of notification where ~~ - ~ ~~
j bull bull L t
applicable
(i) where all or any of the shares are proposed to be cancelled the adjusted share capital
bull t r I
lt bull
6
13 Problem statement
Studyon abnormal return of share price for share buyback firms had been carried
out numerously across the countries that initiated share buyback Much of these studies
had indicated that there exists positive return on the share price either short run or long
run after share buyback announcement or actual sh~re buyback initiation Most of the
previous studies about share buyback in Malaysia were focus on share buyback
announcement and short term studies following the actual share repurchases As Malaysia
only allowed share buyback since 1 September 1997 it posts difficulties for the previous
researchers to study on the long run impacts after share buyback initiation as limited
numbers of data is available Therefore research on long run impact is crucial to clarify
whether there exits any long run abnormal return by comparing with the Kuala Lumpur
Composite Index KLCI as the benchmark
Other than that obtaining abnormal return is always the primary aim of deciding
any stock investment By assuming management has better timing and upfront
infonnation share repurchase would signal a good entry to gain an abnormal return
Therefore this study will benefit all the market participants towards long run impact of
share buyback initiation With data easily available in the Kuala Lumpur Stock
Exchange KLSE website it will be an in~eres~i~g topic to discover the relationship of - -111 ~ II
actual share buyback and its share price
- In order to streamline the large numbers of share buyback companies and further
identify those that really contribute to abnormal return characteristics of those companies
are investigated as well The long run return computed will be later linked to the specific i_ [ I
7
characteristic of these individual companies namely book-to-market ratio (BTM) and
marketyalue (MV) which are characteristics commonly study in the prior studies
14 Research Objectives
141 General Objective
This study aims to determine the long run abnormal return for firms that chose to initiate
share buyback program from 1999 to 2008 in Kuala Lumpur Stock Exchange
142 Specific Objectives
(a) To investigate the long run abnormal return of share repurchases to share price of
the repurchase firms from 1999 to 2008
(b) Investigate the relationship of long run abnormal return of share buyback companies with its market value (MV) and book-to-market (BTM) ratio
15 Significant of the study
As share buyback only initiated in Kuala Lumpur Exchange (KLSE) since 1997
very few publish journal have been done to review its relationship with its share price
Only few published journal was found to study on the short term announcement impact
using Cumulative Abnormal Return CAR This itpto15abiyo6e1hthe srn~JJI1umber of companies participating in share b~yback when the prsram is approved that become
limitation to the previous study As a result there exists the need to study the impact of
share buyback to the share price in a longer duration
If
) ~
8
_ - - - --
Other than that as investors always looking for indicators to achieve abnonnal
retuTJ in the stock market share repurchase that is said to have signaling effect will
probably be agood sign to buy or sell a stock Asymmetry infonnation lead many market
participants especially the retail investor to confuse on the intention of share buyback It
is still unknown whether share buyback really benefited the shareholders This proves
that it is important for this study to examine whether there exist any long run abnonnal
return after share buyback initiation so that it can be used as an indicator for market
participants
16 Scope of the study
This study intends to examine the long run impact of actual share buyback
initiation towards its share price of listed companies in Kuala Lumpur Exchange (KLSE)
The share buyback companies that will be covered are from 1 January 1999 until 31
December 2008 Each of these share buyback company will later be tracked down for
monthly perfonnance using Buy-and-Hold Abnonnal Return(BHAR) method starting
from the first day of initiating share buyback program until for the end of the three years
to examine the long run impact of share repurchase towards its share price Each of this
BHAR value will later be regressed with the book-to-market ratio (BTM) and natural
logarithm of market value (MV) to examine the ~~istence of any relationship bull ~ ~ j-
l ~ l i
I I bull
9
=========~--- ---- -- ----------------==-----------shy
17 Organization of the chapter
Chapt~r one covers introduction on the concept of share repurchase and the
happening around the listed nations It will also involve list of related research and issue
on share repurchase Chapter two involves literature review about the previous research It will review
several theories on share buyback that support existence of positive return research on
impact of announcement and actual repurchase characteristics of the share buyback
companies that possess abnormal returns the methodologies and others
Chapter 3 contains discussion on data coHection where the source will be stated
clearly The theoretical framework will be reviewed in detail follow by the derivation of
empirical model of this study and the method to be used for this study
Chapter 4 contains the result and detail discussion by compare and contrast with
previous findings The empirical result will be interpreted and discussed
Chapter 5 will contain the conclusion of this study policy implications and
limitation of the study
y ~ ~
bull [~ I
~ o
10
CHAPTER 2
LITERATURE REVIEW
21 Overview
As share buyback only initiated in Malaysia on 1997 after Asian Financial Crisis
there are still very few published journals found related to the issue of share buyback in
Malaysia One of the few published journal found is Market Reaction to Actual Share
Repurchase in Malaysia by Isa Ghani and Lee in 2011 which also stated in the journal
that they only found a published journal before their study which is Price Reaction to
Stock Repurchases Evidence from KLSE done by Lim and Bacha in 2002
In this chapter discussion will be started with motives behind the initiation of
share buyback that support existence of abnormal returns followed with previous finding
on the performance of share price following share repurchase As mentioned previously
due to relatively few published journal abotrt share repurchase in the Malaysia context
much of the argument will be based on previous research done in foreign countries that
may have some different behaviours from Malaysias situation
I
II
22 Theories on the motives of share buyback that support existence of abnormal
returns There e many theories about the reasons a company conducts a share buyback
Among the most popular theories that regularly being studied are signaling effects free
cash flows dividend substitution defensive strategies changing capital structures and
others In 2000 Ditmar did a research to test the motives of share buyback in United
States involving repurchase from the year 1977 till 1996 In his research he cited the
failure of previous research in determining the motives of share buyback where they only
tested a few motives neglecting other potential factors Therefore by using a censored
regression analysis he tested five motives of share buyback as below
(a) Excess Capital Hypothesis Repurchases and Distribution Policy
(b) Undervaluation Hypothesis Repurchases and Investment Policy
(c) Optimal Leverage Ratio Hypothesis Repurchases and Capital Structure Policy
(d) Management Incentive Hypothesis Repurchases and Compensation Policy
(e) Takeover Deterrence Hypothesis Repurchases and Corporate Control
Ditmar found out that it is possible that firms to repurchase stock for several reasons and
the statistics result support the hypothesis of excess capital the optimal leverage ratio the
undervaluation and the takeover deterrence
Lee and Suh in 20 II found that- the amOUI)ts of ~hare repurchases across countries bull - bull --- ~ bull ~1 bull 0
are significantly associated with large cash holdings Their study indicated that fmhs
across countries that repurchase share usually hold large amount of excess cash and
experience raised in amount of cash holdings prior to repurchases The increases in
excess cash appear to be achieved from decrease in capital ~xpen~iture instead of
l bull [ I I
12
i
26 SUMMARY 20
CHAPTER 3 rnTHODOLOGY
31 OVERVIEW 21
32 DATA DESCRIPTION 21
33 METHODOLOGY 22
34 THEORETICAL FRAMEWORK
35 EMPIRICAL MODEL FOR CROSS REGRESSION
26
26
36 HYPOTHESIS DEVELOPMENT 27
37 SUMMARY 28
CHAPTER 4 RESULTS AND DISCUSSION
41 OVERVIEW 29
42 AVERAGE BUY-AND-HOLD ABNORMAL RETURNS ON THE
LONG RUN PERFORMANCE 29
43 RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN BHAR WITH MARKET VALUE AND
BOOK-TO-MARKET RATIO 32
44 SUMMARY 35
CHAPTER 5 DISCUSSION_ IMPLICATIONS LIMITATION AND
RECOMMEDA TION
51 INTRODUCTION
J
bull H
36
52 DISCUSSION 36
53 IMPLICATIONS 36 54 LImITATIONS AND RECOMMENDATION OF THE STUDY 37
55 CONCLUSION 38
~ ~
I 1 1 bull t middot
--
LIST OF TABLES
TABLE 11 mANGES IN LAWS REGARDING SHARE REPURCHASE 2
FROM 1995 TO 2001 IN THE SELECTED COUNTRIES
TABLE 31 THE DISTRIBUTION OF LISTED COMPANIES IN KLSE THAT 22
INITIA TED SHARE BUYBACK PROGRAM FROM THE YEAR
1999 UNTIL 2008
TABLE 41 DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS OF BHAR OF INDIVIDUAL YEAR 30
FROM 1999 TO 2008
TABLE 42 DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS OF BHR AND BHAR FROM 1 31
YEAR TO 3 YEAR AFTER SHARE BUYBACK INITIATION
TABLE 43 CORRELATION TEST BETWEEN BHAR LMV AND BTM 32
TABLE 44 DESCRIPTIVE STATISTIC OF 3 YEAR BHAR WITH 33
DIFFERENT CATEGORY OF BTM VALUE
TABLE 45 DESCRIPTIVE STATISTIC OF 3 YEAR BHAR WITH 33
DIFFERENT CATEGORY OF MV
TABLE 46 ESTIMATION RESULTS ON THE REGRESSION BETWEEN 34
BHAR AND THE INDEPENDENT X~B~S I bullbullL I
I
bull bull
I
I
LIST OF DIAGRAM
DIAGRAM 341 RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN BUY -AND-HOLD ABNORMAL 26
RETURN WITH NATURAL LOGARITHM OF MARKET
VALUE AND BOOK-TO-MARKET RATIO
~
I
LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS
middotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddot middot-middotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddot-middot---middotmiddot-middot--middotmiddotr-middotmiddot~-middotmiddotmiddot~-middotmiddot-middot- -----------------------_shy middotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddot1
Abbreviation i Description
1-- - -~--l--- ---- ------ -- -------- -- ~
l_~~~ _ ____ Icumulati~~~~~orma~ ~eturn ______ ____ I BHR I Buy-and-Hold Return
middotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddot _ _middotmiddot_ -middot---middotf[SHAR---- ------l Buy~a~d=HoidAb~_~aTmiddotRetu
_ _- _ _- j_-_ r-LMV ---middot ----middot--r Nat~~al L--garithmmiddot~f M~k~tVal~~
---- shy[S-TM --------middotr Book-t~~Ma~ket~ati~ middot---middot middot----- middotmiddotmiddot-middotmiddotmiddot-middotmiddotmiddot- 1I l_ _____________ J _____ ___ __ _______ ___ _ ____1
1-- j bull
-
CHAPTER 1
INTRODUCTION
10 Overview
Share repurchase happened when a company bJ ys back its own shares Then the
company has the options either to cancel or hold them as treasury share that can be reshy
issued next time (Atrill 2009) Share buyback is one of the popular options besides
giving dividend for company who wish to distribute cash back to the shareholder
Jagannathan (2000) found out that open market repurchases in United States is pro-
cyclical and used by firms with higher temporary and non-operating cash flows
compare to dividend that tends to increase steadily over time and preferred by the firms
with higher permanent operating cash flows Jagannathan (2000) stated that share
repurchase usually happen following poor stock market performance while dividends
normally increase after good company perfonnance (cited in Vemimmen Quiry
Dallocchio Fur amp Salvi 2009)
According to Damodaran (200 I) there are basically three types of share buyback
process as below
(a) open-market repurchase by buying only a s~~ll~n~~il(6~omiddotoutStaDding stock in bull
the open market _
bull tmiddot
(b) tender offer where a finn plan to repurchase a large amount of the outstanding stock
for example 10 or more The finn will announce to the shareholders by specifying the
details like prte amount and duration of the repurchase
(c) negotiated repurchases is less widely used as the finn will negotiate with one of its
stockholder who owns a substantial amount of the shanes
Much of the prior studies had showed that share buyback has increased popularity
for finns to distribute cash rather than cash dividend Skinner (2008) had compared share
buyback and dividend in United States where he reviewed that amount of annual share
buyback value has exceeded cash dividend proving that share buyback has become the
preferred choice to distribute cash back to the shareholders (cited in Eije amp Megginson
2008) Evidence on popularity of share repurchase is easily observed from research by
Sabri (2003) as more countries changetf their law regarding share repurchase as
mentioned in the table below
Table 11
Changes in laws regarding share repurchase from 1995 to 2001 in the selected countries
Country
Australia
Effective Year 1995
Major changes
Deregulate the ~haIe- repUroha9ltt4ftVolv~PK [~moval of 10 limit
Denmark 2000 New Law on share repurchases applied since March 2000
Finland 1997 Companies shares
are pennitted to repurchase their own
Germany 1998 1998
1998
Change in tax regulation in favor of buyback shares Companies are pennitted to repurchase their own shares Modify th~ Security Act(STA 1998) related to
2
India
Japan
Netherlands Norway
Malaysia
Singapore
New Zealand Sweden
South Africa
Taiwan
1999
1995
2001 1999
1997
1998
1999
2000 1999 2000
1999
2000
disclosures of finns buy its own share Companies are pennitted to repurchase their own shares Companies are pennitted to repurchase their own shares Changes in Tax laws to encourage buybacks of shares Companies are pennitted to repurchase their own shares A public listed companies to repurchase its own shares or to give finallcial assistance to other persons to repurchase its own shares Companies are pennitted to repurchase their own shares Approving revision of share buybacks by Singapore Monterey Authority Issue tax treatment of buyback shares The buybacks of own shares law was amended Listed companies are pennitted to repurchase their own shares Listed companies are allowed to repurchase their own share by changing the companies Act of 1973 Listed companies are allowed to repurchase their own share
United Kingdom 1999 A consultation paper regard that Investment companies middotto be allowed to repurchase their own shares using capital profits
1996 A consultation paper regard to financial assistance by a company for the acquisition its own share
Sources Adopted from the finding by Sabri (2003) Using Treasury Repurchase Share to Stabilize
Stock Markets International Journal Of Business 8(4) 2003
There are also lots of studies that reviewed the purpose of inns repurchasing their
shares Among those Vemimmen Quiry Dallocchio Fur and Salvi (2009) stated several
possible reasons for share buybacks as below bull pr bull ~
(a) lack of better investment opportunity that cause Jllanager return excess funds for
shareholders to seek investment elsewhere
(b) managers give signal for goods news in future believing the shares are undervalued I
3
- I
(c) tax incentive as share buy backs is not taxable compare to paying dividend
(d) transferring value between shareholders who refuse to sell and shareholders who
~
accept the offer
(e) change leverage ratio by adjusting amount of equity
(t) prevent take over
(g) counter the dilution effect of share options
(h) provide managers tlexibiiity to make small adjustments in the capital structure and
etc
Generally share repurchase is believed to help the company achieving increase
in earnings per share (PIE) as the number of outstanding equity reduces However there are also arguments about this manipulation where the increase of PIE ratio is
accompanied with higher debt ratio which will post risk to the stability of the company
(Demodaran 2001)
12 Background of the study
Since share buyback was allowed in Malaysia on 1 September 1997 it is
increasingly gaining attention as compani~s st~ftea fo middotbii~~ its ~aros in large volume Based on the study by Is~ Ghani a~~ Lee on Malaysia listed company from
2001 to 2005 there were 149 firms with a total of 17864 repurchases days and total
purchase of 2309313664 shares This number is expected to increase as share
t I bull
4
=-shy I
pusat Khidmat Maklumat Akade~ UNIVERSm MALAYSIA SARAW
repurchase evolved to become a useful financial tool that is carried out by the
management to distribute excess cash to shareholders other than paying dividend
As share buyback is becoming commonly carried out many researches have been
done on announcement impact of share buyback Some the researches also reviewed that
share buyback announcement may not be carried ou as stated and hence it did not
generate positive impacts to the share price in the long run (Zhang 2002) Much fewer
researches were done on long tenn impact of actual share buyback as it required
significant amount of data that some stock exchange did not enclose
Although open market share repurchase is regularly being studied in United
States researchers nonnally encounter trouble in getting actual repurchase data as United
States has a general lack of disclosure requirement associated with share repurchase In
United States listed finn can buy back its own shares without making any
announcements and finns that already made announcements are under no obligation to
implement their proposed plans (Brockman amp Chung 2012) Thus this is difficult for
researcher to study the impact of actual share repurchases especially those that require
detail timing prices or magnitudes of the repurchases
In my study the issue of data does not occur as KLSE has a full disclosure on
share buyback In Malaysia a listed corporation middotltfanoniY1Ufcbas4its Qwn shares after ~ t middot t
getting authorization of its shareholders in a general meeting The share repurchase is
subject to rules under the Companies Act 1965 section 67 A and Part lIlA of the
Companies Regulations 1966 The shareholders will be infonned either through a
statement accompanying its notice of general meeting or a circular After the general
5
meeting that is called to consider the proposed share repurchase the listed corporation
must implediately announce the outcome to the stock exchange A listed corporation in
KLSE is only aJ1owed to purchase or hold not more than 10 of its issued and paid-up
capital
After a repurchase is carried out the listed corporation must immediately
announce to KLSE not later than 630pm on the day the purchase is made This
announcement will have to contain the detail as below
(a) date of purchase
(b) description of shares purchased
(0) number of shares purchased
(d) price of each share or where relevant the highest and lowest price paid
(e) total consideration paid
(0 number of shares purchased retained in treasury
(g) number of share purchased which are proposed to be cancelled
(h) cumulative net outstanding treasury s~ares at the date of notification where ~~ - ~ ~~
j bull bull L t
applicable
(i) where all or any of the shares are proposed to be cancelled the adjusted share capital
bull t r I
lt bull
6
13 Problem statement
Studyon abnormal return of share price for share buyback firms had been carried
out numerously across the countries that initiated share buyback Much of these studies
had indicated that there exists positive return on the share price either short run or long
run after share buyback announcement or actual sh~re buyback initiation Most of the
previous studies about share buyback in Malaysia were focus on share buyback
announcement and short term studies following the actual share repurchases As Malaysia
only allowed share buyback since 1 September 1997 it posts difficulties for the previous
researchers to study on the long run impacts after share buyback initiation as limited
numbers of data is available Therefore research on long run impact is crucial to clarify
whether there exits any long run abnormal return by comparing with the Kuala Lumpur
Composite Index KLCI as the benchmark
Other than that obtaining abnormal return is always the primary aim of deciding
any stock investment By assuming management has better timing and upfront
infonnation share repurchase would signal a good entry to gain an abnormal return
Therefore this study will benefit all the market participants towards long run impact of
share buyback initiation With data easily available in the Kuala Lumpur Stock
Exchange KLSE website it will be an in~eres~i~g topic to discover the relationship of - -111 ~ II
actual share buyback and its share price
- In order to streamline the large numbers of share buyback companies and further
identify those that really contribute to abnormal return characteristics of those companies
are investigated as well The long run return computed will be later linked to the specific i_ [ I
7
characteristic of these individual companies namely book-to-market ratio (BTM) and
marketyalue (MV) which are characteristics commonly study in the prior studies
14 Research Objectives
141 General Objective
This study aims to determine the long run abnormal return for firms that chose to initiate
share buyback program from 1999 to 2008 in Kuala Lumpur Stock Exchange
142 Specific Objectives
(a) To investigate the long run abnormal return of share repurchases to share price of
the repurchase firms from 1999 to 2008
(b) Investigate the relationship of long run abnormal return of share buyback companies with its market value (MV) and book-to-market (BTM) ratio
15 Significant of the study
As share buyback only initiated in Kuala Lumpur Exchange (KLSE) since 1997
very few publish journal have been done to review its relationship with its share price
Only few published journal was found to study on the short term announcement impact
using Cumulative Abnormal Return CAR This itpto15abiyo6e1hthe srn~JJI1umber of companies participating in share b~yback when the prsram is approved that become
limitation to the previous study As a result there exists the need to study the impact of
share buyback to the share price in a longer duration
If
) ~
8
_ - - - --
Other than that as investors always looking for indicators to achieve abnonnal
retuTJ in the stock market share repurchase that is said to have signaling effect will
probably be agood sign to buy or sell a stock Asymmetry infonnation lead many market
participants especially the retail investor to confuse on the intention of share buyback It
is still unknown whether share buyback really benefited the shareholders This proves
that it is important for this study to examine whether there exist any long run abnonnal
return after share buyback initiation so that it can be used as an indicator for market
participants
16 Scope of the study
This study intends to examine the long run impact of actual share buyback
initiation towards its share price of listed companies in Kuala Lumpur Exchange (KLSE)
The share buyback companies that will be covered are from 1 January 1999 until 31
December 2008 Each of these share buyback company will later be tracked down for
monthly perfonnance using Buy-and-Hold Abnonnal Return(BHAR) method starting
from the first day of initiating share buyback program until for the end of the three years
to examine the long run impact of share repurchase towards its share price Each of this
BHAR value will later be regressed with the book-to-market ratio (BTM) and natural
logarithm of market value (MV) to examine the ~~istence of any relationship bull ~ ~ j-
l ~ l i
I I bull
9
=========~--- ---- -- ----------------==-----------shy
17 Organization of the chapter
Chapt~r one covers introduction on the concept of share repurchase and the
happening around the listed nations It will also involve list of related research and issue
on share repurchase Chapter two involves literature review about the previous research It will review
several theories on share buyback that support existence of positive return research on
impact of announcement and actual repurchase characteristics of the share buyback
companies that possess abnormal returns the methodologies and others
Chapter 3 contains discussion on data coHection where the source will be stated
clearly The theoretical framework will be reviewed in detail follow by the derivation of
empirical model of this study and the method to be used for this study
Chapter 4 contains the result and detail discussion by compare and contrast with
previous findings The empirical result will be interpreted and discussed
Chapter 5 will contain the conclusion of this study policy implications and
limitation of the study
y ~ ~
bull [~ I
~ o
10
CHAPTER 2
LITERATURE REVIEW
21 Overview
As share buyback only initiated in Malaysia on 1997 after Asian Financial Crisis
there are still very few published journals found related to the issue of share buyback in
Malaysia One of the few published journal found is Market Reaction to Actual Share
Repurchase in Malaysia by Isa Ghani and Lee in 2011 which also stated in the journal
that they only found a published journal before their study which is Price Reaction to
Stock Repurchases Evidence from KLSE done by Lim and Bacha in 2002
In this chapter discussion will be started with motives behind the initiation of
share buyback that support existence of abnormal returns followed with previous finding
on the performance of share price following share repurchase As mentioned previously
due to relatively few published journal abotrt share repurchase in the Malaysia context
much of the argument will be based on previous research done in foreign countries that
may have some different behaviours from Malaysias situation
I
II
22 Theories on the motives of share buyback that support existence of abnormal
returns There e many theories about the reasons a company conducts a share buyback
Among the most popular theories that regularly being studied are signaling effects free
cash flows dividend substitution defensive strategies changing capital structures and
others In 2000 Ditmar did a research to test the motives of share buyback in United
States involving repurchase from the year 1977 till 1996 In his research he cited the
failure of previous research in determining the motives of share buyback where they only
tested a few motives neglecting other potential factors Therefore by using a censored
regression analysis he tested five motives of share buyback as below
(a) Excess Capital Hypothesis Repurchases and Distribution Policy
(b) Undervaluation Hypothesis Repurchases and Investment Policy
(c) Optimal Leverage Ratio Hypothesis Repurchases and Capital Structure Policy
(d) Management Incentive Hypothesis Repurchases and Compensation Policy
(e) Takeover Deterrence Hypothesis Repurchases and Corporate Control
Ditmar found out that it is possible that firms to repurchase stock for several reasons and
the statistics result support the hypothesis of excess capital the optimal leverage ratio the
undervaluation and the takeover deterrence
Lee and Suh in 20 II found that- the amOUI)ts of ~hare repurchases across countries bull - bull --- ~ bull ~1 bull 0
are significantly associated with large cash holdings Their study indicated that fmhs
across countries that repurchase share usually hold large amount of excess cash and
experience raised in amount of cash holdings prior to repurchases The increases in
excess cash appear to be achieved from decrease in capital ~xpen~iture instead of
l bull [ I I
12
52 DISCUSSION 36
53 IMPLICATIONS 36 54 LImITATIONS AND RECOMMENDATION OF THE STUDY 37
55 CONCLUSION 38
~ ~
I 1 1 bull t middot
--
LIST OF TABLES
TABLE 11 mANGES IN LAWS REGARDING SHARE REPURCHASE 2
FROM 1995 TO 2001 IN THE SELECTED COUNTRIES
TABLE 31 THE DISTRIBUTION OF LISTED COMPANIES IN KLSE THAT 22
INITIA TED SHARE BUYBACK PROGRAM FROM THE YEAR
1999 UNTIL 2008
TABLE 41 DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS OF BHAR OF INDIVIDUAL YEAR 30
FROM 1999 TO 2008
TABLE 42 DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS OF BHR AND BHAR FROM 1 31
YEAR TO 3 YEAR AFTER SHARE BUYBACK INITIATION
TABLE 43 CORRELATION TEST BETWEEN BHAR LMV AND BTM 32
TABLE 44 DESCRIPTIVE STATISTIC OF 3 YEAR BHAR WITH 33
DIFFERENT CATEGORY OF BTM VALUE
TABLE 45 DESCRIPTIVE STATISTIC OF 3 YEAR BHAR WITH 33
DIFFERENT CATEGORY OF MV
TABLE 46 ESTIMATION RESULTS ON THE REGRESSION BETWEEN 34
BHAR AND THE INDEPENDENT X~B~S I bullbullL I
I
bull bull
I
I
LIST OF DIAGRAM
DIAGRAM 341 RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN BUY -AND-HOLD ABNORMAL 26
RETURN WITH NATURAL LOGARITHM OF MARKET
VALUE AND BOOK-TO-MARKET RATIO
~
I
LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS
middotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddot middot-middotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddot-middot---middotmiddot-middot--middotmiddotr-middotmiddot~-middotmiddotmiddot~-middotmiddot-middot- -----------------------_shy middotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddot1
Abbreviation i Description
1-- - -~--l--- ---- ------ -- -------- -- ~
l_~~~ _ ____ Icumulati~~~~~orma~ ~eturn ______ ____ I BHR I Buy-and-Hold Return
middotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddot _ _middotmiddot_ -middot---middotf[SHAR---- ------l Buy~a~d=HoidAb~_~aTmiddotRetu
_ _- _ _- j_-_ r-LMV ---middot ----middot--r Nat~~al L--garithmmiddot~f M~k~tVal~~
---- shy[S-TM --------middotr Book-t~~Ma~ket~ati~ middot---middot middot----- middotmiddotmiddot-middotmiddotmiddot-middotmiddotmiddot- 1I l_ _____________ J _____ ___ __ _______ ___ _ ____1
1-- j bull
-
CHAPTER 1
INTRODUCTION
10 Overview
Share repurchase happened when a company bJ ys back its own shares Then the
company has the options either to cancel or hold them as treasury share that can be reshy
issued next time (Atrill 2009) Share buyback is one of the popular options besides
giving dividend for company who wish to distribute cash back to the shareholder
Jagannathan (2000) found out that open market repurchases in United States is pro-
cyclical and used by firms with higher temporary and non-operating cash flows
compare to dividend that tends to increase steadily over time and preferred by the firms
with higher permanent operating cash flows Jagannathan (2000) stated that share
repurchase usually happen following poor stock market performance while dividends
normally increase after good company perfonnance (cited in Vemimmen Quiry
Dallocchio Fur amp Salvi 2009)
According to Damodaran (200 I) there are basically three types of share buyback
process as below
(a) open-market repurchase by buying only a s~~ll~n~~il(6~omiddotoutStaDding stock in bull
the open market _
bull tmiddot
(b) tender offer where a finn plan to repurchase a large amount of the outstanding stock
for example 10 or more The finn will announce to the shareholders by specifying the
details like prte amount and duration of the repurchase
(c) negotiated repurchases is less widely used as the finn will negotiate with one of its
stockholder who owns a substantial amount of the shanes
Much of the prior studies had showed that share buyback has increased popularity
for finns to distribute cash rather than cash dividend Skinner (2008) had compared share
buyback and dividend in United States where he reviewed that amount of annual share
buyback value has exceeded cash dividend proving that share buyback has become the
preferred choice to distribute cash back to the shareholders (cited in Eije amp Megginson
2008) Evidence on popularity of share repurchase is easily observed from research by
Sabri (2003) as more countries changetf their law regarding share repurchase as
mentioned in the table below
Table 11
Changes in laws regarding share repurchase from 1995 to 2001 in the selected countries
Country
Australia
Effective Year 1995
Major changes
Deregulate the ~haIe- repUroha9ltt4ftVolv~PK [~moval of 10 limit
Denmark 2000 New Law on share repurchases applied since March 2000
Finland 1997 Companies shares
are pennitted to repurchase their own
Germany 1998 1998
1998
Change in tax regulation in favor of buyback shares Companies are pennitted to repurchase their own shares Modify th~ Security Act(STA 1998) related to
2
India
Japan
Netherlands Norway
Malaysia
Singapore
New Zealand Sweden
South Africa
Taiwan
1999
1995
2001 1999
1997
1998
1999
2000 1999 2000
1999
2000
disclosures of finns buy its own share Companies are pennitted to repurchase their own shares Companies are pennitted to repurchase their own shares Changes in Tax laws to encourage buybacks of shares Companies are pennitted to repurchase their own shares A public listed companies to repurchase its own shares or to give finallcial assistance to other persons to repurchase its own shares Companies are pennitted to repurchase their own shares Approving revision of share buybacks by Singapore Monterey Authority Issue tax treatment of buyback shares The buybacks of own shares law was amended Listed companies are pennitted to repurchase their own shares Listed companies are allowed to repurchase their own share by changing the companies Act of 1973 Listed companies are allowed to repurchase their own share
United Kingdom 1999 A consultation paper regard that Investment companies middotto be allowed to repurchase their own shares using capital profits
1996 A consultation paper regard to financial assistance by a company for the acquisition its own share
Sources Adopted from the finding by Sabri (2003) Using Treasury Repurchase Share to Stabilize
Stock Markets International Journal Of Business 8(4) 2003
There are also lots of studies that reviewed the purpose of inns repurchasing their
shares Among those Vemimmen Quiry Dallocchio Fur and Salvi (2009) stated several
possible reasons for share buybacks as below bull pr bull ~
(a) lack of better investment opportunity that cause Jllanager return excess funds for
shareholders to seek investment elsewhere
(b) managers give signal for goods news in future believing the shares are undervalued I
3
- I
(c) tax incentive as share buy backs is not taxable compare to paying dividend
(d) transferring value between shareholders who refuse to sell and shareholders who
~
accept the offer
(e) change leverage ratio by adjusting amount of equity
(t) prevent take over
(g) counter the dilution effect of share options
(h) provide managers tlexibiiity to make small adjustments in the capital structure and
etc
Generally share repurchase is believed to help the company achieving increase
in earnings per share (PIE) as the number of outstanding equity reduces However there are also arguments about this manipulation where the increase of PIE ratio is
accompanied with higher debt ratio which will post risk to the stability of the company
(Demodaran 2001)
12 Background of the study
Since share buyback was allowed in Malaysia on 1 September 1997 it is
increasingly gaining attention as compani~s st~ftea fo middotbii~~ its ~aros in large volume Based on the study by Is~ Ghani a~~ Lee on Malaysia listed company from
2001 to 2005 there were 149 firms with a total of 17864 repurchases days and total
purchase of 2309313664 shares This number is expected to increase as share
t I bull
4
=-shy I
pusat Khidmat Maklumat Akade~ UNIVERSm MALAYSIA SARAW
repurchase evolved to become a useful financial tool that is carried out by the
management to distribute excess cash to shareholders other than paying dividend
As share buyback is becoming commonly carried out many researches have been
done on announcement impact of share buyback Some the researches also reviewed that
share buyback announcement may not be carried ou as stated and hence it did not
generate positive impacts to the share price in the long run (Zhang 2002) Much fewer
researches were done on long tenn impact of actual share buyback as it required
significant amount of data that some stock exchange did not enclose
Although open market share repurchase is regularly being studied in United
States researchers nonnally encounter trouble in getting actual repurchase data as United
States has a general lack of disclosure requirement associated with share repurchase In
United States listed finn can buy back its own shares without making any
announcements and finns that already made announcements are under no obligation to
implement their proposed plans (Brockman amp Chung 2012) Thus this is difficult for
researcher to study the impact of actual share repurchases especially those that require
detail timing prices or magnitudes of the repurchases
In my study the issue of data does not occur as KLSE has a full disclosure on
share buyback In Malaysia a listed corporation middotltfanoniY1Ufcbas4its Qwn shares after ~ t middot t
getting authorization of its shareholders in a general meeting The share repurchase is
subject to rules under the Companies Act 1965 section 67 A and Part lIlA of the
Companies Regulations 1966 The shareholders will be infonned either through a
statement accompanying its notice of general meeting or a circular After the general
5
meeting that is called to consider the proposed share repurchase the listed corporation
must implediately announce the outcome to the stock exchange A listed corporation in
KLSE is only aJ1owed to purchase or hold not more than 10 of its issued and paid-up
capital
After a repurchase is carried out the listed corporation must immediately
announce to KLSE not later than 630pm on the day the purchase is made This
announcement will have to contain the detail as below
(a) date of purchase
(b) description of shares purchased
(0) number of shares purchased
(d) price of each share or where relevant the highest and lowest price paid
(e) total consideration paid
(0 number of shares purchased retained in treasury
(g) number of share purchased which are proposed to be cancelled
(h) cumulative net outstanding treasury s~ares at the date of notification where ~~ - ~ ~~
j bull bull L t
applicable
(i) where all or any of the shares are proposed to be cancelled the adjusted share capital
bull t r I
lt bull
6
13 Problem statement
Studyon abnormal return of share price for share buyback firms had been carried
out numerously across the countries that initiated share buyback Much of these studies
had indicated that there exists positive return on the share price either short run or long
run after share buyback announcement or actual sh~re buyback initiation Most of the
previous studies about share buyback in Malaysia were focus on share buyback
announcement and short term studies following the actual share repurchases As Malaysia
only allowed share buyback since 1 September 1997 it posts difficulties for the previous
researchers to study on the long run impacts after share buyback initiation as limited
numbers of data is available Therefore research on long run impact is crucial to clarify
whether there exits any long run abnormal return by comparing with the Kuala Lumpur
Composite Index KLCI as the benchmark
Other than that obtaining abnormal return is always the primary aim of deciding
any stock investment By assuming management has better timing and upfront
infonnation share repurchase would signal a good entry to gain an abnormal return
Therefore this study will benefit all the market participants towards long run impact of
share buyback initiation With data easily available in the Kuala Lumpur Stock
Exchange KLSE website it will be an in~eres~i~g topic to discover the relationship of - -111 ~ II
actual share buyback and its share price
- In order to streamline the large numbers of share buyback companies and further
identify those that really contribute to abnormal return characteristics of those companies
are investigated as well The long run return computed will be later linked to the specific i_ [ I
7
characteristic of these individual companies namely book-to-market ratio (BTM) and
marketyalue (MV) which are characteristics commonly study in the prior studies
14 Research Objectives
141 General Objective
This study aims to determine the long run abnormal return for firms that chose to initiate
share buyback program from 1999 to 2008 in Kuala Lumpur Stock Exchange
142 Specific Objectives
(a) To investigate the long run abnormal return of share repurchases to share price of
the repurchase firms from 1999 to 2008
(b) Investigate the relationship of long run abnormal return of share buyback companies with its market value (MV) and book-to-market (BTM) ratio
15 Significant of the study
As share buyback only initiated in Kuala Lumpur Exchange (KLSE) since 1997
very few publish journal have been done to review its relationship with its share price
Only few published journal was found to study on the short term announcement impact
using Cumulative Abnormal Return CAR This itpto15abiyo6e1hthe srn~JJI1umber of companies participating in share b~yback when the prsram is approved that become
limitation to the previous study As a result there exists the need to study the impact of
share buyback to the share price in a longer duration
If
) ~
8
_ - - - --
Other than that as investors always looking for indicators to achieve abnonnal
retuTJ in the stock market share repurchase that is said to have signaling effect will
probably be agood sign to buy or sell a stock Asymmetry infonnation lead many market
participants especially the retail investor to confuse on the intention of share buyback It
is still unknown whether share buyback really benefited the shareholders This proves
that it is important for this study to examine whether there exist any long run abnonnal
return after share buyback initiation so that it can be used as an indicator for market
participants
16 Scope of the study
This study intends to examine the long run impact of actual share buyback
initiation towards its share price of listed companies in Kuala Lumpur Exchange (KLSE)
The share buyback companies that will be covered are from 1 January 1999 until 31
December 2008 Each of these share buyback company will later be tracked down for
monthly perfonnance using Buy-and-Hold Abnonnal Return(BHAR) method starting
from the first day of initiating share buyback program until for the end of the three years
to examine the long run impact of share repurchase towards its share price Each of this
BHAR value will later be regressed with the book-to-market ratio (BTM) and natural
logarithm of market value (MV) to examine the ~~istence of any relationship bull ~ ~ j-
l ~ l i
I I bull
9
=========~--- ---- -- ----------------==-----------shy
17 Organization of the chapter
Chapt~r one covers introduction on the concept of share repurchase and the
happening around the listed nations It will also involve list of related research and issue
on share repurchase Chapter two involves literature review about the previous research It will review
several theories on share buyback that support existence of positive return research on
impact of announcement and actual repurchase characteristics of the share buyback
companies that possess abnormal returns the methodologies and others
Chapter 3 contains discussion on data coHection where the source will be stated
clearly The theoretical framework will be reviewed in detail follow by the derivation of
empirical model of this study and the method to be used for this study
Chapter 4 contains the result and detail discussion by compare and contrast with
previous findings The empirical result will be interpreted and discussed
Chapter 5 will contain the conclusion of this study policy implications and
limitation of the study
y ~ ~
bull [~ I
~ o
10
CHAPTER 2
LITERATURE REVIEW
21 Overview
As share buyback only initiated in Malaysia on 1997 after Asian Financial Crisis
there are still very few published journals found related to the issue of share buyback in
Malaysia One of the few published journal found is Market Reaction to Actual Share
Repurchase in Malaysia by Isa Ghani and Lee in 2011 which also stated in the journal
that they only found a published journal before their study which is Price Reaction to
Stock Repurchases Evidence from KLSE done by Lim and Bacha in 2002
In this chapter discussion will be started with motives behind the initiation of
share buyback that support existence of abnormal returns followed with previous finding
on the performance of share price following share repurchase As mentioned previously
due to relatively few published journal abotrt share repurchase in the Malaysia context
much of the argument will be based on previous research done in foreign countries that
may have some different behaviours from Malaysias situation
I
II
22 Theories on the motives of share buyback that support existence of abnormal
returns There e many theories about the reasons a company conducts a share buyback
Among the most popular theories that regularly being studied are signaling effects free
cash flows dividend substitution defensive strategies changing capital structures and
others In 2000 Ditmar did a research to test the motives of share buyback in United
States involving repurchase from the year 1977 till 1996 In his research he cited the
failure of previous research in determining the motives of share buyback where they only
tested a few motives neglecting other potential factors Therefore by using a censored
regression analysis he tested five motives of share buyback as below
(a) Excess Capital Hypothesis Repurchases and Distribution Policy
(b) Undervaluation Hypothesis Repurchases and Investment Policy
(c) Optimal Leverage Ratio Hypothesis Repurchases and Capital Structure Policy
(d) Management Incentive Hypothesis Repurchases and Compensation Policy
(e) Takeover Deterrence Hypothesis Repurchases and Corporate Control
Ditmar found out that it is possible that firms to repurchase stock for several reasons and
the statistics result support the hypothesis of excess capital the optimal leverage ratio the
undervaluation and the takeover deterrence
Lee and Suh in 20 II found that- the amOUI)ts of ~hare repurchases across countries bull - bull --- ~ bull ~1 bull 0
are significantly associated with large cash holdings Their study indicated that fmhs
across countries that repurchase share usually hold large amount of excess cash and
experience raised in amount of cash holdings prior to repurchases The increases in
excess cash appear to be achieved from decrease in capital ~xpen~iture instead of
l bull [ I I
12
--
LIST OF TABLES
TABLE 11 mANGES IN LAWS REGARDING SHARE REPURCHASE 2
FROM 1995 TO 2001 IN THE SELECTED COUNTRIES
TABLE 31 THE DISTRIBUTION OF LISTED COMPANIES IN KLSE THAT 22
INITIA TED SHARE BUYBACK PROGRAM FROM THE YEAR
1999 UNTIL 2008
TABLE 41 DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS OF BHAR OF INDIVIDUAL YEAR 30
FROM 1999 TO 2008
TABLE 42 DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS OF BHR AND BHAR FROM 1 31
YEAR TO 3 YEAR AFTER SHARE BUYBACK INITIATION
TABLE 43 CORRELATION TEST BETWEEN BHAR LMV AND BTM 32
TABLE 44 DESCRIPTIVE STATISTIC OF 3 YEAR BHAR WITH 33
DIFFERENT CATEGORY OF BTM VALUE
TABLE 45 DESCRIPTIVE STATISTIC OF 3 YEAR BHAR WITH 33
DIFFERENT CATEGORY OF MV
TABLE 46 ESTIMATION RESULTS ON THE REGRESSION BETWEEN 34
BHAR AND THE INDEPENDENT X~B~S I bullbullL I
I
bull bull
I
I
LIST OF DIAGRAM
DIAGRAM 341 RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN BUY -AND-HOLD ABNORMAL 26
RETURN WITH NATURAL LOGARITHM OF MARKET
VALUE AND BOOK-TO-MARKET RATIO
~
I
LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS
middotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddot middot-middotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddot-middot---middotmiddot-middot--middotmiddotr-middotmiddot~-middotmiddotmiddot~-middotmiddot-middot- -----------------------_shy middotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddot1
Abbreviation i Description
1-- - -~--l--- ---- ------ -- -------- -- ~
l_~~~ _ ____ Icumulati~~~~~orma~ ~eturn ______ ____ I BHR I Buy-and-Hold Return
middotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddot _ _middotmiddot_ -middot---middotf[SHAR---- ------l Buy~a~d=HoidAb~_~aTmiddotRetu
_ _- _ _- j_-_ r-LMV ---middot ----middot--r Nat~~al L--garithmmiddot~f M~k~tVal~~
---- shy[S-TM --------middotr Book-t~~Ma~ket~ati~ middot---middot middot----- middotmiddotmiddot-middotmiddotmiddot-middotmiddotmiddot- 1I l_ _____________ J _____ ___ __ _______ ___ _ ____1
1-- j bull
-
CHAPTER 1
INTRODUCTION
10 Overview
Share repurchase happened when a company bJ ys back its own shares Then the
company has the options either to cancel or hold them as treasury share that can be reshy
issued next time (Atrill 2009) Share buyback is one of the popular options besides
giving dividend for company who wish to distribute cash back to the shareholder
Jagannathan (2000) found out that open market repurchases in United States is pro-
cyclical and used by firms with higher temporary and non-operating cash flows
compare to dividend that tends to increase steadily over time and preferred by the firms
with higher permanent operating cash flows Jagannathan (2000) stated that share
repurchase usually happen following poor stock market performance while dividends
normally increase after good company perfonnance (cited in Vemimmen Quiry
Dallocchio Fur amp Salvi 2009)
According to Damodaran (200 I) there are basically three types of share buyback
process as below
(a) open-market repurchase by buying only a s~~ll~n~~il(6~omiddotoutStaDding stock in bull
the open market _
bull tmiddot
(b) tender offer where a finn plan to repurchase a large amount of the outstanding stock
for example 10 or more The finn will announce to the shareholders by specifying the
details like prte amount and duration of the repurchase
(c) negotiated repurchases is less widely used as the finn will negotiate with one of its
stockholder who owns a substantial amount of the shanes
Much of the prior studies had showed that share buyback has increased popularity
for finns to distribute cash rather than cash dividend Skinner (2008) had compared share
buyback and dividend in United States where he reviewed that amount of annual share
buyback value has exceeded cash dividend proving that share buyback has become the
preferred choice to distribute cash back to the shareholders (cited in Eije amp Megginson
2008) Evidence on popularity of share repurchase is easily observed from research by
Sabri (2003) as more countries changetf their law regarding share repurchase as
mentioned in the table below
Table 11
Changes in laws regarding share repurchase from 1995 to 2001 in the selected countries
Country
Australia
Effective Year 1995
Major changes
Deregulate the ~haIe- repUroha9ltt4ftVolv~PK [~moval of 10 limit
Denmark 2000 New Law on share repurchases applied since March 2000
Finland 1997 Companies shares
are pennitted to repurchase their own
Germany 1998 1998
1998
Change in tax regulation in favor of buyback shares Companies are pennitted to repurchase their own shares Modify th~ Security Act(STA 1998) related to
2
India
Japan
Netherlands Norway
Malaysia
Singapore
New Zealand Sweden
South Africa
Taiwan
1999
1995
2001 1999
1997
1998
1999
2000 1999 2000
1999
2000
disclosures of finns buy its own share Companies are pennitted to repurchase their own shares Companies are pennitted to repurchase their own shares Changes in Tax laws to encourage buybacks of shares Companies are pennitted to repurchase their own shares A public listed companies to repurchase its own shares or to give finallcial assistance to other persons to repurchase its own shares Companies are pennitted to repurchase their own shares Approving revision of share buybacks by Singapore Monterey Authority Issue tax treatment of buyback shares The buybacks of own shares law was amended Listed companies are pennitted to repurchase their own shares Listed companies are allowed to repurchase their own share by changing the companies Act of 1973 Listed companies are allowed to repurchase their own share
United Kingdom 1999 A consultation paper regard that Investment companies middotto be allowed to repurchase their own shares using capital profits
1996 A consultation paper regard to financial assistance by a company for the acquisition its own share
Sources Adopted from the finding by Sabri (2003) Using Treasury Repurchase Share to Stabilize
Stock Markets International Journal Of Business 8(4) 2003
There are also lots of studies that reviewed the purpose of inns repurchasing their
shares Among those Vemimmen Quiry Dallocchio Fur and Salvi (2009) stated several
possible reasons for share buybacks as below bull pr bull ~
(a) lack of better investment opportunity that cause Jllanager return excess funds for
shareholders to seek investment elsewhere
(b) managers give signal for goods news in future believing the shares are undervalued I
3
- I
(c) tax incentive as share buy backs is not taxable compare to paying dividend
(d) transferring value between shareholders who refuse to sell and shareholders who
~
accept the offer
(e) change leverage ratio by adjusting amount of equity
(t) prevent take over
(g) counter the dilution effect of share options
(h) provide managers tlexibiiity to make small adjustments in the capital structure and
etc
Generally share repurchase is believed to help the company achieving increase
in earnings per share (PIE) as the number of outstanding equity reduces However there are also arguments about this manipulation where the increase of PIE ratio is
accompanied with higher debt ratio which will post risk to the stability of the company
(Demodaran 2001)
12 Background of the study
Since share buyback was allowed in Malaysia on 1 September 1997 it is
increasingly gaining attention as compani~s st~ftea fo middotbii~~ its ~aros in large volume Based on the study by Is~ Ghani a~~ Lee on Malaysia listed company from
2001 to 2005 there were 149 firms with a total of 17864 repurchases days and total
purchase of 2309313664 shares This number is expected to increase as share
t I bull
4
=-shy I
pusat Khidmat Maklumat Akade~ UNIVERSm MALAYSIA SARAW
repurchase evolved to become a useful financial tool that is carried out by the
management to distribute excess cash to shareholders other than paying dividend
As share buyback is becoming commonly carried out many researches have been
done on announcement impact of share buyback Some the researches also reviewed that
share buyback announcement may not be carried ou as stated and hence it did not
generate positive impacts to the share price in the long run (Zhang 2002) Much fewer
researches were done on long tenn impact of actual share buyback as it required
significant amount of data that some stock exchange did not enclose
Although open market share repurchase is regularly being studied in United
States researchers nonnally encounter trouble in getting actual repurchase data as United
States has a general lack of disclosure requirement associated with share repurchase In
United States listed finn can buy back its own shares without making any
announcements and finns that already made announcements are under no obligation to
implement their proposed plans (Brockman amp Chung 2012) Thus this is difficult for
researcher to study the impact of actual share repurchases especially those that require
detail timing prices or magnitudes of the repurchases
In my study the issue of data does not occur as KLSE has a full disclosure on
share buyback In Malaysia a listed corporation middotltfanoniY1Ufcbas4its Qwn shares after ~ t middot t
getting authorization of its shareholders in a general meeting The share repurchase is
subject to rules under the Companies Act 1965 section 67 A and Part lIlA of the
Companies Regulations 1966 The shareholders will be infonned either through a
statement accompanying its notice of general meeting or a circular After the general
5
meeting that is called to consider the proposed share repurchase the listed corporation
must implediately announce the outcome to the stock exchange A listed corporation in
KLSE is only aJ1owed to purchase or hold not more than 10 of its issued and paid-up
capital
After a repurchase is carried out the listed corporation must immediately
announce to KLSE not later than 630pm on the day the purchase is made This
announcement will have to contain the detail as below
(a) date of purchase
(b) description of shares purchased
(0) number of shares purchased
(d) price of each share or where relevant the highest and lowest price paid
(e) total consideration paid
(0 number of shares purchased retained in treasury
(g) number of share purchased which are proposed to be cancelled
(h) cumulative net outstanding treasury s~ares at the date of notification where ~~ - ~ ~~
j bull bull L t
applicable
(i) where all or any of the shares are proposed to be cancelled the adjusted share capital
bull t r I
lt bull
6
13 Problem statement
Studyon abnormal return of share price for share buyback firms had been carried
out numerously across the countries that initiated share buyback Much of these studies
had indicated that there exists positive return on the share price either short run or long
run after share buyback announcement or actual sh~re buyback initiation Most of the
previous studies about share buyback in Malaysia were focus on share buyback
announcement and short term studies following the actual share repurchases As Malaysia
only allowed share buyback since 1 September 1997 it posts difficulties for the previous
researchers to study on the long run impacts after share buyback initiation as limited
numbers of data is available Therefore research on long run impact is crucial to clarify
whether there exits any long run abnormal return by comparing with the Kuala Lumpur
Composite Index KLCI as the benchmark
Other than that obtaining abnormal return is always the primary aim of deciding
any stock investment By assuming management has better timing and upfront
infonnation share repurchase would signal a good entry to gain an abnormal return
Therefore this study will benefit all the market participants towards long run impact of
share buyback initiation With data easily available in the Kuala Lumpur Stock
Exchange KLSE website it will be an in~eres~i~g topic to discover the relationship of - -111 ~ II
actual share buyback and its share price
- In order to streamline the large numbers of share buyback companies and further
identify those that really contribute to abnormal return characteristics of those companies
are investigated as well The long run return computed will be later linked to the specific i_ [ I
7
characteristic of these individual companies namely book-to-market ratio (BTM) and
marketyalue (MV) which are characteristics commonly study in the prior studies
14 Research Objectives
141 General Objective
This study aims to determine the long run abnormal return for firms that chose to initiate
share buyback program from 1999 to 2008 in Kuala Lumpur Stock Exchange
142 Specific Objectives
(a) To investigate the long run abnormal return of share repurchases to share price of
the repurchase firms from 1999 to 2008
(b) Investigate the relationship of long run abnormal return of share buyback companies with its market value (MV) and book-to-market (BTM) ratio
15 Significant of the study
As share buyback only initiated in Kuala Lumpur Exchange (KLSE) since 1997
very few publish journal have been done to review its relationship with its share price
Only few published journal was found to study on the short term announcement impact
using Cumulative Abnormal Return CAR This itpto15abiyo6e1hthe srn~JJI1umber of companies participating in share b~yback when the prsram is approved that become
limitation to the previous study As a result there exists the need to study the impact of
share buyback to the share price in a longer duration
If
) ~
8
_ - - - --
Other than that as investors always looking for indicators to achieve abnonnal
retuTJ in the stock market share repurchase that is said to have signaling effect will
probably be agood sign to buy or sell a stock Asymmetry infonnation lead many market
participants especially the retail investor to confuse on the intention of share buyback It
is still unknown whether share buyback really benefited the shareholders This proves
that it is important for this study to examine whether there exist any long run abnonnal
return after share buyback initiation so that it can be used as an indicator for market
participants
16 Scope of the study
This study intends to examine the long run impact of actual share buyback
initiation towards its share price of listed companies in Kuala Lumpur Exchange (KLSE)
The share buyback companies that will be covered are from 1 January 1999 until 31
December 2008 Each of these share buyback company will later be tracked down for
monthly perfonnance using Buy-and-Hold Abnonnal Return(BHAR) method starting
from the first day of initiating share buyback program until for the end of the three years
to examine the long run impact of share repurchase towards its share price Each of this
BHAR value will later be regressed with the book-to-market ratio (BTM) and natural
logarithm of market value (MV) to examine the ~~istence of any relationship bull ~ ~ j-
l ~ l i
I I bull
9
=========~--- ---- -- ----------------==-----------shy
17 Organization of the chapter
Chapt~r one covers introduction on the concept of share repurchase and the
happening around the listed nations It will also involve list of related research and issue
on share repurchase Chapter two involves literature review about the previous research It will review
several theories on share buyback that support existence of positive return research on
impact of announcement and actual repurchase characteristics of the share buyback
companies that possess abnormal returns the methodologies and others
Chapter 3 contains discussion on data coHection where the source will be stated
clearly The theoretical framework will be reviewed in detail follow by the derivation of
empirical model of this study and the method to be used for this study
Chapter 4 contains the result and detail discussion by compare and contrast with
previous findings The empirical result will be interpreted and discussed
Chapter 5 will contain the conclusion of this study policy implications and
limitation of the study
y ~ ~
bull [~ I
~ o
10
CHAPTER 2
LITERATURE REVIEW
21 Overview
As share buyback only initiated in Malaysia on 1997 after Asian Financial Crisis
there are still very few published journals found related to the issue of share buyback in
Malaysia One of the few published journal found is Market Reaction to Actual Share
Repurchase in Malaysia by Isa Ghani and Lee in 2011 which also stated in the journal
that they only found a published journal before their study which is Price Reaction to
Stock Repurchases Evidence from KLSE done by Lim and Bacha in 2002
In this chapter discussion will be started with motives behind the initiation of
share buyback that support existence of abnormal returns followed with previous finding
on the performance of share price following share repurchase As mentioned previously
due to relatively few published journal abotrt share repurchase in the Malaysia context
much of the argument will be based on previous research done in foreign countries that
may have some different behaviours from Malaysias situation
I
II
22 Theories on the motives of share buyback that support existence of abnormal
returns There e many theories about the reasons a company conducts a share buyback
Among the most popular theories that regularly being studied are signaling effects free
cash flows dividend substitution defensive strategies changing capital structures and
others In 2000 Ditmar did a research to test the motives of share buyback in United
States involving repurchase from the year 1977 till 1996 In his research he cited the
failure of previous research in determining the motives of share buyback where they only
tested a few motives neglecting other potential factors Therefore by using a censored
regression analysis he tested five motives of share buyback as below
(a) Excess Capital Hypothesis Repurchases and Distribution Policy
(b) Undervaluation Hypothesis Repurchases and Investment Policy
(c) Optimal Leverage Ratio Hypothesis Repurchases and Capital Structure Policy
(d) Management Incentive Hypothesis Repurchases and Compensation Policy
(e) Takeover Deterrence Hypothesis Repurchases and Corporate Control
Ditmar found out that it is possible that firms to repurchase stock for several reasons and
the statistics result support the hypothesis of excess capital the optimal leverage ratio the
undervaluation and the takeover deterrence
Lee and Suh in 20 II found that- the amOUI)ts of ~hare repurchases across countries bull - bull --- ~ bull ~1 bull 0
are significantly associated with large cash holdings Their study indicated that fmhs
across countries that repurchase share usually hold large amount of excess cash and
experience raised in amount of cash holdings prior to repurchases The increases in
excess cash appear to be achieved from decrease in capital ~xpen~iture instead of
l bull [ I I
12
bull bull
I
I
LIST OF DIAGRAM
DIAGRAM 341 RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN BUY -AND-HOLD ABNORMAL 26
RETURN WITH NATURAL LOGARITHM OF MARKET
VALUE AND BOOK-TO-MARKET RATIO
~
I
LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS
middotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddot middot-middotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddot-middot---middotmiddot-middot--middotmiddotr-middotmiddot~-middotmiddotmiddot~-middotmiddot-middot- -----------------------_shy middotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddot1
Abbreviation i Description
1-- - -~--l--- ---- ------ -- -------- -- ~
l_~~~ _ ____ Icumulati~~~~~orma~ ~eturn ______ ____ I BHR I Buy-and-Hold Return
middotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddot _ _middotmiddot_ -middot---middotf[SHAR---- ------l Buy~a~d=HoidAb~_~aTmiddotRetu
_ _- _ _- j_-_ r-LMV ---middot ----middot--r Nat~~al L--garithmmiddot~f M~k~tVal~~
---- shy[S-TM --------middotr Book-t~~Ma~ket~ati~ middot---middot middot----- middotmiddotmiddot-middotmiddotmiddot-middotmiddotmiddot- 1I l_ _____________ J _____ ___ __ _______ ___ _ ____1
1-- j bull
-
CHAPTER 1
INTRODUCTION
10 Overview
Share repurchase happened when a company bJ ys back its own shares Then the
company has the options either to cancel or hold them as treasury share that can be reshy
issued next time (Atrill 2009) Share buyback is one of the popular options besides
giving dividend for company who wish to distribute cash back to the shareholder
Jagannathan (2000) found out that open market repurchases in United States is pro-
cyclical and used by firms with higher temporary and non-operating cash flows
compare to dividend that tends to increase steadily over time and preferred by the firms
with higher permanent operating cash flows Jagannathan (2000) stated that share
repurchase usually happen following poor stock market performance while dividends
normally increase after good company perfonnance (cited in Vemimmen Quiry
Dallocchio Fur amp Salvi 2009)
According to Damodaran (200 I) there are basically three types of share buyback
process as below
(a) open-market repurchase by buying only a s~~ll~n~~il(6~omiddotoutStaDding stock in bull
the open market _
bull tmiddot
(b) tender offer where a finn plan to repurchase a large amount of the outstanding stock
for example 10 or more The finn will announce to the shareholders by specifying the
details like prte amount and duration of the repurchase
(c) negotiated repurchases is less widely used as the finn will negotiate with one of its
stockholder who owns a substantial amount of the shanes
Much of the prior studies had showed that share buyback has increased popularity
for finns to distribute cash rather than cash dividend Skinner (2008) had compared share
buyback and dividend in United States where he reviewed that amount of annual share
buyback value has exceeded cash dividend proving that share buyback has become the
preferred choice to distribute cash back to the shareholders (cited in Eije amp Megginson
2008) Evidence on popularity of share repurchase is easily observed from research by
Sabri (2003) as more countries changetf their law regarding share repurchase as
mentioned in the table below
Table 11
Changes in laws regarding share repurchase from 1995 to 2001 in the selected countries
Country
Australia
Effective Year 1995
Major changes
Deregulate the ~haIe- repUroha9ltt4ftVolv~PK [~moval of 10 limit
Denmark 2000 New Law on share repurchases applied since March 2000
Finland 1997 Companies shares
are pennitted to repurchase their own
Germany 1998 1998
1998
Change in tax regulation in favor of buyback shares Companies are pennitted to repurchase their own shares Modify th~ Security Act(STA 1998) related to
2
India
Japan
Netherlands Norway
Malaysia
Singapore
New Zealand Sweden
South Africa
Taiwan
1999
1995
2001 1999
1997
1998
1999
2000 1999 2000
1999
2000
disclosures of finns buy its own share Companies are pennitted to repurchase their own shares Companies are pennitted to repurchase their own shares Changes in Tax laws to encourage buybacks of shares Companies are pennitted to repurchase their own shares A public listed companies to repurchase its own shares or to give finallcial assistance to other persons to repurchase its own shares Companies are pennitted to repurchase their own shares Approving revision of share buybacks by Singapore Monterey Authority Issue tax treatment of buyback shares The buybacks of own shares law was amended Listed companies are pennitted to repurchase their own shares Listed companies are allowed to repurchase their own share by changing the companies Act of 1973 Listed companies are allowed to repurchase their own share
United Kingdom 1999 A consultation paper regard that Investment companies middotto be allowed to repurchase their own shares using capital profits
1996 A consultation paper regard to financial assistance by a company for the acquisition its own share
Sources Adopted from the finding by Sabri (2003) Using Treasury Repurchase Share to Stabilize
Stock Markets International Journal Of Business 8(4) 2003
There are also lots of studies that reviewed the purpose of inns repurchasing their
shares Among those Vemimmen Quiry Dallocchio Fur and Salvi (2009) stated several
possible reasons for share buybacks as below bull pr bull ~
(a) lack of better investment opportunity that cause Jllanager return excess funds for
shareholders to seek investment elsewhere
(b) managers give signal for goods news in future believing the shares are undervalued I
3
- I
(c) tax incentive as share buy backs is not taxable compare to paying dividend
(d) transferring value between shareholders who refuse to sell and shareholders who
~
accept the offer
(e) change leverage ratio by adjusting amount of equity
(t) prevent take over
(g) counter the dilution effect of share options
(h) provide managers tlexibiiity to make small adjustments in the capital structure and
etc
Generally share repurchase is believed to help the company achieving increase
in earnings per share (PIE) as the number of outstanding equity reduces However there are also arguments about this manipulation where the increase of PIE ratio is
accompanied with higher debt ratio which will post risk to the stability of the company
(Demodaran 2001)
12 Background of the study
Since share buyback was allowed in Malaysia on 1 September 1997 it is
increasingly gaining attention as compani~s st~ftea fo middotbii~~ its ~aros in large volume Based on the study by Is~ Ghani a~~ Lee on Malaysia listed company from
2001 to 2005 there were 149 firms with a total of 17864 repurchases days and total
purchase of 2309313664 shares This number is expected to increase as share
t I bull
4
=-shy I
pusat Khidmat Maklumat Akade~ UNIVERSm MALAYSIA SARAW
repurchase evolved to become a useful financial tool that is carried out by the
management to distribute excess cash to shareholders other than paying dividend
As share buyback is becoming commonly carried out many researches have been
done on announcement impact of share buyback Some the researches also reviewed that
share buyback announcement may not be carried ou as stated and hence it did not
generate positive impacts to the share price in the long run (Zhang 2002) Much fewer
researches were done on long tenn impact of actual share buyback as it required
significant amount of data that some stock exchange did not enclose
Although open market share repurchase is regularly being studied in United
States researchers nonnally encounter trouble in getting actual repurchase data as United
States has a general lack of disclosure requirement associated with share repurchase In
United States listed finn can buy back its own shares without making any
announcements and finns that already made announcements are under no obligation to
implement their proposed plans (Brockman amp Chung 2012) Thus this is difficult for
researcher to study the impact of actual share repurchases especially those that require
detail timing prices or magnitudes of the repurchases
In my study the issue of data does not occur as KLSE has a full disclosure on
share buyback In Malaysia a listed corporation middotltfanoniY1Ufcbas4its Qwn shares after ~ t middot t
getting authorization of its shareholders in a general meeting The share repurchase is
subject to rules under the Companies Act 1965 section 67 A and Part lIlA of the
Companies Regulations 1966 The shareholders will be infonned either through a
statement accompanying its notice of general meeting or a circular After the general
5
meeting that is called to consider the proposed share repurchase the listed corporation
must implediately announce the outcome to the stock exchange A listed corporation in
KLSE is only aJ1owed to purchase or hold not more than 10 of its issued and paid-up
capital
After a repurchase is carried out the listed corporation must immediately
announce to KLSE not later than 630pm on the day the purchase is made This
announcement will have to contain the detail as below
(a) date of purchase
(b) description of shares purchased
(0) number of shares purchased
(d) price of each share or where relevant the highest and lowest price paid
(e) total consideration paid
(0 number of shares purchased retained in treasury
(g) number of share purchased which are proposed to be cancelled
(h) cumulative net outstanding treasury s~ares at the date of notification where ~~ - ~ ~~
j bull bull L t
applicable
(i) where all or any of the shares are proposed to be cancelled the adjusted share capital
bull t r I
lt bull
6
13 Problem statement
Studyon abnormal return of share price for share buyback firms had been carried
out numerously across the countries that initiated share buyback Much of these studies
had indicated that there exists positive return on the share price either short run or long
run after share buyback announcement or actual sh~re buyback initiation Most of the
previous studies about share buyback in Malaysia were focus on share buyback
announcement and short term studies following the actual share repurchases As Malaysia
only allowed share buyback since 1 September 1997 it posts difficulties for the previous
researchers to study on the long run impacts after share buyback initiation as limited
numbers of data is available Therefore research on long run impact is crucial to clarify
whether there exits any long run abnormal return by comparing with the Kuala Lumpur
Composite Index KLCI as the benchmark
Other than that obtaining abnormal return is always the primary aim of deciding
any stock investment By assuming management has better timing and upfront
infonnation share repurchase would signal a good entry to gain an abnormal return
Therefore this study will benefit all the market participants towards long run impact of
share buyback initiation With data easily available in the Kuala Lumpur Stock
Exchange KLSE website it will be an in~eres~i~g topic to discover the relationship of - -111 ~ II
actual share buyback and its share price
- In order to streamline the large numbers of share buyback companies and further
identify those that really contribute to abnormal return characteristics of those companies
are investigated as well The long run return computed will be later linked to the specific i_ [ I
7
characteristic of these individual companies namely book-to-market ratio (BTM) and
marketyalue (MV) which are characteristics commonly study in the prior studies
14 Research Objectives
141 General Objective
This study aims to determine the long run abnormal return for firms that chose to initiate
share buyback program from 1999 to 2008 in Kuala Lumpur Stock Exchange
142 Specific Objectives
(a) To investigate the long run abnormal return of share repurchases to share price of
the repurchase firms from 1999 to 2008
(b) Investigate the relationship of long run abnormal return of share buyback companies with its market value (MV) and book-to-market (BTM) ratio
15 Significant of the study
As share buyback only initiated in Kuala Lumpur Exchange (KLSE) since 1997
very few publish journal have been done to review its relationship with its share price
Only few published journal was found to study on the short term announcement impact
using Cumulative Abnormal Return CAR This itpto15abiyo6e1hthe srn~JJI1umber of companies participating in share b~yback when the prsram is approved that become
limitation to the previous study As a result there exists the need to study the impact of
share buyback to the share price in a longer duration
If
) ~
8
_ - - - --
Other than that as investors always looking for indicators to achieve abnonnal
retuTJ in the stock market share repurchase that is said to have signaling effect will
probably be agood sign to buy or sell a stock Asymmetry infonnation lead many market
participants especially the retail investor to confuse on the intention of share buyback It
is still unknown whether share buyback really benefited the shareholders This proves
that it is important for this study to examine whether there exist any long run abnonnal
return after share buyback initiation so that it can be used as an indicator for market
participants
16 Scope of the study
This study intends to examine the long run impact of actual share buyback
initiation towards its share price of listed companies in Kuala Lumpur Exchange (KLSE)
The share buyback companies that will be covered are from 1 January 1999 until 31
December 2008 Each of these share buyback company will later be tracked down for
monthly perfonnance using Buy-and-Hold Abnonnal Return(BHAR) method starting
from the first day of initiating share buyback program until for the end of the three years
to examine the long run impact of share repurchase towards its share price Each of this
BHAR value will later be regressed with the book-to-market ratio (BTM) and natural
logarithm of market value (MV) to examine the ~~istence of any relationship bull ~ ~ j-
l ~ l i
I I bull
9
=========~--- ---- -- ----------------==-----------shy
17 Organization of the chapter
Chapt~r one covers introduction on the concept of share repurchase and the
happening around the listed nations It will also involve list of related research and issue
on share repurchase Chapter two involves literature review about the previous research It will review
several theories on share buyback that support existence of positive return research on
impact of announcement and actual repurchase characteristics of the share buyback
companies that possess abnormal returns the methodologies and others
Chapter 3 contains discussion on data coHection where the source will be stated
clearly The theoretical framework will be reviewed in detail follow by the derivation of
empirical model of this study and the method to be used for this study
Chapter 4 contains the result and detail discussion by compare and contrast with
previous findings The empirical result will be interpreted and discussed
Chapter 5 will contain the conclusion of this study policy implications and
limitation of the study
y ~ ~
bull [~ I
~ o
10
CHAPTER 2
LITERATURE REVIEW
21 Overview
As share buyback only initiated in Malaysia on 1997 after Asian Financial Crisis
there are still very few published journals found related to the issue of share buyback in
Malaysia One of the few published journal found is Market Reaction to Actual Share
Repurchase in Malaysia by Isa Ghani and Lee in 2011 which also stated in the journal
that they only found a published journal before their study which is Price Reaction to
Stock Repurchases Evidence from KLSE done by Lim and Bacha in 2002
In this chapter discussion will be started with motives behind the initiation of
share buyback that support existence of abnormal returns followed with previous finding
on the performance of share price following share repurchase As mentioned previously
due to relatively few published journal abotrt share repurchase in the Malaysia context
much of the argument will be based on previous research done in foreign countries that
may have some different behaviours from Malaysias situation
I
II
22 Theories on the motives of share buyback that support existence of abnormal
returns There e many theories about the reasons a company conducts a share buyback
Among the most popular theories that regularly being studied are signaling effects free
cash flows dividend substitution defensive strategies changing capital structures and
others In 2000 Ditmar did a research to test the motives of share buyback in United
States involving repurchase from the year 1977 till 1996 In his research he cited the
failure of previous research in determining the motives of share buyback where they only
tested a few motives neglecting other potential factors Therefore by using a censored
regression analysis he tested five motives of share buyback as below
(a) Excess Capital Hypothesis Repurchases and Distribution Policy
(b) Undervaluation Hypothesis Repurchases and Investment Policy
(c) Optimal Leverage Ratio Hypothesis Repurchases and Capital Structure Policy
(d) Management Incentive Hypothesis Repurchases and Compensation Policy
(e) Takeover Deterrence Hypothesis Repurchases and Corporate Control
Ditmar found out that it is possible that firms to repurchase stock for several reasons and
the statistics result support the hypothesis of excess capital the optimal leverage ratio the
undervaluation and the takeover deterrence
Lee and Suh in 20 II found that- the amOUI)ts of ~hare repurchases across countries bull - bull --- ~ bull ~1 bull 0
are significantly associated with large cash holdings Their study indicated that fmhs
across countries that repurchase share usually hold large amount of excess cash and
experience raised in amount of cash holdings prior to repurchases The increases in
excess cash appear to be achieved from decrease in capital ~xpen~iture instead of
l bull [ I I
12
LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS
middotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddot middot-middotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddot-middot---middotmiddot-middot--middotmiddotr-middotmiddot~-middotmiddotmiddot~-middotmiddot-middot- -----------------------_shy middotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddot1
Abbreviation i Description
1-- - -~--l--- ---- ------ -- -------- -- ~
l_~~~ _ ____ Icumulati~~~~~orma~ ~eturn ______ ____ I BHR I Buy-and-Hold Return
middotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddot _ _middotmiddot_ -middot---middotf[SHAR---- ------l Buy~a~d=HoidAb~_~aTmiddotRetu
_ _- _ _- j_-_ r-LMV ---middot ----middot--r Nat~~al L--garithmmiddot~f M~k~tVal~~
---- shy[S-TM --------middotr Book-t~~Ma~ket~ati~ middot---middot middot----- middotmiddotmiddot-middotmiddotmiddot-middotmiddotmiddot- 1I l_ _____________ J _____ ___ __ _______ ___ _ ____1
1-- j bull
-
CHAPTER 1
INTRODUCTION
10 Overview
Share repurchase happened when a company bJ ys back its own shares Then the
company has the options either to cancel or hold them as treasury share that can be reshy
issued next time (Atrill 2009) Share buyback is one of the popular options besides
giving dividend for company who wish to distribute cash back to the shareholder
Jagannathan (2000) found out that open market repurchases in United States is pro-
cyclical and used by firms with higher temporary and non-operating cash flows
compare to dividend that tends to increase steadily over time and preferred by the firms
with higher permanent operating cash flows Jagannathan (2000) stated that share
repurchase usually happen following poor stock market performance while dividends
normally increase after good company perfonnance (cited in Vemimmen Quiry
Dallocchio Fur amp Salvi 2009)
According to Damodaran (200 I) there are basically three types of share buyback
process as below
(a) open-market repurchase by buying only a s~~ll~n~~il(6~omiddotoutStaDding stock in bull
the open market _
bull tmiddot
(b) tender offer where a finn plan to repurchase a large amount of the outstanding stock
for example 10 or more The finn will announce to the shareholders by specifying the
details like prte amount and duration of the repurchase
(c) negotiated repurchases is less widely used as the finn will negotiate with one of its
stockholder who owns a substantial amount of the shanes
Much of the prior studies had showed that share buyback has increased popularity
for finns to distribute cash rather than cash dividend Skinner (2008) had compared share
buyback and dividend in United States where he reviewed that amount of annual share
buyback value has exceeded cash dividend proving that share buyback has become the
preferred choice to distribute cash back to the shareholders (cited in Eije amp Megginson
2008) Evidence on popularity of share repurchase is easily observed from research by
Sabri (2003) as more countries changetf their law regarding share repurchase as
mentioned in the table below
Table 11
Changes in laws regarding share repurchase from 1995 to 2001 in the selected countries
Country
Australia
Effective Year 1995
Major changes
Deregulate the ~haIe- repUroha9ltt4ftVolv~PK [~moval of 10 limit
Denmark 2000 New Law on share repurchases applied since March 2000
Finland 1997 Companies shares
are pennitted to repurchase their own
Germany 1998 1998
1998
Change in tax regulation in favor of buyback shares Companies are pennitted to repurchase their own shares Modify th~ Security Act(STA 1998) related to
2
India
Japan
Netherlands Norway
Malaysia
Singapore
New Zealand Sweden
South Africa
Taiwan
1999
1995
2001 1999
1997
1998
1999
2000 1999 2000
1999
2000
disclosures of finns buy its own share Companies are pennitted to repurchase their own shares Companies are pennitted to repurchase their own shares Changes in Tax laws to encourage buybacks of shares Companies are pennitted to repurchase their own shares A public listed companies to repurchase its own shares or to give finallcial assistance to other persons to repurchase its own shares Companies are pennitted to repurchase their own shares Approving revision of share buybacks by Singapore Monterey Authority Issue tax treatment of buyback shares The buybacks of own shares law was amended Listed companies are pennitted to repurchase their own shares Listed companies are allowed to repurchase their own share by changing the companies Act of 1973 Listed companies are allowed to repurchase their own share
United Kingdom 1999 A consultation paper regard that Investment companies middotto be allowed to repurchase their own shares using capital profits
1996 A consultation paper regard to financial assistance by a company for the acquisition its own share
Sources Adopted from the finding by Sabri (2003) Using Treasury Repurchase Share to Stabilize
Stock Markets International Journal Of Business 8(4) 2003
There are also lots of studies that reviewed the purpose of inns repurchasing their
shares Among those Vemimmen Quiry Dallocchio Fur and Salvi (2009) stated several
possible reasons for share buybacks as below bull pr bull ~
(a) lack of better investment opportunity that cause Jllanager return excess funds for
shareholders to seek investment elsewhere
(b) managers give signal for goods news in future believing the shares are undervalued I
3
- I
(c) tax incentive as share buy backs is not taxable compare to paying dividend
(d) transferring value between shareholders who refuse to sell and shareholders who
~
accept the offer
(e) change leverage ratio by adjusting amount of equity
(t) prevent take over
(g) counter the dilution effect of share options
(h) provide managers tlexibiiity to make small adjustments in the capital structure and
etc
Generally share repurchase is believed to help the company achieving increase
in earnings per share (PIE) as the number of outstanding equity reduces However there are also arguments about this manipulation where the increase of PIE ratio is
accompanied with higher debt ratio which will post risk to the stability of the company
(Demodaran 2001)
12 Background of the study
Since share buyback was allowed in Malaysia on 1 September 1997 it is
increasingly gaining attention as compani~s st~ftea fo middotbii~~ its ~aros in large volume Based on the study by Is~ Ghani a~~ Lee on Malaysia listed company from
2001 to 2005 there were 149 firms with a total of 17864 repurchases days and total
purchase of 2309313664 shares This number is expected to increase as share
t I bull
4
=-shy I
pusat Khidmat Maklumat Akade~ UNIVERSm MALAYSIA SARAW
repurchase evolved to become a useful financial tool that is carried out by the
management to distribute excess cash to shareholders other than paying dividend
As share buyback is becoming commonly carried out many researches have been
done on announcement impact of share buyback Some the researches also reviewed that
share buyback announcement may not be carried ou as stated and hence it did not
generate positive impacts to the share price in the long run (Zhang 2002) Much fewer
researches were done on long tenn impact of actual share buyback as it required
significant amount of data that some stock exchange did not enclose
Although open market share repurchase is regularly being studied in United
States researchers nonnally encounter trouble in getting actual repurchase data as United
States has a general lack of disclosure requirement associated with share repurchase In
United States listed finn can buy back its own shares without making any
announcements and finns that already made announcements are under no obligation to
implement their proposed plans (Brockman amp Chung 2012) Thus this is difficult for
researcher to study the impact of actual share repurchases especially those that require
detail timing prices or magnitudes of the repurchases
In my study the issue of data does not occur as KLSE has a full disclosure on
share buyback In Malaysia a listed corporation middotltfanoniY1Ufcbas4its Qwn shares after ~ t middot t
getting authorization of its shareholders in a general meeting The share repurchase is
subject to rules under the Companies Act 1965 section 67 A and Part lIlA of the
Companies Regulations 1966 The shareholders will be infonned either through a
statement accompanying its notice of general meeting or a circular After the general
5
meeting that is called to consider the proposed share repurchase the listed corporation
must implediately announce the outcome to the stock exchange A listed corporation in
KLSE is only aJ1owed to purchase or hold not more than 10 of its issued and paid-up
capital
After a repurchase is carried out the listed corporation must immediately
announce to KLSE not later than 630pm on the day the purchase is made This
announcement will have to contain the detail as below
(a) date of purchase
(b) description of shares purchased
(0) number of shares purchased
(d) price of each share or where relevant the highest and lowest price paid
(e) total consideration paid
(0 number of shares purchased retained in treasury
(g) number of share purchased which are proposed to be cancelled
(h) cumulative net outstanding treasury s~ares at the date of notification where ~~ - ~ ~~
j bull bull L t
applicable
(i) where all or any of the shares are proposed to be cancelled the adjusted share capital
bull t r I
lt bull
6
13 Problem statement
Studyon abnormal return of share price for share buyback firms had been carried
out numerously across the countries that initiated share buyback Much of these studies
had indicated that there exists positive return on the share price either short run or long
run after share buyback announcement or actual sh~re buyback initiation Most of the
previous studies about share buyback in Malaysia were focus on share buyback
announcement and short term studies following the actual share repurchases As Malaysia
only allowed share buyback since 1 September 1997 it posts difficulties for the previous
researchers to study on the long run impacts after share buyback initiation as limited
numbers of data is available Therefore research on long run impact is crucial to clarify
whether there exits any long run abnormal return by comparing with the Kuala Lumpur
Composite Index KLCI as the benchmark
Other than that obtaining abnormal return is always the primary aim of deciding
any stock investment By assuming management has better timing and upfront
infonnation share repurchase would signal a good entry to gain an abnormal return
Therefore this study will benefit all the market participants towards long run impact of
share buyback initiation With data easily available in the Kuala Lumpur Stock
Exchange KLSE website it will be an in~eres~i~g topic to discover the relationship of - -111 ~ II
actual share buyback and its share price
- In order to streamline the large numbers of share buyback companies and further
identify those that really contribute to abnormal return characteristics of those companies
are investigated as well The long run return computed will be later linked to the specific i_ [ I
7
characteristic of these individual companies namely book-to-market ratio (BTM) and
marketyalue (MV) which are characteristics commonly study in the prior studies
14 Research Objectives
141 General Objective
This study aims to determine the long run abnormal return for firms that chose to initiate
share buyback program from 1999 to 2008 in Kuala Lumpur Stock Exchange
142 Specific Objectives
(a) To investigate the long run abnormal return of share repurchases to share price of
the repurchase firms from 1999 to 2008
(b) Investigate the relationship of long run abnormal return of share buyback companies with its market value (MV) and book-to-market (BTM) ratio
15 Significant of the study
As share buyback only initiated in Kuala Lumpur Exchange (KLSE) since 1997
very few publish journal have been done to review its relationship with its share price
Only few published journal was found to study on the short term announcement impact
using Cumulative Abnormal Return CAR This itpto15abiyo6e1hthe srn~JJI1umber of companies participating in share b~yback when the prsram is approved that become
limitation to the previous study As a result there exists the need to study the impact of
share buyback to the share price in a longer duration
If
) ~
8
_ - - - --
Other than that as investors always looking for indicators to achieve abnonnal
retuTJ in the stock market share repurchase that is said to have signaling effect will
probably be agood sign to buy or sell a stock Asymmetry infonnation lead many market
participants especially the retail investor to confuse on the intention of share buyback It
is still unknown whether share buyback really benefited the shareholders This proves
that it is important for this study to examine whether there exist any long run abnonnal
return after share buyback initiation so that it can be used as an indicator for market
participants
16 Scope of the study
This study intends to examine the long run impact of actual share buyback
initiation towards its share price of listed companies in Kuala Lumpur Exchange (KLSE)
The share buyback companies that will be covered are from 1 January 1999 until 31
December 2008 Each of these share buyback company will later be tracked down for
monthly perfonnance using Buy-and-Hold Abnonnal Return(BHAR) method starting
from the first day of initiating share buyback program until for the end of the three years
to examine the long run impact of share repurchase towards its share price Each of this
BHAR value will later be regressed with the book-to-market ratio (BTM) and natural
logarithm of market value (MV) to examine the ~~istence of any relationship bull ~ ~ j-
l ~ l i
I I bull
9
=========~--- ---- -- ----------------==-----------shy
17 Organization of the chapter
Chapt~r one covers introduction on the concept of share repurchase and the
happening around the listed nations It will also involve list of related research and issue
on share repurchase Chapter two involves literature review about the previous research It will review
several theories on share buyback that support existence of positive return research on
impact of announcement and actual repurchase characteristics of the share buyback
companies that possess abnormal returns the methodologies and others
Chapter 3 contains discussion on data coHection where the source will be stated
clearly The theoretical framework will be reviewed in detail follow by the derivation of
empirical model of this study and the method to be used for this study
Chapter 4 contains the result and detail discussion by compare and contrast with
previous findings The empirical result will be interpreted and discussed
Chapter 5 will contain the conclusion of this study policy implications and
limitation of the study
y ~ ~
bull [~ I
~ o
10
CHAPTER 2
LITERATURE REVIEW
21 Overview
As share buyback only initiated in Malaysia on 1997 after Asian Financial Crisis
there are still very few published journals found related to the issue of share buyback in
Malaysia One of the few published journal found is Market Reaction to Actual Share
Repurchase in Malaysia by Isa Ghani and Lee in 2011 which also stated in the journal
that they only found a published journal before their study which is Price Reaction to
Stock Repurchases Evidence from KLSE done by Lim and Bacha in 2002
In this chapter discussion will be started with motives behind the initiation of
share buyback that support existence of abnormal returns followed with previous finding
on the performance of share price following share repurchase As mentioned previously
due to relatively few published journal abotrt share repurchase in the Malaysia context
much of the argument will be based on previous research done in foreign countries that
may have some different behaviours from Malaysias situation
I
II
22 Theories on the motives of share buyback that support existence of abnormal
returns There e many theories about the reasons a company conducts a share buyback
Among the most popular theories that regularly being studied are signaling effects free
cash flows dividend substitution defensive strategies changing capital structures and
others In 2000 Ditmar did a research to test the motives of share buyback in United
States involving repurchase from the year 1977 till 1996 In his research he cited the
failure of previous research in determining the motives of share buyback where they only
tested a few motives neglecting other potential factors Therefore by using a censored
regression analysis he tested five motives of share buyback as below
(a) Excess Capital Hypothesis Repurchases and Distribution Policy
(b) Undervaluation Hypothesis Repurchases and Investment Policy
(c) Optimal Leverage Ratio Hypothesis Repurchases and Capital Structure Policy
(d) Management Incentive Hypothesis Repurchases and Compensation Policy
(e) Takeover Deterrence Hypothesis Repurchases and Corporate Control
Ditmar found out that it is possible that firms to repurchase stock for several reasons and
the statistics result support the hypothesis of excess capital the optimal leverage ratio the
undervaluation and the takeover deterrence
Lee and Suh in 20 II found that- the amOUI)ts of ~hare repurchases across countries bull - bull --- ~ bull ~1 bull 0
are significantly associated with large cash holdings Their study indicated that fmhs
across countries that repurchase share usually hold large amount of excess cash and
experience raised in amount of cash holdings prior to repurchases The increases in
excess cash appear to be achieved from decrease in capital ~xpen~iture instead of
l bull [ I I
12
CHAPTER 1
INTRODUCTION
10 Overview
Share repurchase happened when a company bJ ys back its own shares Then the
company has the options either to cancel or hold them as treasury share that can be reshy
issued next time (Atrill 2009) Share buyback is one of the popular options besides
giving dividend for company who wish to distribute cash back to the shareholder
Jagannathan (2000) found out that open market repurchases in United States is pro-
cyclical and used by firms with higher temporary and non-operating cash flows
compare to dividend that tends to increase steadily over time and preferred by the firms
with higher permanent operating cash flows Jagannathan (2000) stated that share
repurchase usually happen following poor stock market performance while dividends
normally increase after good company perfonnance (cited in Vemimmen Quiry
Dallocchio Fur amp Salvi 2009)
According to Damodaran (200 I) there are basically three types of share buyback
process as below
(a) open-market repurchase by buying only a s~~ll~n~~il(6~omiddotoutStaDding stock in bull
the open market _
bull tmiddot
(b) tender offer where a finn plan to repurchase a large amount of the outstanding stock
for example 10 or more The finn will announce to the shareholders by specifying the
details like prte amount and duration of the repurchase
(c) negotiated repurchases is less widely used as the finn will negotiate with one of its
stockholder who owns a substantial amount of the shanes
Much of the prior studies had showed that share buyback has increased popularity
for finns to distribute cash rather than cash dividend Skinner (2008) had compared share
buyback and dividend in United States where he reviewed that amount of annual share
buyback value has exceeded cash dividend proving that share buyback has become the
preferred choice to distribute cash back to the shareholders (cited in Eije amp Megginson
2008) Evidence on popularity of share repurchase is easily observed from research by
Sabri (2003) as more countries changetf their law regarding share repurchase as
mentioned in the table below
Table 11
Changes in laws regarding share repurchase from 1995 to 2001 in the selected countries
Country
Australia
Effective Year 1995
Major changes
Deregulate the ~haIe- repUroha9ltt4ftVolv~PK [~moval of 10 limit
Denmark 2000 New Law on share repurchases applied since March 2000
Finland 1997 Companies shares
are pennitted to repurchase their own
Germany 1998 1998
1998
Change in tax regulation in favor of buyback shares Companies are pennitted to repurchase their own shares Modify th~ Security Act(STA 1998) related to
2
India
Japan
Netherlands Norway
Malaysia
Singapore
New Zealand Sweden
South Africa
Taiwan
1999
1995
2001 1999
1997
1998
1999
2000 1999 2000
1999
2000
disclosures of finns buy its own share Companies are pennitted to repurchase their own shares Companies are pennitted to repurchase their own shares Changes in Tax laws to encourage buybacks of shares Companies are pennitted to repurchase their own shares A public listed companies to repurchase its own shares or to give finallcial assistance to other persons to repurchase its own shares Companies are pennitted to repurchase their own shares Approving revision of share buybacks by Singapore Monterey Authority Issue tax treatment of buyback shares The buybacks of own shares law was amended Listed companies are pennitted to repurchase their own shares Listed companies are allowed to repurchase their own share by changing the companies Act of 1973 Listed companies are allowed to repurchase their own share
United Kingdom 1999 A consultation paper regard that Investment companies middotto be allowed to repurchase their own shares using capital profits
1996 A consultation paper regard to financial assistance by a company for the acquisition its own share
Sources Adopted from the finding by Sabri (2003) Using Treasury Repurchase Share to Stabilize
Stock Markets International Journal Of Business 8(4) 2003
There are also lots of studies that reviewed the purpose of inns repurchasing their
shares Among those Vemimmen Quiry Dallocchio Fur and Salvi (2009) stated several
possible reasons for share buybacks as below bull pr bull ~
(a) lack of better investment opportunity that cause Jllanager return excess funds for
shareholders to seek investment elsewhere
(b) managers give signal for goods news in future believing the shares are undervalued I
3
- I
(c) tax incentive as share buy backs is not taxable compare to paying dividend
(d) transferring value between shareholders who refuse to sell and shareholders who
~
accept the offer
(e) change leverage ratio by adjusting amount of equity
(t) prevent take over
(g) counter the dilution effect of share options
(h) provide managers tlexibiiity to make small adjustments in the capital structure and
etc
Generally share repurchase is believed to help the company achieving increase
in earnings per share (PIE) as the number of outstanding equity reduces However there are also arguments about this manipulation where the increase of PIE ratio is
accompanied with higher debt ratio which will post risk to the stability of the company
(Demodaran 2001)
12 Background of the study
Since share buyback was allowed in Malaysia on 1 September 1997 it is
increasingly gaining attention as compani~s st~ftea fo middotbii~~ its ~aros in large volume Based on the study by Is~ Ghani a~~ Lee on Malaysia listed company from
2001 to 2005 there were 149 firms with a total of 17864 repurchases days and total
purchase of 2309313664 shares This number is expected to increase as share
t I bull
4
=-shy I
pusat Khidmat Maklumat Akade~ UNIVERSm MALAYSIA SARAW
repurchase evolved to become a useful financial tool that is carried out by the
management to distribute excess cash to shareholders other than paying dividend
As share buyback is becoming commonly carried out many researches have been
done on announcement impact of share buyback Some the researches also reviewed that
share buyback announcement may not be carried ou as stated and hence it did not
generate positive impacts to the share price in the long run (Zhang 2002) Much fewer
researches were done on long tenn impact of actual share buyback as it required
significant amount of data that some stock exchange did not enclose
Although open market share repurchase is regularly being studied in United
States researchers nonnally encounter trouble in getting actual repurchase data as United
States has a general lack of disclosure requirement associated with share repurchase In
United States listed finn can buy back its own shares without making any
announcements and finns that already made announcements are under no obligation to
implement their proposed plans (Brockman amp Chung 2012) Thus this is difficult for
researcher to study the impact of actual share repurchases especially those that require
detail timing prices or magnitudes of the repurchases
In my study the issue of data does not occur as KLSE has a full disclosure on
share buyback In Malaysia a listed corporation middotltfanoniY1Ufcbas4its Qwn shares after ~ t middot t
getting authorization of its shareholders in a general meeting The share repurchase is
subject to rules under the Companies Act 1965 section 67 A and Part lIlA of the
Companies Regulations 1966 The shareholders will be infonned either through a
statement accompanying its notice of general meeting or a circular After the general
5
meeting that is called to consider the proposed share repurchase the listed corporation
must implediately announce the outcome to the stock exchange A listed corporation in
KLSE is only aJ1owed to purchase or hold not more than 10 of its issued and paid-up
capital
After a repurchase is carried out the listed corporation must immediately
announce to KLSE not later than 630pm on the day the purchase is made This
announcement will have to contain the detail as below
(a) date of purchase
(b) description of shares purchased
(0) number of shares purchased
(d) price of each share or where relevant the highest and lowest price paid
(e) total consideration paid
(0 number of shares purchased retained in treasury
(g) number of share purchased which are proposed to be cancelled
(h) cumulative net outstanding treasury s~ares at the date of notification where ~~ - ~ ~~
j bull bull L t
applicable
(i) where all or any of the shares are proposed to be cancelled the adjusted share capital
bull t r I
lt bull
6
13 Problem statement
Studyon abnormal return of share price for share buyback firms had been carried
out numerously across the countries that initiated share buyback Much of these studies
had indicated that there exists positive return on the share price either short run or long
run after share buyback announcement or actual sh~re buyback initiation Most of the
previous studies about share buyback in Malaysia were focus on share buyback
announcement and short term studies following the actual share repurchases As Malaysia
only allowed share buyback since 1 September 1997 it posts difficulties for the previous
researchers to study on the long run impacts after share buyback initiation as limited
numbers of data is available Therefore research on long run impact is crucial to clarify
whether there exits any long run abnormal return by comparing with the Kuala Lumpur
Composite Index KLCI as the benchmark
Other than that obtaining abnormal return is always the primary aim of deciding
any stock investment By assuming management has better timing and upfront
infonnation share repurchase would signal a good entry to gain an abnormal return
Therefore this study will benefit all the market participants towards long run impact of
share buyback initiation With data easily available in the Kuala Lumpur Stock
Exchange KLSE website it will be an in~eres~i~g topic to discover the relationship of - -111 ~ II
actual share buyback and its share price
- In order to streamline the large numbers of share buyback companies and further
identify those that really contribute to abnormal return characteristics of those companies
are investigated as well The long run return computed will be later linked to the specific i_ [ I
7
characteristic of these individual companies namely book-to-market ratio (BTM) and
marketyalue (MV) which are characteristics commonly study in the prior studies
14 Research Objectives
141 General Objective
This study aims to determine the long run abnormal return for firms that chose to initiate
share buyback program from 1999 to 2008 in Kuala Lumpur Stock Exchange
142 Specific Objectives
(a) To investigate the long run abnormal return of share repurchases to share price of
the repurchase firms from 1999 to 2008
(b) Investigate the relationship of long run abnormal return of share buyback companies with its market value (MV) and book-to-market (BTM) ratio
15 Significant of the study
As share buyback only initiated in Kuala Lumpur Exchange (KLSE) since 1997
very few publish journal have been done to review its relationship with its share price
Only few published journal was found to study on the short term announcement impact
using Cumulative Abnormal Return CAR This itpto15abiyo6e1hthe srn~JJI1umber of companies participating in share b~yback when the prsram is approved that become
limitation to the previous study As a result there exists the need to study the impact of
share buyback to the share price in a longer duration
If
) ~
8
_ - - - --
Other than that as investors always looking for indicators to achieve abnonnal
retuTJ in the stock market share repurchase that is said to have signaling effect will
probably be agood sign to buy or sell a stock Asymmetry infonnation lead many market
participants especially the retail investor to confuse on the intention of share buyback It
is still unknown whether share buyback really benefited the shareholders This proves
that it is important for this study to examine whether there exist any long run abnonnal
return after share buyback initiation so that it can be used as an indicator for market
participants
16 Scope of the study
This study intends to examine the long run impact of actual share buyback
initiation towards its share price of listed companies in Kuala Lumpur Exchange (KLSE)
The share buyback companies that will be covered are from 1 January 1999 until 31
December 2008 Each of these share buyback company will later be tracked down for
monthly perfonnance using Buy-and-Hold Abnonnal Return(BHAR) method starting
from the first day of initiating share buyback program until for the end of the three years
to examine the long run impact of share repurchase towards its share price Each of this
BHAR value will later be regressed with the book-to-market ratio (BTM) and natural
logarithm of market value (MV) to examine the ~~istence of any relationship bull ~ ~ j-
l ~ l i
I I bull
9
=========~--- ---- -- ----------------==-----------shy
17 Organization of the chapter
Chapt~r one covers introduction on the concept of share repurchase and the
happening around the listed nations It will also involve list of related research and issue
on share repurchase Chapter two involves literature review about the previous research It will review
several theories on share buyback that support existence of positive return research on
impact of announcement and actual repurchase characteristics of the share buyback
companies that possess abnormal returns the methodologies and others
Chapter 3 contains discussion on data coHection where the source will be stated
clearly The theoretical framework will be reviewed in detail follow by the derivation of
empirical model of this study and the method to be used for this study
Chapter 4 contains the result and detail discussion by compare and contrast with
previous findings The empirical result will be interpreted and discussed
Chapter 5 will contain the conclusion of this study policy implications and
limitation of the study
y ~ ~
bull [~ I
~ o
10
CHAPTER 2
LITERATURE REVIEW
21 Overview
As share buyback only initiated in Malaysia on 1997 after Asian Financial Crisis
there are still very few published journals found related to the issue of share buyback in
Malaysia One of the few published journal found is Market Reaction to Actual Share
Repurchase in Malaysia by Isa Ghani and Lee in 2011 which also stated in the journal
that they only found a published journal before their study which is Price Reaction to
Stock Repurchases Evidence from KLSE done by Lim and Bacha in 2002
In this chapter discussion will be started with motives behind the initiation of
share buyback that support existence of abnormal returns followed with previous finding
on the performance of share price following share repurchase As mentioned previously
due to relatively few published journal abotrt share repurchase in the Malaysia context
much of the argument will be based on previous research done in foreign countries that
may have some different behaviours from Malaysias situation
I
II
22 Theories on the motives of share buyback that support existence of abnormal
returns There e many theories about the reasons a company conducts a share buyback
Among the most popular theories that regularly being studied are signaling effects free
cash flows dividend substitution defensive strategies changing capital structures and
others In 2000 Ditmar did a research to test the motives of share buyback in United
States involving repurchase from the year 1977 till 1996 In his research he cited the
failure of previous research in determining the motives of share buyback where they only
tested a few motives neglecting other potential factors Therefore by using a censored
regression analysis he tested five motives of share buyback as below
(a) Excess Capital Hypothesis Repurchases and Distribution Policy
(b) Undervaluation Hypothesis Repurchases and Investment Policy
(c) Optimal Leverage Ratio Hypothesis Repurchases and Capital Structure Policy
(d) Management Incentive Hypothesis Repurchases and Compensation Policy
(e) Takeover Deterrence Hypothesis Repurchases and Corporate Control
Ditmar found out that it is possible that firms to repurchase stock for several reasons and
the statistics result support the hypothesis of excess capital the optimal leverage ratio the
undervaluation and the takeover deterrence
Lee and Suh in 20 II found that- the amOUI)ts of ~hare repurchases across countries bull - bull --- ~ bull ~1 bull 0
are significantly associated with large cash holdings Their study indicated that fmhs
across countries that repurchase share usually hold large amount of excess cash and
experience raised in amount of cash holdings prior to repurchases The increases in
excess cash appear to be achieved from decrease in capital ~xpen~iture instead of
l bull [ I I
12
(b) tender offer where a finn plan to repurchase a large amount of the outstanding stock
for example 10 or more The finn will announce to the shareholders by specifying the
details like prte amount and duration of the repurchase
(c) negotiated repurchases is less widely used as the finn will negotiate with one of its
stockholder who owns a substantial amount of the shanes
Much of the prior studies had showed that share buyback has increased popularity
for finns to distribute cash rather than cash dividend Skinner (2008) had compared share
buyback and dividend in United States where he reviewed that amount of annual share
buyback value has exceeded cash dividend proving that share buyback has become the
preferred choice to distribute cash back to the shareholders (cited in Eije amp Megginson
2008) Evidence on popularity of share repurchase is easily observed from research by
Sabri (2003) as more countries changetf their law regarding share repurchase as
mentioned in the table below
Table 11
Changes in laws regarding share repurchase from 1995 to 2001 in the selected countries
Country
Australia
Effective Year 1995
Major changes
Deregulate the ~haIe- repUroha9ltt4ftVolv~PK [~moval of 10 limit
Denmark 2000 New Law on share repurchases applied since March 2000
Finland 1997 Companies shares
are pennitted to repurchase their own
Germany 1998 1998
1998
Change in tax regulation in favor of buyback shares Companies are pennitted to repurchase their own shares Modify th~ Security Act(STA 1998) related to
2
India
Japan
Netherlands Norway
Malaysia
Singapore
New Zealand Sweden
South Africa
Taiwan
1999
1995
2001 1999
1997
1998
1999
2000 1999 2000
1999
2000
disclosures of finns buy its own share Companies are pennitted to repurchase their own shares Companies are pennitted to repurchase their own shares Changes in Tax laws to encourage buybacks of shares Companies are pennitted to repurchase their own shares A public listed companies to repurchase its own shares or to give finallcial assistance to other persons to repurchase its own shares Companies are pennitted to repurchase their own shares Approving revision of share buybacks by Singapore Monterey Authority Issue tax treatment of buyback shares The buybacks of own shares law was amended Listed companies are pennitted to repurchase their own shares Listed companies are allowed to repurchase their own share by changing the companies Act of 1973 Listed companies are allowed to repurchase their own share
United Kingdom 1999 A consultation paper regard that Investment companies middotto be allowed to repurchase their own shares using capital profits
1996 A consultation paper regard to financial assistance by a company for the acquisition its own share
Sources Adopted from the finding by Sabri (2003) Using Treasury Repurchase Share to Stabilize
Stock Markets International Journal Of Business 8(4) 2003
There are also lots of studies that reviewed the purpose of inns repurchasing their
shares Among those Vemimmen Quiry Dallocchio Fur and Salvi (2009) stated several
possible reasons for share buybacks as below bull pr bull ~
(a) lack of better investment opportunity that cause Jllanager return excess funds for
shareholders to seek investment elsewhere
(b) managers give signal for goods news in future believing the shares are undervalued I
3
- I
(c) tax incentive as share buy backs is not taxable compare to paying dividend
(d) transferring value between shareholders who refuse to sell and shareholders who
~
accept the offer
(e) change leverage ratio by adjusting amount of equity
(t) prevent take over
(g) counter the dilution effect of share options
(h) provide managers tlexibiiity to make small adjustments in the capital structure and
etc
Generally share repurchase is believed to help the company achieving increase
in earnings per share (PIE) as the number of outstanding equity reduces However there are also arguments about this manipulation where the increase of PIE ratio is
accompanied with higher debt ratio which will post risk to the stability of the company
(Demodaran 2001)
12 Background of the study
Since share buyback was allowed in Malaysia on 1 September 1997 it is
increasingly gaining attention as compani~s st~ftea fo middotbii~~ its ~aros in large volume Based on the study by Is~ Ghani a~~ Lee on Malaysia listed company from
2001 to 2005 there were 149 firms with a total of 17864 repurchases days and total
purchase of 2309313664 shares This number is expected to increase as share
t I bull
4
=-shy I
pusat Khidmat Maklumat Akade~ UNIVERSm MALAYSIA SARAW
repurchase evolved to become a useful financial tool that is carried out by the
management to distribute excess cash to shareholders other than paying dividend
As share buyback is becoming commonly carried out many researches have been
done on announcement impact of share buyback Some the researches also reviewed that
share buyback announcement may not be carried ou as stated and hence it did not
generate positive impacts to the share price in the long run (Zhang 2002) Much fewer
researches were done on long tenn impact of actual share buyback as it required
significant amount of data that some stock exchange did not enclose
Although open market share repurchase is regularly being studied in United
States researchers nonnally encounter trouble in getting actual repurchase data as United
States has a general lack of disclosure requirement associated with share repurchase In
United States listed finn can buy back its own shares without making any
announcements and finns that already made announcements are under no obligation to
implement their proposed plans (Brockman amp Chung 2012) Thus this is difficult for
researcher to study the impact of actual share repurchases especially those that require
detail timing prices or magnitudes of the repurchases
In my study the issue of data does not occur as KLSE has a full disclosure on
share buyback In Malaysia a listed corporation middotltfanoniY1Ufcbas4its Qwn shares after ~ t middot t
getting authorization of its shareholders in a general meeting The share repurchase is
subject to rules under the Companies Act 1965 section 67 A and Part lIlA of the
Companies Regulations 1966 The shareholders will be infonned either through a
statement accompanying its notice of general meeting or a circular After the general
5
meeting that is called to consider the proposed share repurchase the listed corporation
must implediately announce the outcome to the stock exchange A listed corporation in
KLSE is only aJ1owed to purchase or hold not more than 10 of its issued and paid-up
capital
After a repurchase is carried out the listed corporation must immediately
announce to KLSE not later than 630pm on the day the purchase is made This
announcement will have to contain the detail as below
(a) date of purchase
(b) description of shares purchased
(0) number of shares purchased
(d) price of each share or where relevant the highest and lowest price paid
(e) total consideration paid
(0 number of shares purchased retained in treasury
(g) number of share purchased which are proposed to be cancelled
(h) cumulative net outstanding treasury s~ares at the date of notification where ~~ - ~ ~~
j bull bull L t
applicable
(i) where all or any of the shares are proposed to be cancelled the adjusted share capital
bull t r I
lt bull
6
13 Problem statement
Studyon abnormal return of share price for share buyback firms had been carried
out numerously across the countries that initiated share buyback Much of these studies
had indicated that there exists positive return on the share price either short run or long
run after share buyback announcement or actual sh~re buyback initiation Most of the
previous studies about share buyback in Malaysia were focus on share buyback
announcement and short term studies following the actual share repurchases As Malaysia
only allowed share buyback since 1 September 1997 it posts difficulties for the previous
researchers to study on the long run impacts after share buyback initiation as limited
numbers of data is available Therefore research on long run impact is crucial to clarify
whether there exits any long run abnormal return by comparing with the Kuala Lumpur
Composite Index KLCI as the benchmark
Other than that obtaining abnormal return is always the primary aim of deciding
any stock investment By assuming management has better timing and upfront
infonnation share repurchase would signal a good entry to gain an abnormal return
Therefore this study will benefit all the market participants towards long run impact of
share buyback initiation With data easily available in the Kuala Lumpur Stock
Exchange KLSE website it will be an in~eres~i~g topic to discover the relationship of - -111 ~ II
actual share buyback and its share price
- In order to streamline the large numbers of share buyback companies and further
identify those that really contribute to abnormal return characteristics of those companies
are investigated as well The long run return computed will be later linked to the specific i_ [ I
7
characteristic of these individual companies namely book-to-market ratio (BTM) and
marketyalue (MV) which are characteristics commonly study in the prior studies
14 Research Objectives
141 General Objective
This study aims to determine the long run abnormal return for firms that chose to initiate
share buyback program from 1999 to 2008 in Kuala Lumpur Stock Exchange
142 Specific Objectives
(a) To investigate the long run abnormal return of share repurchases to share price of
the repurchase firms from 1999 to 2008
(b) Investigate the relationship of long run abnormal return of share buyback companies with its market value (MV) and book-to-market (BTM) ratio
15 Significant of the study
As share buyback only initiated in Kuala Lumpur Exchange (KLSE) since 1997
very few publish journal have been done to review its relationship with its share price
Only few published journal was found to study on the short term announcement impact
using Cumulative Abnormal Return CAR This itpto15abiyo6e1hthe srn~JJI1umber of companies participating in share b~yback when the prsram is approved that become
limitation to the previous study As a result there exists the need to study the impact of
share buyback to the share price in a longer duration
If
) ~
8
_ - - - --
Other than that as investors always looking for indicators to achieve abnonnal
retuTJ in the stock market share repurchase that is said to have signaling effect will
probably be agood sign to buy or sell a stock Asymmetry infonnation lead many market
participants especially the retail investor to confuse on the intention of share buyback It
is still unknown whether share buyback really benefited the shareholders This proves
that it is important for this study to examine whether there exist any long run abnonnal
return after share buyback initiation so that it can be used as an indicator for market
participants
16 Scope of the study
This study intends to examine the long run impact of actual share buyback
initiation towards its share price of listed companies in Kuala Lumpur Exchange (KLSE)
The share buyback companies that will be covered are from 1 January 1999 until 31
December 2008 Each of these share buyback company will later be tracked down for
monthly perfonnance using Buy-and-Hold Abnonnal Return(BHAR) method starting
from the first day of initiating share buyback program until for the end of the three years
to examine the long run impact of share repurchase towards its share price Each of this
BHAR value will later be regressed with the book-to-market ratio (BTM) and natural
logarithm of market value (MV) to examine the ~~istence of any relationship bull ~ ~ j-
l ~ l i
I I bull
9
=========~--- ---- -- ----------------==-----------shy
17 Organization of the chapter
Chapt~r one covers introduction on the concept of share repurchase and the
happening around the listed nations It will also involve list of related research and issue
on share repurchase Chapter two involves literature review about the previous research It will review
several theories on share buyback that support existence of positive return research on
impact of announcement and actual repurchase characteristics of the share buyback
companies that possess abnormal returns the methodologies and others
Chapter 3 contains discussion on data coHection where the source will be stated
clearly The theoretical framework will be reviewed in detail follow by the derivation of
empirical model of this study and the method to be used for this study
Chapter 4 contains the result and detail discussion by compare and contrast with
previous findings The empirical result will be interpreted and discussed
Chapter 5 will contain the conclusion of this study policy implications and
limitation of the study
y ~ ~
bull [~ I
~ o
10
CHAPTER 2
LITERATURE REVIEW
21 Overview
As share buyback only initiated in Malaysia on 1997 after Asian Financial Crisis
there are still very few published journals found related to the issue of share buyback in
Malaysia One of the few published journal found is Market Reaction to Actual Share
Repurchase in Malaysia by Isa Ghani and Lee in 2011 which also stated in the journal
that they only found a published journal before their study which is Price Reaction to
Stock Repurchases Evidence from KLSE done by Lim and Bacha in 2002
In this chapter discussion will be started with motives behind the initiation of
share buyback that support existence of abnormal returns followed with previous finding
on the performance of share price following share repurchase As mentioned previously
due to relatively few published journal abotrt share repurchase in the Malaysia context
much of the argument will be based on previous research done in foreign countries that
may have some different behaviours from Malaysias situation
I
II
22 Theories on the motives of share buyback that support existence of abnormal
returns There e many theories about the reasons a company conducts a share buyback
Among the most popular theories that regularly being studied are signaling effects free
cash flows dividend substitution defensive strategies changing capital structures and
others In 2000 Ditmar did a research to test the motives of share buyback in United
States involving repurchase from the year 1977 till 1996 In his research he cited the
failure of previous research in determining the motives of share buyback where they only
tested a few motives neglecting other potential factors Therefore by using a censored
regression analysis he tested five motives of share buyback as below
(a) Excess Capital Hypothesis Repurchases and Distribution Policy
(b) Undervaluation Hypothesis Repurchases and Investment Policy
(c) Optimal Leverage Ratio Hypothesis Repurchases and Capital Structure Policy
(d) Management Incentive Hypothesis Repurchases and Compensation Policy
(e) Takeover Deterrence Hypothesis Repurchases and Corporate Control
Ditmar found out that it is possible that firms to repurchase stock for several reasons and
the statistics result support the hypothesis of excess capital the optimal leverage ratio the
undervaluation and the takeover deterrence
Lee and Suh in 20 II found that- the amOUI)ts of ~hare repurchases across countries bull - bull --- ~ bull ~1 bull 0
are significantly associated with large cash holdings Their study indicated that fmhs
across countries that repurchase share usually hold large amount of excess cash and
experience raised in amount of cash holdings prior to repurchases The increases in
excess cash appear to be achieved from decrease in capital ~xpen~iture instead of
l bull [ I I
12
India
Japan
Netherlands Norway
Malaysia
Singapore
New Zealand Sweden
South Africa
Taiwan
1999
1995
2001 1999
1997
1998
1999
2000 1999 2000
1999
2000
disclosures of finns buy its own share Companies are pennitted to repurchase their own shares Companies are pennitted to repurchase their own shares Changes in Tax laws to encourage buybacks of shares Companies are pennitted to repurchase their own shares A public listed companies to repurchase its own shares or to give finallcial assistance to other persons to repurchase its own shares Companies are pennitted to repurchase their own shares Approving revision of share buybacks by Singapore Monterey Authority Issue tax treatment of buyback shares The buybacks of own shares law was amended Listed companies are pennitted to repurchase their own shares Listed companies are allowed to repurchase their own share by changing the companies Act of 1973 Listed companies are allowed to repurchase their own share
United Kingdom 1999 A consultation paper regard that Investment companies middotto be allowed to repurchase their own shares using capital profits
1996 A consultation paper regard to financial assistance by a company for the acquisition its own share
Sources Adopted from the finding by Sabri (2003) Using Treasury Repurchase Share to Stabilize
Stock Markets International Journal Of Business 8(4) 2003
There are also lots of studies that reviewed the purpose of inns repurchasing their
shares Among those Vemimmen Quiry Dallocchio Fur and Salvi (2009) stated several
possible reasons for share buybacks as below bull pr bull ~
(a) lack of better investment opportunity that cause Jllanager return excess funds for
shareholders to seek investment elsewhere
(b) managers give signal for goods news in future believing the shares are undervalued I
3
- I
(c) tax incentive as share buy backs is not taxable compare to paying dividend
(d) transferring value between shareholders who refuse to sell and shareholders who
~
accept the offer
(e) change leverage ratio by adjusting amount of equity
(t) prevent take over
(g) counter the dilution effect of share options
(h) provide managers tlexibiiity to make small adjustments in the capital structure and
etc
Generally share repurchase is believed to help the company achieving increase
in earnings per share (PIE) as the number of outstanding equity reduces However there are also arguments about this manipulation where the increase of PIE ratio is
accompanied with higher debt ratio which will post risk to the stability of the company
(Demodaran 2001)
12 Background of the study
Since share buyback was allowed in Malaysia on 1 September 1997 it is
increasingly gaining attention as compani~s st~ftea fo middotbii~~ its ~aros in large volume Based on the study by Is~ Ghani a~~ Lee on Malaysia listed company from
2001 to 2005 there were 149 firms with a total of 17864 repurchases days and total
purchase of 2309313664 shares This number is expected to increase as share
t I bull
4
=-shy I
pusat Khidmat Maklumat Akade~ UNIVERSm MALAYSIA SARAW
repurchase evolved to become a useful financial tool that is carried out by the
management to distribute excess cash to shareholders other than paying dividend
As share buyback is becoming commonly carried out many researches have been
done on announcement impact of share buyback Some the researches also reviewed that
share buyback announcement may not be carried ou as stated and hence it did not
generate positive impacts to the share price in the long run (Zhang 2002) Much fewer
researches were done on long tenn impact of actual share buyback as it required
significant amount of data that some stock exchange did not enclose
Although open market share repurchase is regularly being studied in United
States researchers nonnally encounter trouble in getting actual repurchase data as United
States has a general lack of disclosure requirement associated with share repurchase In
United States listed finn can buy back its own shares without making any
announcements and finns that already made announcements are under no obligation to
implement their proposed plans (Brockman amp Chung 2012) Thus this is difficult for
researcher to study the impact of actual share repurchases especially those that require
detail timing prices or magnitudes of the repurchases
In my study the issue of data does not occur as KLSE has a full disclosure on
share buyback In Malaysia a listed corporation middotltfanoniY1Ufcbas4its Qwn shares after ~ t middot t
getting authorization of its shareholders in a general meeting The share repurchase is
subject to rules under the Companies Act 1965 section 67 A and Part lIlA of the
Companies Regulations 1966 The shareholders will be infonned either through a
statement accompanying its notice of general meeting or a circular After the general
5
meeting that is called to consider the proposed share repurchase the listed corporation
must implediately announce the outcome to the stock exchange A listed corporation in
KLSE is only aJ1owed to purchase or hold not more than 10 of its issued and paid-up
capital
After a repurchase is carried out the listed corporation must immediately
announce to KLSE not later than 630pm on the day the purchase is made This
announcement will have to contain the detail as below
(a) date of purchase
(b) description of shares purchased
(0) number of shares purchased
(d) price of each share or where relevant the highest and lowest price paid
(e) total consideration paid
(0 number of shares purchased retained in treasury
(g) number of share purchased which are proposed to be cancelled
(h) cumulative net outstanding treasury s~ares at the date of notification where ~~ - ~ ~~
j bull bull L t
applicable
(i) where all or any of the shares are proposed to be cancelled the adjusted share capital
bull t r I
lt bull
6
13 Problem statement
Studyon abnormal return of share price for share buyback firms had been carried
out numerously across the countries that initiated share buyback Much of these studies
had indicated that there exists positive return on the share price either short run or long
run after share buyback announcement or actual sh~re buyback initiation Most of the
previous studies about share buyback in Malaysia were focus on share buyback
announcement and short term studies following the actual share repurchases As Malaysia
only allowed share buyback since 1 September 1997 it posts difficulties for the previous
researchers to study on the long run impacts after share buyback initiation as limited
numbers of data is available Therefore research on long run impact is crucial to clarify
whether there exits any long run abnormal return by comparing with the Kuala Lumpur
Composite Index KLCI as the benchmark
Other than that obtaining abnormal return is always the primary aim of deciding
any stock investment By assuming management has better timing and upfront
infonnation share repurchase would signal a good entry to gain an abnormal return
Therefore this study will benefit all the market participants towards long run impact of
share buyback initiation With data easily available in the Kuala Lumpur Stock
Exchange KLSE website it will be an in~eres~i~g topic to discover the relationship of - -111 ~ II
actual share buyback and its share price
- In order to streamline the large numbers of share buyback companies and further
identify those that really contribute to abnormal return characteristics of those companies
are investigated as well The long run return computed will be later linked to the specific i_ [ I
7
characteristic of these individual companies namely book-to-market ratio (BTM) and
marketyalue (MV) which are characteristics commonly study in the prior studies
14 Research Objectives
141 General Objective
This study aims to determine the long run abnormal return for firms that chose to initiate
share buyback program from 1999 to 2008 in Kuala Lumpur Stock Exchange
142 Specific Objectives
(a) To investigate the long run abnormal return of share repurchases to share price of
the repurchase firms from 1999 to 2008
(b) Investigate the relationship of long run abnormal return of share buyback companies with its market value (MV) and book-to-market (BTM) ratio
15 Significant of the study
As share buyback only initiated in Kuala Lumpur Exchange (KLSE) since 1997
very few publish journal have been done to review its relationship with its share price
Only few published journal was found to study on the short term announcement impact
using Cumulative Abnormal Return CAR This itpto15abiyo6e1hthe srn~JJI1umber of companies participating in share b~yback when the prsram is approved that become
limitation to the previous study As a result there exists the need to study the impact of
share buyback to the share price in a longer duration
If
) ~
8
_ - - - --
Other than that as investors always looking for indicators to achieve abnonnal
retuTJ in the stock market share repurchase that is said to have signaling effect will
probably be agood sign to buy or sell a stock Asymmetry infonnation lead many market
participants especially the retail investor to confuse on the intention of share buyback It
is still unknown whether share buyback really benefited the shareholders This proves
that it is important for this study to examine whether there exist any long run abnonnal
return after share buyback initiation so that it can be used as an indicator for market
participants
16 Scope of the study
This study intends to examine the long run impact of actual share buyback
initiation towards its share price of listed companies in Kuala Lumpur Exchange (KLSE)
The share buyback companies that will be covered are from 1 January 1999 until 31
December 2008 Each of these share buyback company will later be tracked down for
monthly perfonnance using Buy-and-Hold Abnonnal Return(BHAR) method starting
from the first day of initiating share buyback program until for the end of the three years
to examine the long run impact of share repurchase towards its share price Each of this
BHAR value will later be regressed with the book-to-market ratio (BTM) and natural
logarithm of market value (MV) to examine the ~~istence of any relationship bull ~ ~ j-
l ~ l i
I I bull
9
=========~--- ---- -- ----------------==-----------shy
17 Organization of the chapter
Chapt~r one covers introduction on the concept of share repurchase and the
happening around the listed nations It will also involve list of related research and issue
on share repurchase Chapter two involves literature review about the previous research It will review
several theories on share buyback that support existence of positive return research on
impact of announcement and actual repurchase characteristics of the share buyback
companies that possess abnormal returns the methodologies and others
Chapter 3 contains discussion on data coHection where the source will be stated
clearly The theoretical framework will be reviewed in detail follow by the derivation of
empirical model of this study and the method to be used for this study
Chapter 4 contains the result and detail discussion by compare and contrast with
previous findings The empirical result will be interpreted and discussed
Chapter 5 will contain the conclusion of this study policy implications and
limitation of the study
y ~ ~
bull [~ I
~ o
10
CHAPTER 2
LITERATURE REVIEW
21 Overview
As share buyback only initiated in Malaysia on 1997 after Asian Financial Crisis
there are still very few published journals found related to the issue of share buyback in
Malaysia One of the few published journal found is Market Reaction to Actual Share
Repurchase in Malaysia by Isa Ghani and Lee in 2011 which also stated in the journal
that they only found a published journal before their study which is Price Reaction to
Stock Repurchases Evidence from KLSE done by Lim and Bacha in 2002
In this chapter discussion will be started with motives behind the initiation of
share buyback that support existence of abnormal returns followed with previous finding
on the performance of share price following share repurchase As mentioned previously
due to relatively few published journal abotrt share repurchase in the Malaysia context
much of the argument will be based on previous research done in foreign countries that
may have some different behaviours from Malaysias situation
I
II
22 Theories on the motives of share buyback that support existence of abnormal
returns There e many theories about the reasons a company conducts a share buyback
Among the most popular theories that regularly being studied are signaling effects free
cash flows dividend substitution defensive strategies changing capital structures and
others In 2000 Ditmar did a research to test the motives of share buyback in United
States involving repurchase from the year 1977 till 1996 In his research he cited the
failure of previous research in determining the motives of share buyback where they only
tested a few motives neglecting other potential factors Therefore by using a censored
regression analysis he tested five motives of share buyback as below
(a) Excess Capital Hypothesis Repurchases and Distribution Policy
(b) Undervaluation Hypothesis Repurchases and Investment Policy
(c) Optimal Leverage Ratio Hypothesis Repurchases and Capital Structure Policy
(d) Management Incentive Hypothesis Repurchases and Compensation Policy
(e) Takeover Deterrence Hypothesis Repurchases and Corporate Control
Ditmar found out that it is possible that firms to repurchase stock for several reasons and
the statistics result support the hypothesis of excess capital the optimal leverage ratio the
undervaluation and the takeover deterrence
Lee and Suh in 20 II found that- the amOUI)ts of ~hare repurchases across countries bull - bull --- ~ bull ~1 bull 0
are significantly associated with large cash holdings Their study indicated that fmhs
across countries that repurchase share usually hold large amount of excess cash and
experience raised in amount of cash holdings prior to repurchases The increases in
excess cash appear to be achieved from decrease in capital ~xpen~iture instead of
l bull [ I I
12
(c) tax incentive as share buy backs is not taxable compare to paying dividend
(d) transferring value between shareholders who refuse to sell and shareholders who
~
accept the offer
(e) change leverage ratio by adjusting amount of equity
(t) prevent take over
(g) counter the dilution effect of share options
(h) provide managers tlexibiiity to make small adjustments in the capital structure and
etc
Generally share repurchase is believed to help the company achieving increase
in earnings per share (PIE) as the number of outstanding equity reduces However there are also arguments about this manipulation where the increase of PIE ratio is
accompanied with higher debt ratio which will post risk to the stability of the company
(Demodaran 2001)
12 Background of the study
Since share buyback was allowed in Malaysia on 1 September 1997 it is
increasingly gaining attention as compani~s st~ftea fo middotbii~~ its ~aros in large volume Based on the study by Is~ Ghani a~~ Lee on Malaysia listed company from
2001 to 2005 there were 149 firms with a total of 17864 repurchases days and total
purchase of 2309313664 shares This number is expected to increase as share
t I bull
4
=-shy I
pusat Khidmat Maklumat Akade~ UNIVERSm MALAYSIA SARAW
repurchase evolved to become a useful financial tool that is carried out by the
management to distribute excess cash to shareholders other than paying dividend
As share buyback is becoming commonly carried out many researches have been
done on announcement impact of share buyback Some the researches also reviewed that
share buyback announcement may not be carried ou as stated and hence it did not
generate positive impacts to the share price in the long run (Zhang 2002) Much fewer
researches were done on long tenn impact of actual share buyback as it required
significant amount of data that some stock exchange did not enclose
Although open market share repurchase is regularly being studied in United
States researchers nonnally encounter trouble in getting actual repurchase data as United
States has a general lack of disclosure requirement associated with share repurchase In
United States listed finn can buy back its own shares without making any
announcements and finns that already made announcements are under no obligation to
implement their proposed plans (Brockman amp Chung 2012) Thus this is difficult for
researcher to study the impact of actual share repurchases especially those that require
detail timing prices or magnitudes of the repurchases
In my study the issue of data does not occur as KLSE has a full disclosure on
share buyback In Malaysia a listed corporation middotltfanoniY1Ufcbas4its Qwn shares after ~ t middot t
getting authorization of its shareholders in a general meeting The share repurchase is
subject to rules under the Companies Act 1965 section 67 A and Part lIlA of the
Companies Regulations 1966 The shareholders will be infonned either through a
statement accompanying its notice of general meeting or a circular After the general
5
meeting that is called to consider the proposed share repurchase the listed corporation
must implediately announce the outcome to the stock exchange A listed corporation in
KLSE is only aJ1owed to purchase or hold not more than 10 of its issued and paid-up
capital
After a repurchase is carried out the listed corporation must immediately
announce to KLSE not later than 630pm on the day the purchase is made This
announcement will have to contain the detail as below
(a) date of purchase
(b) description of shares purchased
(0) number of shares purchased
(d) price of each share or where relevant the highest and lowest price paid
(e) total consideration paid
(0 number of shares purchased retained in treasury
(g) number of share purchased which are proposed to be cancelled
(h) cumulative net outstanding treasury s~ares at the date of notification where ~~ - ~ ~~
j bull bull L t
applicable
(i) where all or any of the shares are proposed to be cancelled the adjusted share capital
bull t r I
lt bull
6
13 Problem statement
Studyon abnormal return of share price for share buyback firms had been carried
out numerously across the countries that initiated share buyback Much of these studies
had indicated that there exists positive return on the share price either short run or long
run after share buyback announcement or actual sh~re buyback initiation Most of the
previous studies about share buyback in Malaysia were focus on share buyback
announcement and short term studies following the actual share repurchases As Malaysia
only allowed share buyback since 1 September 1997 it posts difficulties for the previous
researchers to study on the long run impacts after share buyback initiation as limited
numbers of data is available Therefore research on long run impact is crucial to clarify
whether there exits any long run abnormal return by comparing with the Kuala Lumpur
Composite Index KLCI as the benchmark
Other than that obtaining abnormal return is always the primary aim of deciding
any stock investment By assuming management has better timing and upfront
infonnation share repurchase would signal a good entry to gain an abnormal return
Therefore this study will benefit all the market participants towards long run impact of
share buyback initiation With data easily available in the Kuala Lumpur Stock
Exchange KLSE website it will be an in~eres~i~g topic to discover the relationship of - -111 ~ II
actual share buyback and its share price
- In order to streamline the large numbers of share buyback companies and further
identify those that really contribute to abnormal return characteristics of those companies
are investigated as well The long run return computed will be later linked to the specific i_ [ I
7
characteristic of these individual companies namely book-to-market ratio (BTM) and
marketyalue (MV) which are characteristics commonly study in the prior studies
14 Research Objectives
141 General Objective
This study aims to determine the long run abnormal return for firms that chose to initiate
share buyback program from 1999 to 2008 in Kuala Lumpur Stock Exchange
142 Specific Objectives
(a) To investigate the long run abnormal return of share repurchases to share price of
the repurchase firms from 1999 to 2008
(b) Investigate the relationship of long run abnormal return of share buyback companies with its market value (MV) and book-to-market (BTM) ratio
15 Significant of the study
As share buyback only initiated in Kuala Lumpur Exchange (KLSE) since 1997
very few publish journal have been done to review its relationship with its share price
Only few published journal was found to study on the short term announcement impact
using Cumulative Abnormal Return CAR This itpto15abiyo6e1hthe srn~JJI1umber of companies participating in share b~yback when the prsram is approved that become
limitation to the previous study As a result there exists the need to study the impact of
share buyback to the share price in a longer duration
If
) ~
8
_ - - - --
Other than that as investors always looking for indicators to achieve abnonnal
retuTJ in the stock market share repurchase that is said to have signaling effect will
probably be agood sign to buy or sell a stock Asymmetry infonnation lead many market
participants especially the retail investor to confuse on the intention of share buyback It
is still unknown whether share buyback really benefited the shareholders This proves
that it is important for this study to examine whether there exist any long run abnonnal
return after share buyback initiation so that it can be used as an indicator for market
participants
16 Scope of the study
This study intends to examine the long run impact of actual share buyback
initiation towards its share price of listed companies in Kuala Lumpur Exchange (KLSE)
The share buyback companies that will be covered are from 1 January 1999 until 31
December 2008 Each of these share buyback company will later be tracked down for
monthly perfonnance using Buy-and-Hold Abnonnal Return(BHAR) method starting
from the first day of initiating share buyback program until for the end of the three years
to examine the long run impact of share repurchase towards its share price Each of this
BHAR value will later be regressed with the book-to-market ratio (BTM) and natural
logarithm of market value (MV) to examine the ~~istence of any relationship bull ~ ~ j-
l ~ l i
I I bull
9
=========~--- ---- -- ----------------==-----------shy
17 Organization of the chapter
Chapt~r one covers introduction on the concept of share repurchase and the
happening around the listed nations It will also involve list of related research and issue
on share repurchase Chapter two involves literature review about the previous research It will review
several theories on share buyback that support existence of positive return research on
impact of announcement and actual repurchase characteristics of the share buyback
companies that possess abnormal returns the methodologies and others
Chapter 3 contains discussion on data coHection where the source will be stated
clearly The theoretical framework will be reviewed in detail follow by the derivation of
empirical model of this study and the method to be used for this study
Chapter 4 contains the result and detail discussion by compare and contrast with
previous findings The empirical result will be interpreted and discussed
Chapter 5 will contain the conclusion of this study policy implications and
limitation of the study
y ~ ~
bull [~ I
~ o
10
CHAPTER 2
LITERATURE REVIEW
21 Overview
As share buyback only initiated in Malaysia on 1997 after Asian Financial Crisis
there are still very few published journals found related to the issue of share buyback in
Malaysia One of the few published journal found is Market Reaction to Actual Share
Repurchase in Malaysia by Isa Ghani and Lee in 2011 which also stated in the journal
that they only found a published journal before their study which is Price Reaction to
Stock Repurchases Evidence from KLSE done by Lim and Bacha in 2002
In this chapter discussion will be started with motives behind the initiation of
share buyback that support existence of abnormal returns followed with previous finding
on the performance of share price following share repurchase As mentioned previously
due to relatively few published journal abotrt share repurchase in the Malaysia context
much of the argument will be based on previous research done in foreign countries that
may have some different behaviours from Malaysias situation
I
II
22 Theories on the motives of share buyback that support existence of abnormal
returns There e many theories about the reasons a company conducts a share buyback
Among the most popular theories that regularly being studied are signaling effects free
cash flows dividend substitution defensive strategies changing capital structures and
others In 2000 Ditmar did a research to test the motives of share buyback in United
States involving repurchase from the year 1977 till 1996 In his research he cited the
failure of previous research in determining the motives of share buyback where they only
tested a few motives neglecting other potential factors Therefore by using a censored
regression analysis he tested five motives of share buyback as below
(a) Excess Capital Hypothesis Repurchases and Distribution Policy
(b) Undervaluation Hypothesis Repurchases and Investment Policy
(c) Optimal Leverage Ratio Hypothesis Repurchases and Capital Structure Policy
(d) Management Incentive Hypothesis Repurchases and Compensation Policy
(e) Takeover Deterrence Hypothesis Repurchases and Corporate Control
Ditmar found out that it is possible that firms to repurchase stock for several reasons and
the statistics result support the hypothesis of excess capital the optimal leverage ratio the
undervaluation and the takeover deterrence
Lee and Suh in 20 II found that- the amOUI)ts of ~hare repurchases across countries bull - bull --- ~ bull ~1 bull 0
are significantly associated with large cash holdings Their study indicated that fmhs
across countries that repurchase share usually hold large amount of excess cash and
experience raised in amount of cash holdings prior to repurchases The increases in
excess cash appear to be achieved from decrease in capital ~xpen~iture instead of
l bull [ I I
12
pusat Khidmat Maklumat Akade~ UNIVERSm MALAYSIA SARAW
repurchase evolved to become a useful financial tool that is carried out by the
management to distribute excess cash to shareholders other than paying dividend
As share buyback is becoming commonly carried out many researches have been
done on announcement impact of share buyback Some the researches also reviewed that
share buyback announcement may not be carried ou as stated and hence it did not
generate positive impacts to the share price in the long run (Zhang 2002) Much fewer
researches were done on long tenn impact of actual share buyback as it required
significant amount of data that some stock exchange did not enclose
Although open market share repurchase is regularly being studied in United
States researchers nonnally encounter trouble in getting actual repurchase data as United
States has a general lack of disclosure requirement associated with share repurchase In
United States listed finn can buy back its own shares without making any
announcements and finns that already made announcements are under no obligation to
implement their proposed plans (Brockman amp Chung 2012) Thus this is difficult for
researcher to study the impact of actual share repurchases especially those that require
detail timing prices or magnitudes of the repurchases
In my study the issue of data does not occur as KLSE has a full disclosure on
share buyback In Malaysia a listed corporation middotltfanoniY1Ufcbas4its Qwn shares after ~ t middot t
getting authorization of its shareholders in a general meeting The share repurchase is
subject to rules under the Companies Act 1965 section 67 A and Part lIlA of the
Companies Regulations 1966 The shareholders will be infonned either through a
statement accompanying its notice of general meeting or a circular After the general
5
meeting that is called to consider the proposed share repurchase the listed corporation
must implediately announce the outcome to the stock exchange A listed corporation in
KLSE is only aJ1owed to purchase or hold not more than 10 of its issued and paid-up
capital
After a repurchase is carried out the listed corporation must immediately
announce to KLSE not later than 630pm on the day the purchase is made This
announcement will have to contain the detail as below
(a) date of purchase
(b) description of shares purchased
(0) number of shares purchased
(d) price of each share or where relevant the highest and lowest price paid
(e) total consideration paid
(0 number of shares purchased retained in treasury
(g) number of share purchased which are proposed to be cancelled
(h) cumulative net outstanding treasury s~ares at the date of notification where ~~ - ~ ~~
j bull bull L t
applicable
(i) where all or any of the shares are proposed to be cancelled the adjusted share capital
bull t r I
lt bull
6
13 Problem statement
Studyon abnormal return of share price for share buyback firms had been carried
out numerously across the countries that initiated share buyback Much of these studies
had indicated that there exists positive return on the share price either short run or long
run after share buyback announcement or actual sh~re buyback initiation Most of the
previous studies about share buyback in Malaysia were focus on share buyback
announcement and short term studies following the actual share repurchases As Malaysia
only allowed share buyback since 1 September 1997 it posts difficulties for the previous
researchers to study on the long run impacts after share buyback initiation as limited
numbers of data is available Therefore research on long run impact is crucial to clarify
whether there exits any long run abnormal return by comparing with the Kuala Lumpur
Composite Index KLCI as the benchmark
Other than that obtaining abnormal return is always the primary aim of deciding
any stock investment By assuming management has better timing and upfront
infonnation share repurchase would signal a good entry to gain an abnormal return
Therefore this study will benefit all the market participants towards long run impact of
share buyback initiation With data easily available in the Kuala Lumpur Stock
Exchange KLSE website it will be an in~eres~i~g topic to discover the relationship of - -111 ~ II
actual share buyback and its share price
- In order to streamline the large numbers of share buyback companies and further
identify those that really contribute to abnormal return characteristics of those companies
are investigated as well The long run return computed will be later linked to the specific i_ [ I
7
characteristic of these individual companies namely book-to-market ratio (BTM) and
marketyalue (MV) which are characteristics commonly study in the prior studies
14 Research Objectives
141 General Objective
This study aims to determine the long run abnormal return for firms that chose to initiate
share buyback program from 1999 to 2008 in Kuala Lumpur Stock Exchange
142 Specific Objectives
(a) To investigate the long run abnormal return of share repurchases to share price of
the repurchase firms from 1999 to 2008
(b) Investigate the relationship of long run abnormal return of share buyback companies with its market value (MV) and book-to-market (BTM) ratio
15 Significant of the study
As share buyback only initiated in Kuala Lumpur Exchange (KLSE) since 1997
very few publish journal have been done to review its relationship with its share price
Only few published journal was found to study on the short term announcement impact
using Cumulative Abnormal Return CAR This itpto15abiyo6e1hthe srn~JJI1umber of companies participating in share b~yback when the prsram is approved that become
limitation to the previous study As a result there exists the need to study the impact of
share buyback to the share price in a longer duration
If
) ~
8
_ - - - --
Other than that as investors always looking for indicators to achieve abnonnal
retuTJ in the stock market share repurchase that is said to have signaling effect will
probably be agood sign to buy or sell a stock Asymmetry infonnation lead many market
participants especially the retail investor to confuse on the intention of share buyback It
is still unknown whether share buyback really benefited the shareholders This proves
that it is important for this study to examine whether there exist any long run abnonnal
return after share buyback initiation so that it can be used as an indicator for market
participants
16 Scope of the study
This study intends to examine the long run impact of actual share buyback
initiation towards its share price of listed companies in Kuala Lumpur Exchange (KLSE)
The share buyback companies that will be covered are from 1 January 1999 until 31
December 2008 Each of these share buyback company will later be tracked down for
monthly perfonnance using Buy-and-Hold Abnonnal Return(BHAR) method starting
from the first day of initiating share buyback program until for the end of the three years
to examine the long run impact of share repurchase towards its share price Each of this
BHAR value will later be regressed with the book-to-market ratio (BTM) and natural
logarithm of market value (MV) to examine the ~~istence of any relationship bull ~ ~ j-
l ~ l i
I I bull
9
=========~--- ---- -- ----------------==-----------shy
17 Organization of the chapter
Chapt~r one covers introduction on the concept of share repurchase and the
happening around the listed nations It will also involve list of related research and issue
on share repurchase Chapter two involves literature review about the previous research It will review
several theories on share buyback that support existence of positive return research on
impact of announcement and actual repurchase characteristics of the share buyback
companies that possess abnormal returns the methodologies and others
Chapter 3 contains discussion on data coHection where the source will be stated
clearly The theoretical framework will be reviewed in detail follow by the derivation of
empirical model of this study and the method to be used for this study
Chapter 4 contains the result and detail discussion by compare and contrast with
previous findings The empirical result will be interpreted and discussed
Chapter 5 will contain the conclusion of this study policy implications and
limitation of the study
y ~ ~
bull [~ I
~ o
10
CHAPTER 2
LITERATURE REVIEW
21 Overview
As share buyback only initiated in Malaysia on 1997 after Asian Financial Crisis
there are still very few published journals found related to the issue of share buyback in
Malaysia One of the few published journal found is Market Reaction to Actual Share
Repurchase in Malaysia by Isa Ghani and Lee in 2011 which also stated in the journal
that they only found a published journal before their study which is Price Reaction to
Stock Repurchases Evidence from KLSE done by Lim and Bacha in 2002
In this chapter discussion will be started with motives behind the initiation of
share buyback that support existence of abnormal returns followed with previous finding
on the performance of share price following share repurchase As mentioned previously
due to relatively few published journal abotrt share repurchase in the Malaysia context
much of the argument will be based on previous research done in foreign countries that
may have some different behaviours from Malaysias situation
I
II
22 Theories on the motives of share buyback that support existence of abnormal
returns There e many theories about the reasons a company conducts a share buyback
Among the most popular theories that regularly being studied are signaling effects free
cash flows dividend substitution defensive strategies changing capital structures and
others In 2000 Ditmar did a research to test the motives of share buyback in United
States involving repurchase from the year 1977 till 1996 In his research he cited the
failure of previous research in determining the motives of share buyback where they only
tested a few motives neglecting other potential factors Therefore by using a censored
regression analysis he tested five motives of share buyback as below
(a) Excess Capital Hypothesis Repurchases and Distribution Policy
(b) Undervaluation Hypothesis Repurchases and Investment Policy
(c) Optimal Leverage Ratio Hypothesis Repurchases and Capital Structure Policy
(d) Management Incentive Hypothesis Repurchases and Compensation Policy
(e) Takeover Deterrence Hypothesis Repurchases and Corporate Control
Ditmar found out that it is possible that firms to repurchase stock for several reasons and
the statistics result support the hypothesis of excess capital the optimal leverage ratio the
undervaluation and the takeover deterrence
Lee and Suh in 20 II found that- the amOUI)ts of ~hare repurchases across countries bull - bull --- ~ bull ~1 bull 0
are significantly associated with large cash holdings Their study indicated that fmhs
across countries that repurchase share usually hold large amount of excess cash and
experience raised in amount of cash holdings prior to repurchases The increases in
excess cash appear to be achieved from decrease in capital ~xpen~iture instead of
l bull [ I I
12
meeting that is called to consider the proposed share repurchase the listed corporation
must implediately announce the outcome to the stock exchange A listed corporation in
KLSE is only aJ1owed to purchase or hold not more than 10 of its issued and paid-up
capital
After a repurchase is carried out the listed corporation must immediately
announce to KLSE not later than 630pm on the day the purchase is made This
announcement will have to contain the detail as below
(a) date of purchase
(b) description of shares purchased
(0) number of shares purchased
(d) price of each share or where relevant the highest and lowest price paid
(e) total consideration paid
(0 number of shares purchased retained in treasury
(g) number of share purchased which are proposed to be cancelled
(h) cumulative net outstanding treasury s~ares at the date of notification where ~~ - ~ ~~
j bull bull L t
applicable
(i) where all or any of the shares are proposed to be cancelled the adjusted share capital
bull t r I
lt bull
6
13 Problem statement
Studyon abnormal return of share price for share buyback firms had been carried
out numerously across the countries that initiated share buyback Much of these studies
had indicated that there exists positive return on the share price either short run or long
run after share buyback announcement or actual sh~re buyback initiation Most of the
previous studies about share buyback in Malaysia were focus on share buyback
announcement and short term studies following the actual share repurchases As Malaysia
only allowed share buyback since 1 September 1997 it posts difficulties for the previous
researchers to study on the long run impacts after share buyback initiation as limited
numbers of data is available Therefore research on long run impact is crucial to clarify
whether there exits any long run abnormal return by comparing with the Kuala Lumpur
Composite Index KLCI as the benchmark
Other than that obtaining abnormal return is always the primary aim of deciding
any stock investment By assuming management has better timing and upfront
infonnation share repurchase would signal a good entry to gain an abnormal return
Therefore this study will benefit all the market participants towards long run impact of
share buyback initiation With data easily available in the Kuala Lumpur Stock
Exchange KLSE website it will be an in~eres~i~g topic to discover the relationship of - -111 ~ II
actual share buyback and its share price
- In order to streamline the large numbers of share buyback companies and further
identify those that really contribute to abnormal return characteristics of those companies
are investigated as well The long run return computed will be later linked to the specific i_ [ I
7
characteristic of these individual companies namely book-to-market ratio (BTM) and
marketyalue (MV) which are characteristics commonly study in the prior studies
14 Research Objectives
141 General Objective
This study aims to determine the long run abnormal return for firms that chose to initiate
share buyback program from 1999 to 2008 in Kuala Lumpur Stock Exchange
142 Specific Objectives
(a) To investigate the long run abnormal return of share repurchases to share price of
the repurchase firms from 1999 to 2008
(b) Investigate the relationship of long run abnormal return of share buyback companies with its market value (MV) and book-to-market (BTM) ratio
15 Significant of the study
As share buyback only initiated in Kuala Lumpur Exchange (KLSE) since 1997
very few publish journal have been done to review its relationship with its share price
Only few published journal was found to study on the short term announcement impact
using Cumulative Abnormal Return CAR This itpto15abiyo6e1hthe srn~JJI1umber of companies participating in share b~yback when the prsram is approved that become
limitation to the previous study As a result there exists the need to study the impact of
share buyback to the share price in a longer duration
If
) ~
8
_ - - - --
Other than that as investors always looking for indicators to achieve abnonnal
retuTJ in the stock market share repurchase that is said to have signaling effect will
probably be agood sign to buy or sell a stock Asymmetry infonnation lead many market
participants especially the retail investor to confuse on the intention of share buyback It
is still unknown whether share buyback really benefited the shareholders This proves
that it is important for this study to examine whether there exist any long run abnonnal
return after share buyback initiation so that it can be used as an indicator for market
participants
16 Scope of the study
This study intends to examine the long run impact of actual share buyback
initiation towards its share price of listed companies in Kuala Lumpur Exchange (KLSE)
The share buyback companies that will be covered are from 1 January 1999 until 31
December 2008 Each of these share buyback company will later be tracked down for
monthly perfonnance using Buy-and-Hold Abnonnal Return(BHAR) method starting
from the first day of initiating share buyback program until for the end of the three years
to examine the long run impact of share repurchase towards its share price Each of this
BHAR value will later be regressed with the book-to-market ratio (BTM) and natural
logarithm of market value (MV) to examine the ~~istence of any relationship bull ~ ~ j-
l ~ l i
I I bull
9
=========~--- ---- -- ----------------==-----------shy
17 Organization of the chapter
Chapt~r one covers introduction on the concept of share repurchase and the
happening around the listed nations It will also involve list of related research and issue
on share repurchase Chapter two involves literature review about the previous research It will review
several theories on share buyback that support existence of positive return research on
impact of announcement and actual repurchase characteristics of the share buyback
companies that possess abnormal returns the methodologies and others
Chapter 3 contains discussion on data coHection where the source will be stated
clearly The theoretical framework will be reviewed in detail follow by the derivation of
empirical model of this study and the method to be used for this study
Chapter 4 contains the result and detail discussion by compare and contrast with
previous findings The empirical result will be interpreted and discussed
Chapter 5 will contain the conclusion of this study policy implications and
limitation of the study
y ~ ~
bull [~ I
~ o
10
CHAPTER 2
LITERATURE REVIEW
21 Overview
As share buyback only initiated in Malaysia on 1997 after Asian Financial Crisis
there are still very few published journals found related to the issue of share buyback in
Malaysia One of the few published journal found is Market Reaction to Actual Share
Repurchase in Malaysia by Isa Ghani and Lee in 2011 which also stated in the journal
that they only found a published journal before their study which is Price Reaction to
Stock Repurchases Evidence from KLSE done by Lim and Bacha in 2002
In this chapter discussion will be started with motives behind the initiation of
share buyback that support existence of abnormal returns followed with previous finding
on the performance of share price following share repurchase As mentioned previously
due to relatively few published journal abotrt share repurchase in the Malaysia context
much of the argument will be based on previous research done in foreign countries that
may have some different behaviours from Malaysias situation
I
II
22 Theories on the motives of share buyback that support existence of abnormal
returns There e many theories about the reasons a company conducts a share buyback
Among the most popular theories that regularly being studied are signaling effects free
cash flows dividend substitution defensive strategies changing capital structures and
others In 2000 Ditmar did a research to test the motives of share buyback in United
States involving repurchase from the year 1977 till 1996 In his research he cited the
failure of previous research in determining the motives of share buyback where they only
tested a few motives neglecting other potential factors Therefore by using a censored
regression analysis he tested five motives of share buyback as below
(a) Excess Capital Hypothesis Repurchases and Distribution Policy
(b) Undervaluation Hypothesis Repurchases and Investment Policy
(c) Optimal Leverage Ratio Hypothesis Repurchases and Capital Structure Policy
(d) Management Incentive Hypothesis Repurchases and Compensation Policy
(e) Takeover Deterrence Hypothesis Repurchases and Corporate Control
Ditmar found out that it is possible that firms to repurchase stock for several reasons and
the statistics result support the hypothesis of excess capital the optimal leverage ratio the
undervaluation and the takeover deterrence
Lee and Suh in 20 II found that- the amOUI)ts of ~hare repurchases across countries bull - bull --- ~ bull ~1 bull 0
are significantly associated with large cash holdings Their study indicated that fmhs
across countries that repurchase share usually hold large amount of excess cash and
experience raised in amount of cash holdings prior to repurchases The increases in
excess cash appear to be achieved from decrease in capital ~xpen~iture instead of
l bull [ I I
12
13 Problem statement
Studyon abnormal return of share price for share buyback firms had been carried
out numerously across the countries that initiated share buyback Much of these studies
had indicated that there exists positive return on the share price either short run or long
run after share buyback announcement or actual sh~re buyback initiation Most of the
previous studies about share buyback in Malaysia were focus on share buyback
announcement and short term studies following the actual share repurchases As Malaysia
only allowed share buyback since 1 September 1997 it posts difficulties for the previous
researchers to study on the long run impacts after share buyback initiation as limited
numbers of data is available Therefore research on long run impact is crucial to clarify
whether there exits any long run abnormal return by comparing with the Kuala Lumpur
Composite Index KLCI as the benchmark
Other than that obtaining abnormal return is always the primary aim of deciding
any stock investment By assuming management has better timing and upfront
infonnation share repurchase would signal a good entry to gain an abnormal return
Therefore this study will benefit all the market participants towards long run impact of
share buyback initiation With data easily available in the Kuala Lumpur Stock
Exchange KLSE website it will be an in~eres~i~g topic to discover the relationship of - -111 ~ II
actual share buyback and its share price
- In order to streamline the large numbers of share buyback companies and further
identify those that really contribute to abnormal return characteristics of those companies
are investigated as well The long run return computed will be later linked to the specific i_ [ I
7
characteristic of these individual companies namely book-to-market ratio (BTM) and
marketyalue (MV) which are characteristics commonly study in the prior studies
14 Research Objectives
141 General Objective
This study aims to determine the long run abnormal return for firms that chose to initiate
share buyback program from 1999 to 2008 in Kuala Lumpur Stock Exchange
142 Specific Objectives
(a) To investigate the long run abnormal return of share repurchases to share price of
the repurchase firms from 1999 to 2008
(b) Investigate the relationship of long run abnormal return of share buyback companies with its market value (MV) and book-to-market (BTM) ratio
15 Significant of the study
As share buyback only initiated in Kuala Lumpur Exchange (KLSE) since 1997
very few publish journal have been done to review its relationship with its share price
Only few published journal was found to study on the short term announcement impact
using Cumulative Abnormal Return CAR This itpto15abiyo6e1hthe srn~JJI1umber of companies participating in share b~yback when the prsram is approved that become
limitation to the previous study As a result there exists the need to study the impact of
share buyback to the share price in a longer duration
If
) ~
8
_ - - - --
Other than that as investors always looking for indicators to achieve abnonnal
retuTJ in the stock market share repurchase that is said to have signaling effect will
probably be agood sign to buy or sell a stock Asymmetry infonnation lead many market
participants especially the retail investor to confuse on the intention of share buyback It
is still unknown whether share buyback really benefited the shareholders This proves
that it is important for this study to examine whether there exist any long run abnonnal
return after share buyback initiation so that it can be used as an indicator for market
participants
16 Scope of the study
This study intends to examine the long run impact of actual share buyback
initiation towards its share price of listed companies in Kuala Lumpur Exchange (KLSE)
The share buyback companies that will be covered are from 1 January 1999 until 31
December 2008 Each of these share buyback company will later be tracked down for
monthly perfonnance using Buy-and-Hold Abnonnal Return(BHAR) method starting
from the first day of initiating share buyback program until for the end of the three years
to examine the long run impact of share repurchase towards its share price Each of this
BHAR value will later be regressed with the book-to-market ratio (BTM) and natural
logarithm of market value (MV) to examine the ~~istence of any relationship bull ~ ~ j-
l ~ l i
I I bull
9
=========~--- ---- -- ----------------==-----------shy
17 Organization of the chapter
Chapt~r one covers introduction on the concept of share repurchase and the
happening around the listed nations It will also involve list of related research and issue
on share repurchase Chapter two involves literature review about the previous research It will review
several theories on share buyback that support existence of positive return research on
impact of announcement and actual repurchase characteristics of the share buyback
companies that possess abnormal returns the methodologies and others
Chapter 3 contains discussion on data coHection where the source will be stated
clearly The theoretical framework will be reviewed in detail follow by the derivation of
empirical model of this study and the method to be used for this study
Chapter 4 contains the result and detail discussion by compare and contrast with
previous findings The empirical result will be interpreted and discussed
Chapter 5 will contain the conclusion of this study policy implications and
limitation of the study
y ~ ~
bull [~ I
~ o
10
CHAPTER 2
LITERATURE REVIEW
21 Overview
As share buyback only initiated in Malaysia on 1997 after Asian Financial Crisis
there are still very few published journals found related to the issue of share buyback in
Malaysia One of the few published journal found is Market Reaction to Actual Share
Repurchase in Malaysia by Isa Ghani and Lee in 2011 which also stated in the journal
that they only found a published journal before their study which is Price Reaction to
Stock Repurchases Evidence from KLSE done by Lim and Bacha in 2002
In this chapter discussion will be started with motives behind the initiation of
share buyback that support existence of abnormal returns followed with previous finding
on the performance of share price following share repurchase As mentioned previously
due to relatively few published journal abotrt share repurchase in the Malaysia context
much of the argument will be based on previous research done in foreign countries that
may have some different behaviours from Malaysias situation
I
II
22 Theories on the motives of share buyback that support existence of abnormal
returns There e many theories about the reasons a company conducts a share buyback
Among the most popular theories that regularly being studied are signaling effects free
cash flows dividend substitution defensive strategies changing capital structures and
others In 2000 Ditmar did a research to test the motives of share buyback in United
States involving repurchase from the year 1977 till 1996 In his research he cited the
failure of previous research in determining the motives of share buyback where they only
tested a few motives neglecting other potential factors Therefore by using a censored
regression analysis he tested five motives of share buyback as below
(a) Excess Capital Hypothesis Repurchases and Distribution Policy
(b) Undervaluation Hypothesis Repurchases and Investment Policy
(c) Optimal Leverage Ratio Hypothesis Repurchases and Capital Structure Policy
(d) Management Incentive Hypothesis Repurchases and Compensation Policy
(e) Takeover Deterrence Hypothesis Repurchases and Corporate Control
Ditmar found out that it is possible that firms to repurchase stock for several reasons and
the statistics result support the hypothesis of excess capital the optimal leverage ratio the
undervaluation and the takeover deterrence
Lee and Suh in 20 II found that- the amOUI)ts of ~hare repurchases across countries bull - bull --- ~ bull ~1 bull 0
are significantly associated with large cash holdings Their study indicated that fmhs
across countries that repurchase share usually hold large amount of excess cash and
experience raised in amount of cash holdings prior to repurchases The increases in
excess cash appear to be achieved from decrease in capital ~xpen~iture instead of
l bull [ I I
12
characteristic of these individual companies namely book-to-market ratio (BTM) and
marketyalue (MV) which are characteristics commonly study in the prior studies
14 Research Objectives
141 General Objective
This study aims to determine the long run abnormal return for firms that chose to initiate
share buyback program from 1999 to 2008 in Kuala Lumpur Stock Exchange
142 Specific Objectives
(a) To investigate the long run abnormal return of share repurchases to share price of
the repurchase firms from 1999 to 2008
(b) Investigate the relationship of long run abnormal return of share buyback companies with its market value (MV) and book-to-market (BTM) ratio
15 Significant of the study
As share buyback only initiated in Kuala Lumpur Exchange (KLSE) since 1997
very few publish journal have been done to review its relationship with its share price
Only few published journal was found to study on the short term announcement impact
using Cumulative Abnormal Return CAR This itpto15abiyo6e1hthe srn~JJI1umber of companies participating in share b~yback when the prsram is approved that become
limitation to the previous study As a result there exists the need to study the impact of
share buyback to the share price in a longer duration
If
) ~
8
_ - - - --
Other than that as investors always looking for indicators to achieve abnonnal
retuTJ in the stock market share repurchase that is said to have signaling effect will
probably be agood sign to buy or sell a stock Asymmetry infonnation lead many market
participants especially the retail investor to confuse on the intention of share buyback It
is still unknown whether share buyback really benefited the shareholders This proves
that it is important for this study to examine whether there exist any long run abnonnal
return after share buyback initiation so that it can be used as an indicator for market
participants
16 Scope of the study
This study intends to examine the long run impact of actual share buyback
initiation towards its share price of listed companies in Kuala Lumpur Exchange (KLSE)
The share buyback companies that will be covered are from 1 January 1999 until 31
December 2008 Each of these share buyback company will later be tracked down for
monthly perfonnance using Buy-and-Hold Abnonnal Return(BHAR) method starting
from the first day of initiating share buyback program until for the end of the three years
to examine the long run impact of share repurchase towards its share price Each of this
BHAR value will later be regressed with the book-to-market ratio (BTM) and natural
logarithm of market value (MV) to examine the ~~istence of any relationship bull ~ ~ j-
l ~ l i
I I bull
9
=========~--- ---- -- ----------------==-----------shy
17 Organization of the chapter
Chapt~r one covers introduction on the concept of share repurchase and the
happening around the listed nations It will also involve list of related research and issue
on share repurchase Chapter two involves literature review about the previous research It will review
several theories on share buyback that support existence of positive return research on
impact of announcement and actual repurchase characteristics of the share buyback
companies that possess abnormal returns the methodologies and others
Chapter 3 contains discussion on data coHection where the source will be stated
clearly The theoretical framework will be reviewed in detail follow by the derivation of
empirical model of this study and the method to be used for this study
Chapter 4 contains the result and detail discussion by compare and contrast with
previous findings The empirical result will be interpreted and discussed
Chapter 5 will contain the conclusion of this study policy implications and
limitation of the study
y ~ ~
bull [~ I
~ o
10
CHAPTER 2
LITERATURE REVIEW
21 Overview
As share buyback only initiated in Malaysia on 1997 after Asian Financial Crisis
there are still very few published journals found related to the issue of share buyback in
Malaysia One of the few published journal found is Market Reaction to Actual Share
Repurchase in Malaysia by Isa Ghani and Lee in 2011 which also stated in the journal
that they only found a published journal before their study which is Price Reaction to
Stock Repurchases Evidence from KLSE done by Lim and Bacha in 2002
In this chapter discussion will be started with motives behind the initiation of
share buyback that support existence of abnormal returns followed with previous finding
on the performance of share price following share repurchase As mentioned previously
due to relatively few published journal abotrt share repurchase in the Malaysia context
much of the argument will be based on previous research done in foreign countries that
may have some different behaviours from Malaysias situation
I
II
22 Theories on the motives of share buyback that support existence of abnormal
returns There e many theories about the reasons a company conducts a share buyback
Among the most popular theories that regularly being studied are signaling effects free
cash flows dividend substitution defensive strategies changing capital structures and
others In 2000 Ditmar did a research to test the motives of share buyback in United
States involving repurchase from the year 1977 till 1996 In his research he cited the
failure of previous research in determining the motives of share buyback where they only
tested a few motives neglecting other potential factors Therefore by using a censored
regression analysis he tested five motives of share buyback as below
(a) Excess Capital Hypothesis Repurchases and Distribution Policy
(b) Undervaluation Hypothesis Repurchases and Investment Policy
(c) Optimal Leverage Ratio Hypothesis Repurchases and Capital Structure Policy
(d) Management Incentive Hypothesis Repurchases and Compensation Policy
(e) Takeover Deterrence Hypothesis Repurchases and Corporate Control
Ditmar found out that it is possible that firms to repurchase stock for several reasons and
the statistics result support the hypothesis of excess capital the optimal leverage ratio the
undervaluation and the takeover deterrence
Lee and Suh in 20 II found that- the amOUI)ts of ~hare repurchases across countries bull - bull --- ~ bull ~1 bull 0
are significantly associated with large cash holdings Their study indicated that fmhs
across countries that repurchase share usually hold large amount of excess cash and
experience raised in amount of cash holdings prior to repurchases The increases in
excess cash appear to be achieved from decrease in capital ~xpen~iture instead of
l bull [ I I
12
_ - - - --
Other than that as investors always looking for indicators to achieve abnonnal
retuTJ in the stock market share repurchase that is said to have signaling effect will
probably be agood sign to buy or sell a stock Asymmetry infonnation lead many market
participants especially the retail investor to confuse on the intention of share buyback It
is still unknown whether share buyback really benefited the shareholders This proves
that it is important for this study to examine whether there exist any long run abnonnal
return after share buyback initiation so that it can be used as an indicator for market
participants
16 Scope of the study
This study intends to examine the long run impact of actual share buyback
initiation towards its share price of listed companies in Kuala Lumpur Exchange (KLSE)
The share buyback companies that will be covered are from 1 January 1999 until 31
December 2008 Each of these share buyback company will later be tracked down for
monthly perfonnance using Buy-and-Hold Abnonnal Return(BHAR) method starting
from the first day of initiating share buyback program until for the end of the three years
to examine the long run impact of share repurchase towards its share price Each of this
BHAR value will later be regressed with the book-to-market ratio (BTM) and natural
logarithm of market value (MV) to examine the ~~istence of any relationship bull ~ ~ j-
l ~ l i
I I bull
9
=========~--- ---- -- ----------------==-----------shy
17 Organization of the chapter
Chapt~r one covers introduction on the concept of share repurchase and the
happening around the listed nations It will also involve list of related research and issue
on share repurchase Chapter two involves literature review about the previous research It will review
several theories on share buyback that support existence of positive return research on
impact of announcement and actual repurchase characteristics of the share buyback
companies that possess abnormal returns the methodologies and others
Chapter 3 contains discussion on data coHection where the source will be stated
clearly The theoretical framework will be reviewed in detail follow by the derivation of
empirical model of this study and the method to be used for this study
Chapter 4 contains the result and detail discussion by compare and contrast with
previous findings The empirical result will be interpreted and discussed
Chapter 5 will contain the conclusion of this study policy implications and
limitation of the study
y ~ ~
bull [~ I
~ o
10
CHAPTER 2
LITERATURE REVIEW
21 Overview
As share buyback only initiated in Malaysia on 1997 after Asian Financial Crisis
there are still very few published journals found related to the issue of share buyback in
Malaysia One of the few published journal found is Market Reaction to Actual Share
Repurchase in Malaysia by Isa Ghani and Lee in 2011 which also stated in the journal
that they only found a published journal before their study which is Price Reaction to
Stock Repurchases Evidence from KLSE done by Lim and Bacha in 2002
In this chapter discussion will be started with motives behind the initiation of
share buyback that support existence of abnormal returns followed with previous finding
on the performance of share price following share repurchase As mentioned previously
due to relatively few published journal abotrt share repurchase in the Malaysia context
much of the argument will be based on previous research done in foreign countries that
may have some different behaviours from Malaysias situation
I
II
22 Theories on the motives of share buyback that support existence of abnormal
returns There e many theories about the reasons a company conducts a share buyback
Among the most popular theories that regularly being studied are signaling effects free
cash flows dividend substitution defensive strategies changing capital structures and
others In 2000 Ditmar did a research to test the motives of share buyback in United
States involving repurchase from the year 1977 till 1996 In his research he cited the
failure of previous research in determining the motives of share buyback where they only
tested a few motives neglecting other potential factors Therefore by using a censored
regression analysis he tested five motives of share buyback as below
(a) Excess Capital Hypothesis Repurchases and Distribution Policy
(b) Undervaluation Hypothesis Repurchases and Investment Policy
(c) Optimal Leverage Ratio Hypothesis Repurchases and Capital Structure Policy
(d) Management Incentive Hypothesis Repurchases and Compensation Policy
(e) Takeover Deterrence Hypothesis Repurchases and Corporate Control
Ditmar found out that it is possible that firms to repurchase stock for several reasons and
the statistics result support the hypothesis of excess capital the optimal leverage ratio the
undervaluation and the takeover deterrence
Lee and Suh in 20 II found that- the amOUI)ts of ~hare repurchases across countries bull - bull --- ~ bull ~1 bull 0
are significantly associated with large cash holdings Their study indicated that fmhs
across countries that repurchase share usually hold large amount of excess cash and
experience raised in amount of cash holdings prior to repurchases The increases in
excess cash appear to be achieved from decrease in capital ~xpen~iture instead of
l bull [ I I
12
17 Organization of the chapter
Chapt~r one covers introduction on the concept of share repurchase and the
happening around the listed nations It will also involve list of related research and issue
on share repurchase Chapter two involves literature review about the previous research It will review
several theories on share buyback that support existence of positive return research on
impact of announcement and actual repurchase characteristics of the share buyback
companies that possess abnormal returns the methodologies and others
Chapter 3 contains discussion on data coHection where the source will be stated
clearly The theoretical framework will be reviewed in detail follow by the derivation of
empirical model of this study and the method to be used for this study
Chapter 4 contains the result and detail discussion by compare and contrast with
previous findings The empirical result will be interpreted and discussed
Chapter 5 will contain the conclusion of this study policy implications and
limitation of the study
y ~ ~
bull [~ I
~ o
10
CHAPTER 2
LITERATURE REVIEW
21 Overview
As share buyback only initiated in Malaysia on 1997 after Asian Financial Crisis
there are still very few published journals found related to the issue of share buyback in
Malaysia One of the few published journal found is Market Reaction to Actual Share
Repurchase in Malaysia by Isa Ghani and Lee in 2011 which also stated in the journal
that they only found a published journal before their study which is Price Reaction to
Stock Repurchases Evidence from KLSE done by Lim and Bacha in 2002
In this chapter discussion will be started with motives behind the initiation of
share buyback that support existence of abnormal returns followed with previous finding
on the performance of share price following share repurchase As mentioned previously
due to relatively few published journal abotrt share repurchase in the Malaysia context
much of the argument will be based on previous research done in foreign countries that
may have some different behaviours from Malaysias situation
I
II
22 Theories on the motives of share buyback that support existence of abnormal
returns There e many theories about the reasons a company conducts a share buyback
Among the most popular theories that regularly being studied are signaling effects free
cash flows dividend substitution defensive strategies changing capital structures and
others In 2000 Ditmar did a research to test the motives of share buyback in United
States involving repurchase from the year 1977 till 1996 In his research he cited the
failure of previous research in determining the motives of share buyback where they only
tested a few motives neglecting other potential factors Therefore by using a censored
regression analysis he tested five motives of share buyback as below
(a) Excess Capital Hypothesis Repurchases and Distribution Policy
(b) Undervaluation Hypothesis Repurchases and Investment Policy
(c) Optimal Leverage Ratio Hypothesis Repurchases and Capital Structure Policy
(d) Management Incentive Hypothesis Repurchases and Compensation Policy
(e) Takeover Deterrence Hypothesis Repurchases and Corporate Control
Ditmar found out that it is possible that firms to repurchase stock for several reasons and
the statistics result support the hypothesis of excess capital the optimal leverage ratio the
undervaluation and the takeover deterrence
Lee and Suh in 20 II found that- the amOUI)ts of ~hare repurchases across countries bull - bull --- ~ bull ~1 bull 0
are significantly associated with large cash holdings Their study indicated that fmhs
across countries that repurchase share usually hold large amount of excess cash and
experience raised in amount of cash holdings prior to repurchases The increases in
excess cash appear to be achieved from decrease in capital ~xpen~iture instead of
l bull [ I I
12
CHAPTER 2
LITERATURE REVIEW
21 Overview
As share buyback only initiated in Malaysia on 1997 after Asian Financial Crisis
there are still very few published journals found related to the issue of share buyback in
Malaysia One of the few published journal found is Market Reaction to Actual Share
Repurchase in Malaysia by Isa Ghani and Lee in 2011 which also stated in the journal
that they only found a published journal before their study which is Price Reaction to
Stock Repurchases Evidence from KLSE done by Lim and Bacha in 2002
In this chapter discussion will be started with motives behind the initiation of
share buyback that support existence of abnormal returns followed with previous finding
on the performance of share price following share repurchase As mentioned previously
due to relatively few published journal abotrt share repurchase in the Malaysia context
much of the argument will be based on previous research done in foreign countries that
may have some different behaviours from Malaysias situation
I
II
22 Theories on the motives of share buyback that support existence of abnormal
returns There e many theories about the reasons a company conducts a share buyback
Among the most popular theories that regularly being studied are signaling effects free
cash flows dividend substitution defensive strategies changing capital structures and
others In 2000 Ditmar did a research to test the motives of share buyback in United
States involving repurchase from the year 1977 till 1996 In his research he cited the
failure of previous research in determining the motives of share buyback where they only
tested a few motives neglecting other potential factors Therefore by using a censored
regression analysis he tested five motives of share buyback as below
(a) Excess Capital Hypothesis Repurchases and Distribution Policy
(b) Undervaluation Hypothesis Repurchases and Investment Policy
(c) Optimal Leverage Ratio Hypothesis Repurchases and Capital Structure Policy
(d) Management Incentive Hypothesis Repurchases and Compensation Policy
(e) Takeover Deterrence Hypothesis Repurchases and Corporate Control
Ditmar found out that it is possible that firms to repurchase stock for several reasons and
the statistics result support the hypothesis of excess capital the optimal leverage ratio the
undervaluation and the takeover deterrence
Lee and Suh in 20 II found that- the amOUI)ts of ~hare repurchases across countries bull - bull --- ~ bull ~1 bull 0
are significantly associated with large cash holdings Their study indicated that fmhs
across countries that repurchase share usually hold large amount of excess cash and
experience raised in amount of cash holdings prior to repurchases The increases in
excess cash appear to be achieved from decrease in capital ~xpen~iture instead of
l bull [ I I
12
22 Theories on the motives of share buyback that support existence of abnormal
returns There e many theories about the reasons a company conducts a share buyback
Among the most popular theories that regularly being studied are signaling effects free
cash flows dividend substitution defensive strategies changing capital structures and
others In 2000 Ditmar did a research to test the motives of share buyback in United
States involving repurchase from the year 1977 till 1996 In his research he cited the
failure of previous research in determining the motives of share buyback where they only
tested a few motives neglecting other potential factors Therefore by using a censored
regression analysis he tested five motives of share buyback as below
(a) Excess Capital Hypothesis Repurchases and Distribution Policy
(b) Undervaluation Hypothesis Repurchases and Investment Policy
(c) Optimal Leverage Ratio Hypothesis Repurchases and Capital Structure Policy
(d) Management Incentive Hypothesis Repurchases and Compensation Policy
(e) Takeover Deterrence Hypothesis Repurchases and Corporate Control
Ditmar found out that it is possible that firms to repurchase stock for several reasons and
the statistics result support the hypothesis of excess capital the optimal leverage ratio the
undervaluation and the takeover deterrence
Lee and Suh in 20 II found that- the amOUI)ts of ~hare repurchases across countries bull - bull --- ~ bull ~1 bull 0
are significantly associated with large cash holdings Their study indicated that fmhs
across countries that repurchase share usually hold large amount of excess cash and
experience raised in amount of cash holdings prior to repurchases The increases in
excess cash appear to be achieved from decrease in capital ~xpen~iture instead of
l bull [ I I
12