Laporan Walter Andrew
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Transcript of Laporan Walter Andrew
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By:
Albertus Ch. W. / 1106067886
Ficky Augusta I. / 1106070483
Vincentius Himawan / 1106070520
Walter Andrew Shewhart
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Background Walter Andrew Shewhart(pronounced like
"shoe-heart", March 18, 1891March 11, 1967)
was an American
physicist, engineer and statistician, sometimes
known as the father of statistical qualitycontroland also related to the Shewhart cycle.
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Contribution
On May 16, 1924 while working for BellLabs. schematic control chart. That diagram, andthe short text which preceded and followed it, setforth all of the essential principles and considerations
which are involved in what we know today asprocess quality control.
He understood data from physical processes neverproduce a normal distribution curve (Gaussiandistribution).
Dr. Shewhart concluded that while every processdisplays variation, some processes displaycontrolled variation that is natural to the process,while others display uncontrolled variation that is not
present in the process causal system at all times.
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Schematic Control Chart
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Each point represents a summary statisticcomputed
from a sample of measurements of a quality
characteristic. The vertical axisof a Shewhart chart is scaled in the
same units as the summary statistic.
The samples from which the summary statistics are
computed are referred to as rational subgroupsorsubgroup samples. The organization of the data into
subgroups is critical to the interpretation of a Shewhart
chart. This makes the chart more sensitive to shifts in
the process level. The horizontal axisof a Shewhart chart identifies the
subgroup samples. Frequently, the samples are
indexed according to the order in which they were
taken or the time at which they were taken.
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The central lineon a Shewhart chart indicates the
average (expected value) of the summary statistic
when the process is in statistical control.
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The upper and lower control limits (UCL and LCL),
respectively, indicate the range of variation to be
expected in the summary statistic when the process isin statistical control. The control limits are commonly
computed as 3 limitsrepresenting three standard
errors of variation in the summary statistic above and
below the central line. Limits determined by the latter
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The control limits are also determined by the
subgroup sample size because the standard error of
the summary statistic is a function of sample size. If
the sample size is constant across subgroups, the
control limits are typically horizontal lines, as in the
picture. However, if the sample size varies from
subgroup to subgroup, the limits are usually adjustedto compensate for the effect of sample size, resulting
in step-like boundaries.
Control limits can be estimated from the data being
analyzed, or they can be standard, previouslydetermined values. Estimated limits are often used
when statistical control is being established, and
standard limits are often used when statistical control
is being maintained.
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A point outside the control limitssignals the presence
of a special cause of variation. Additionally, tests for
special causes(also referred to as Western Electricrulesand runs tests) can signal an out-of-control
condition if a statistically unusual pattern of points is
observed in the control chart. For example, one
pattern used to diagnose the existence of a trend isseven consecutive steadily increasing points.
When the process is in statistical control, a point may
fall outside the control limits purely by chance,
resulting in a false out-of-control signal. However,
when the Shewhart chart correctly signals the
presence of a special cause, additional action is
needed to determine the nature of the problem and
eliminate it.
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Example
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Shewhart Control Charts Run chartsuse the middle value (median) and so the
rules rely on addressing whether points are above orbelow that middle value. No account is taken of therelative distances from the median, only whether a value isabove or below.
Shewhart control chartsuse the arithmetic mean as thecentre line. Because the relative distances from the meanare taken into consideration, Shewhart charts are a moresensitive way of detecting whether observed variation isdue to common or special causes.
If a process is stable (i.e. data points are randomlyarranged within the control limits), Shewhart charts allowus to predict future performance. This allows us tocalculate if the current process is capable of producing adesired result (i.e. achieve a numeric aim or target) or
whether the process still needs to be improved orreplaced.
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Types of Shewhart control charts should be
used:
In order to plot accurate control limits you need 20-
30 data points but for X-bar, P, C and U charts trial
limits can be used with as few as 12 points. Youshould alwa s lot a run chart first.
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Standard control chart rules for detecting
special causesSpecial cause (non-random) variation is detected
using a variation of 2 of the 4 rules used on runcharts (the shifts and trends rules) with three extra
ones that rely on the position of data points relative
to the mean (centreline) and control limits.
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The formula to calculate the control limits differ for
each type of control chart so producing controlcharts requires specialist software and/or a skilled
data analyst. The control limits are sometimes
marked 3 sigma.
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PDSA
Simply :
Plan a step or process needed to achieve a goal
or result.
Do what you planned.
Study, that is, reflect on the result.
Act, based on what you learn, to improve the next
similar step or process.
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Shewhart Charts
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Illustrate
Plan
- If a company isn't experiencing the success it
would like in a given area, the company is wise to
brainstrom ideas for improvement. This is the "plan"
phase of the cycle.
Do
- Next, the company chooses a course of action to
pursue, then pursues it, which logically, constitutesthe "do" phase. It is important that Do step carefully
follow the plan.
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Illustrate Study The "study" phase that follows consists of the
company observing the results of their actions, andsubsequently, making judgments as to their efficacy.This step is crucial. It serves as the foundation for thenext and final "act" phase. In study phase, we ask ourself, what we learn? What went wrong?
The act phase instructs the company to analyze theobserved results. If the results are pleasing, change
course to pursue this direction further. If they are not,this phase instructs the company to circle back to theoriginal brainstorming pool in order to start theprocess over again and repeat the cycle until thecompany is pleased with the results.
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PDCA
Shewhart and Deming ( his student ) revised themodel PDSA to PDCA ( plan, do, check, act)
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PDCA
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Shewhart Quote
The object of industry is to set up economicways of satisfying human wants and in so doing
to reduce everything possible to routines
requiring a minimum amount of human effort.
Through the use of the scientific method,extended to take account of modern statistical
concepts, it has been found possible to set up
limits within which the results of routine efforts
must lie if they are to be economical. Deviationsin the results of a routine process outside such
limits indicate that the routine has broken down
and will no longer be economical until the cause
of trouble is removed.
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Reference wikipedia.org/wiki/Walter_A._Shewhart "Western Electric - A Brief History". The Porticus
Centre. Retrieved 2009-04-10.
Neave, Henry R.; British Deming Association(1992). Why SPC?. Knoxville, Tennessee: SPC
Press. ISBN 978-0-945320-17-3. skymark.com/resources/leaders/shewart.asp
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Statistical_process_control
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/PDCA
http://www.qihub.scot.nhs.uk/knowledge-centre/quality-improvement-tools/shewhart-control-charts.aspx
http://support.sas.com/documentation/cdl/en/qcug/63922/HTML/default/viewer.htm#qcug_shewhart_a0000003557.htm
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