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Tindak Malaysia:Together we can make a difference
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An assessment of the electoral &
financial outlook for Malaysia.
What the numbers tell us and what
conclusions to draw from it.
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5 THINGS:
1. BN cannot lose,2. They are in trouble. Solution:
push Malaysia into
bankruptcy,
3. IMF come in to clean up.
Blame IMF for the mess,
4. New Rat Race System starts.
5. You dont have to believe a
word that is said!
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Questions:
1. Where are we?
2. How did we get here?
3. Where are we headed?
4. How can we make it better?
RATIONALE BEHIND
TINDAKMALAYSIA.COM
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We supportthe Election Commission fulfilitsmandate to conduct electionsinafree and
fairmanner(Elections Act S 5 (1a)) suchthatitwillenjoypublic confidence. (Federal
Constitution Article 114)
A groupofcaring Malaysianscarrying out community service
through votereducation and
PACABA Trainin
g.
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Ourtraining is basedontheelection laws
andispolitically-neutral.
We arepro-Rakyat and accept any party
thatis votedinfreely andfairly.We believethat Power Corrupts, And
Absolute Power Corrupts Absolutely.
Wetakethepositionthattheremust bechecks and balances andthatnoone
party shouldholdtoomuchpower.
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Mobilephonetosilentmode,
Introduction,
Stickers, OutlineofProgramme andduration,
Expected results.
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Tindak Malaysia strategy:
Understand the principles ofpsychological warfare,
How is it used against us?
Develop self-defense measures.
Nations move in 50 to 60-year cycles!
When politicians hold power for toolong, they become arrogant, bullies
and corrupt! The ABCs of politics.
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Middle east:Their goalistoamassfortunesthroughallmeans,legalandillegal,live alife ofluxury,andpreserve theirdynastyinany waythatthey can (suchaspamperedintelligence and
militaryservices, cadresofcorrupt cronies,discriminatory governance todivide the citizenry,and costlyforeignsupport). The resultisthatthesecountrieshave beenfinanciallyplundered, withan
inhospitable business climate,anunderdevelopedprivate sectorandlittle economic andsocialprogress. http://atimes.com/atimes/Middle_East/ML22Ak02.html
9
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Politics
Economics
Social
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BN CANNOT LOSE,
ALTHOUGH BN WANTS THE
PEOPLE TO BELIEVE THEY CANLOSE!
Politics
Economics
Social
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STUDY HISTORY !
Year
Alliance Party/BN* Opposition Total
seatsSeats % seats % vote Seats % seats % vote
1959 74 71.15 51.7 30 28.85 48.3 104
1964 89 85.58 58.5 15 14.42 41.5 104
1969 95 65.97 49.3 49 34.03 50.7 144
1974 135 87.66 60.7 19 12.34 39.3 154
1978 130 84.42 57.2 24 15.58 42.8 154
1982 132 85.71 60.5 22 14.29 39.5 154
1986 148 83.62 55.8 29 16.38 41.5 177
1990 127 70.55 53.4 53 29.45 46.6 1801995 162 84.38 65.2 30 15.62 34.8 192
1999 148 76.68 56.5 45 23.32 43.5 193
2004 198 90.41 63.9 21 9.59 36.1 219
2008 140
62.61 5
2.2 82 36
.93 47.8 222
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BN
140MPs (63.1%)
8states
50.27%ofvotes
PR
82MPs (36.9%)
5states
46.75%ofvotes
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Malaysian_general_election,_2008
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Putra Jaya (BN)
Smallest
6608voters
Kapar (PKR)
Largest
112,224voters
Voters ratio = 1:17Eventhe2nd smallestseat, Lawas,has
15,7
17
, whichis2.4times larger
!
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1515
Selangor ConstituenciesSame DUN but
separated by landand sea
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N45 SELAT KELANGSame DUN but
separated by landand sea
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Four evenlymatcheddistricts
Redrawing ofboundariesto give
three-districtadvantage toParty2
Alldistrictsproduce an evenvotingratiofor eachparty
DistrictA,B,C votes 90%forParty2DistrictDvotes 90%forParty1
Party1 Party2SOURCE:http://www.comprofessor.com/2010/10/gerrymandering-through-corporate.html
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One Voter One Vote ?
Question: Dothe
Chinese & Indiansdecidefor a
simplemajority?
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DESIG
N:1st
112
seats:1.8
5million.2008, BN contested139seatsto win
112seats. 2.08million votes required
(19%).
Total voterpopulation: 10,922,140
Total Parliamentseats:222
Simplemajority: 112seats
Do you agreethat2million candecide
for28million?
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DESIGN:1st 112seats:1.85millionoutof10.9million.
Actually, contest1st 139seatstosecure112 wins:2.08
million votes required.
Can we allow 2milliontodecidefor28million?
Parliament222
seats.S
implemajority = 112seats
Total voterpopulation10,922,140
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Thesmallest112seats comefrom:
Sabah,incl Labuan: 26,
Sarawak: 25,Johor: 13,
Perak: 12,
Pahang: 8,
(Peninsular Malaysia: 61)
Forsimplemajority rule, rural Bumis decide.
Only for2/3majority,thenon-Bumis have a
say!
Seats can beincreased after Mar2011 but
need2/3majority. BN caneven create200
Putrajayas!
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Smallest 112 seats: Seat no. 1 - 28
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Smallest 112 seats: Seat no. 29 - 56
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Smallest 112 seats: Seat no. 57 - 84
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Smallest 112 seats: Seat no. 85 - 112
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Point No. 1: BN cannot lose.
Isthatthe reason wehavesuch blatant
corruption andinequality?
Is it a coincidence that the poorest
groups with the worst infrastructure,education and health-care facilities,
are the king-makers?
Is it a coincidence that the natives are
driven off their land to join the urban
poor?
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Its goodto
belong tothe
Ruling Class!
States withthehighestincidence
ofpoverty:Sabah & Sarawak
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Resultsofnotpaying attention:
Ruling Party enjoyed2/3majority for
morethan50 yearssince1957.
Consequences:700 Constitutional
amendmentssince1957.Compare withUS,234 yearsold:Only 27
Constitutional amendments.
Answer:Youhavetoprevent a 2/3majority to avoidtoomuchpowerinthe
handsofthe Ruling Party.
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21-06-1962, Constitutional Amendment:
Article116:Safeguardtomaintain voterdifferenceto lessthan15% removed.
Clauses (3), (4) and (5): Clauses wererepealed by Act 14/1962, sub-section 22
(c)
Source: (page197)
http://www.ilo.org/wcmsp5/groups/public/---ed_protect/---protrav/---
ilo_aids/documents/legaldocument/wcms_125966.pdf
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(4) Each State shall be divided into
constituencies in such manner that each
constituency contains a number of electors asnearly equal to the electoral quota of the State
as may be after making due allowance for the
distribution of the different communities and fordifferences in density of population and the
means of communication; but the allowance so
made shall not increase or reduce the number
of electors in any constituency to a number
differing from the electoral quota by more
than fifteen per cent.
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and for the purposes of this Article the
number of electors shall be taken tobe as shown on the current electoral
rolls and the population as counted at
the most recent census..
Clauses3,4 and5 were removed by a
Constitutional amendmenton21.02.1962
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The electorate in almost all seats will have tobe within 5% of 76,000 voters
34
Boundary CommissionforEngland
launchedon13
/0
9/11for consultationonnew constituency boundariesinEngland
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Basis
Variation in seat
sizes %
(standard
deviation)
Smallest seat
(as % of
average)
Largest seat (as
% of average
% of seats
within 5% of
national limit
(mean?)
% of seats
within 10% of
national limit
(mean?)
UK proposed
system -2015Electorate 2.2 29 105 99 99.5
USA -2002 Population 4.4 76 140 90 96
England
current
system - 2010
Electorate 8.6 77 153 44 79
Australia -2010 Electorate 9.1 64 132 67 87
UK current
system -2010Electorate 11.1 32 157 37 69
Canada -
2008Population 21.3 26 166 22 40
Jamaica -2007 Electorate 24.8 65 154 3 25
France -2007 Population - 7 163 - -
Malaysia
current
system
Electorate 13 228 6 17
http://www.lewisbaston.co.uk/2011/01/britain%E2%80%99s-unequally-sized-constituencies-are-a-non-existent-problem/
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Politics
Economics
Social
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Politics
Economics
Social
They start looking
for alternatives!
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CIVIL UNREST: When the poor are hungry
and angry, they have nothing left to lose !
39
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EGYPT
40
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Do we wantthis?
No!
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WE GO BANKRUPT BY
2013!
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BONDS: Thompson Reuters Eikon
DOMESTIC DEBT: Treasury Report
GLCs: Annual Accounts
CAUTION: There may be some double-counting due to
obscurity of some of the figures in the Treasury Report.
GLC & Domestic Debt Analysis: Credit to Lee Wee Tak
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NATIONAL
DEBT
Govt Bonds
USD 179.8 B
13.01.2011
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ScreenshotofThomson ReutersEikon
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NATIONAL DEBT GLCs
USD 19.5
Billion
GLC:Govt-
linked cos
USD Million
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DOMESTIC DEBT
USD 125.9 Billion USD 136 B
31st Dec
In3 years,
domestic debthas
goneup by 70%!
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TOTAL DEBT USD 331.4 B
TOTAL
DEBT/GDP:139.36%
Debt/GDP:Ireland Dec
2010:96%
Greece May
2010:134%
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TOTAL DEBT USD 331.4 B
WHERE IS THE MONEY COMING FROM?
MOST MONEY COME FROM THE STATES
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MOST MONEY COME FROM THE STATES
BUT THEY GET LESS THAN GLCs !
!
Treasury Report
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CAN IT GET WORSE?
Debt/GDP:139%, annual deficit:4 5%
Operating expenditureeatsup all revenue & pensionsdependon currentincome.
How cantheGovt afford giving out RM 500perhead? Whatsthesource?
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RM 200 vouchersfor1.3millionstudents:RM 260million,
One-offRM 100 aideachto5.3million
students: RM 530million.RM 500for3.4millionhouseholds: RM
1.8 billion,
Nowadays,projects go by the billionsinsteadofmillions.
Isthatthe reason why things areso
expensive?
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0.00%
2.00%4.00%
6.00%
8.00%
10.00%
12.00%
14.00%
16.00%
Bureaucracy as % ofPopulation
1.4M CivilServants,3 MRELA = 4.4M
How long canthis go
on?
Problem: Lowproductivity,poor work
attitude, corrupt,
entitlement-mentality.
Does a changeofgovtsolvetheseproblems?
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WHAT ARE THE PIIGS ?
P: Portugal
I: IrelandI: Italy
G:GreeceS:Spain
WHAT HAPPENS WHEN PIIGS DEFAULT ?
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WHAT HAPPENS WHEN PIIGS DEFAULT ?
THEY GET SLAUGHTERED !
Bond yields shoot sky-high Is that Malaysias fate ?
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GREECE
Bond-buyers have to take a hair-cut !
In lateOctober2011,euro-zone
governments calledonGreecetosecure
a 50% write-downonthedebtheld by
private creditors.
Must charge very highinteresttocompensate morethan100%!
Source:Wallstreet Journal
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Wehaveoil palm!
Wehaveoil & gas! Wehaveelectronics & electricals!
Wehavehighsavings rate EPF!
BUT MALAYSIA IS DIFFERENT !
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In2009 Robert Kuok hadtosell offhis
sugarmonopoly tosomepolitically-
linked businessmen.
How doesithurtus?
Robert Kuok invested inthe worlds
largestsugarmill in Australia.O
urinternational sugarprice wentup.
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SUGAR PRICE
International sugar
price goesdown
Domestic price goesup40
%although worldpricedropped!
Why ?
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Oil palm: Najib asked China toincreaseoil palm
importfrom Malaysia butnodeal. Why?
Robert Kuoks Arowana Cooking Oil controls
40%ofChina domestic oil palm refining Then Robert Kuok decidedtoinvest
USD 10 B inIndonesia oil palm. Thatsour
lowest-cost competitor! Will ithurtus?
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Oil & gas: We becomenetimporter by
2014,2015!
Govt demanding more andmore
money from Petronas.
Petronas triedtostoptheoutflow.
Soprevious CEOforcedout & replaced
with Najib nominee.
Ex-CEOnow working forSingapore.
WESTILL HAVEOIL
& GAS.
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Thisdependsonforeign countries.
Europeisinserioustrouble. Sos theUS.
Even China ishaving a housing bubble
andifherex
ports arehitforher biggestmarket (Europe),she will import less
from Malaysia.
Outlook doesnot look good.
WHAT ABOUT
ELECTRONICS &
ELECTRICALS?
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NOTHING CAN HAPPEN TO CHINA !
Property crashing - Chinese ghosttown:http://www.tindakmalaysia.com/showthread.php/1928-China-Crash-Coming-China-That-Urban-Empty-Feeling?highlight=china+ghost+cities
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The softlanding view foresees Chinese
centraltechnocratsresponding timely
with well-calibratedfiscalandmonetarypoliciesthatmaintain GDP growthofaround8%,the annualrate Beijing must
achieve toabsorbnew graduatesintothe workforce andkeepunemploymentmanageable.
66
Th h d l di i di h
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The hardlanding scenariopredictsthatanuncontrolledimplosionofthe property
market willunleash wavesofwealthdestruction,a credit crunchandconsumption collapse thatnoamountof
governmentintervention willbe able tomeaningfullyforestall.
SoutheastAsia willinevitablybe among the
worsthitbyasoftorhardlanding in China.
http://atimes.com/atimes/Southeast_Asia/ML22Ae02.html
67
OUR GOOD OLD EPF
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Malaysia cannot borrow cheaply from
international market as we areinthe
samesituation asGreece. Sothey tapintoEPF for cheapfunding.
By now 60%is gone!
Thatsour retirementsavings!
OUR GOOD OLD EPF
WILL SAVEUS!
Dont feel bad. Govts do this as a matter of routine when they
are in trouble.
http://malaysiatoday.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/11/EPF-in-
Trouble2.pdf
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IMPLICATIONS: INTERNATIONAL BAILOUT
Greeceoutlook: Look atGreecessituation
ExpulsionfromEU,
New currency withmassivedevaluation, Job loss,
Dropin wages,
Saleofstate assets,
Cost-cutting pensions,subsidies, civil
service, welfare aid, govt services,
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Petronas, banks andinsurance cosforcedto buy low interestGovt bonds,
Equivalent loansfrominternational
market will exceed10%interest,
LOCAL IMPLICATIONS
http://www.themalaysianinsider.com/malaysia/article/civil-
servants-fear-losing-jobs-in-iwk-restructure/
Restructuring anddown-sizing Govt,
slashpensions,subsidies, govt services.
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DO THE BUSINESS PEOPLE KNOW?
RM 39,000/person!
Highestinthe worldper capita!
GFIreports that
Malaysia lostUSD 338Billion (RM 1.08trillion)
from year2000 2009.
5th largestinthe world!
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How much is RM 1.08 Trillion?
Equal to RM 100
notesstacked all
the way from
Singaporeto
Phuket!
RM 540 B in5 years.
RM270
B forsmallest112seats.
3.698million voters.
Lossper voter:
RM73
,000
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Equal to RM 100
notesstacked all
the way fromSingaporeto
Phuket!
Capital flight
RM 150 B in2009,
24%ofGDP !
Wheredidthis
money comefrom ?
3x KL MRT
RM 250,000/family !
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An Amah in 1970 earned
more than a Graduate
today?!!0.39
0.4
0.41
0.42
0.43
0.44
0.45
0.46
0.47
0.48
1970Amah 2010 Graduate
Monthly Salary (oz of gold)
1970Amah
2010
Graduate
0.426
0.476 oz
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CASHINGOUT !PUSHING MALAYSIA TO
BANKRUPTCY!
DOOUR LEADERS KNOW ?
FELDA:
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Nevermind,they will findsomesuckersinthe KLSE
to buy theirsharesduring listing.
FELDA:
Dr. Tan Kee Kwong,ex-Dep MinofPrimary
Industries:In2001, FELDA had RM 4.5Bcash. They shouldmake RM 2 B per year.
By 2011they shouldhave RM 25B cash.
Instead,they oweEPF RM 6.5 B. Why ?
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KL MRT priced at12times
Beijing Shanghai HighSpeed Train.
Noteconomical sure bankrupt.
KLIA2: COST JUMPED FROM RM 1 6 B
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KLIA2: COST JUMPED FROM RM 1.6 B
TO RM 3.9 B WITH 1YEAR DELAY!
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Sg BesiAirport
land, worth RM
5.2 B butsoldforonly RM 1.6 B !
BEFORE THINGS FALL APART
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Regain2/3majority toshoreuptheirpowers,
Put all the lawsinplaceto control
dissent, Country goes bankrupt.
IMF invitedin,
Millions losetheir jobs, Civil servants chopped by 2/3,
BEFORE THINGS FALL APART
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PREPARING FOR UNREST !
Lawstosuppressdissent
Public Assembly Bill
Lawstoextractmoney fromthepublic:IRB Law,
New licensing laws,
Others ?
PREPARING FOR UNREST !
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Public Assembly Bill passedtopreparefor
repression by thepolice
PREPARING FOR UNREST !
As law-abiding citizens,itisourduty toobey the law.
Let all Malaysians stay home for1 week!
EVENTS OUTSIDE OUR CONTROL
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EVENTS OUTSIDE OUR CONTROL
SOVEREIGN DEFAULT: Italy,
Greece,
Spain, France,
UK,
US, China
WHAT ARE IN DANGER ?
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WHAT ARE IN DANGER ?
Banks, Commercial property & housing,
Borrowings andhigh-gearing for
businesses, Mortgagesforspeculativeinvestments,
Shares,
Mutual funds, EPF.
B k R
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Bank Runs
EXPORT MAIDS
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EXPORT MAIDS
& LABOUR
HYPER-
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HYPER-
INFLATION
Wh Will W E d U ??12 FACTORS OF A FAILED STATE
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Where Will We End Up??
1. Uneven development along grouplines,
2. Criminalization &/or delegitimisation of the State,
3. Progressive deterioration ofpublicservices,
4. Widespread violation of human rights,
5. Security apparatus as state within a state,
6. Riseoffactionalised elites
7. Demographic pressures,
8. Massive amount of refugees,
9. Legacy of vengeance-seeking groups over past grievances,
10. Chronic & sustained human flight,
11. Sharp & severe economic decline,
12. Intervention of other states or external factors.
12 FACTORS OF A FAILED STATE.
WE ARE HALF-WAY THERE
30 STAGES OF COLLAPSE
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30STAGESOF COLLAPSE
Public Assembly Bill
IS THERE HOPE ?
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IS THERE HOPE ?
1. Whennearing bankruptcy...
A countrysonly chanceofsurvival isforforeigninvestorsto bring money in.
Will they comeinifitsmanagementis
corrupt?2. Do you wanttohold corrupt leadersto
account?
3. There are198non-violentmethods http://www.aeinstein.org/organizations/org/
198_methods-1.pdf
1ST UNDERSTAND THE SYSTEM
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93Simplification:Usemental models!
1 UNDERSTAND THE SYSTEM
Study tindakmalaysia.com:
History
Religion
Psychology
Social Trends
Finance & economics
Politics Strategiesofnon-violentself-defense
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(Shrinking)
(expanding)
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UMNORebels
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ATTORNEY GENERALSOFFI
CE ELECTION COMMISSION (EC/SPR) IMMIGRATIONDEPT INLANDREVENUE BOARD (IRB)
JAKIM/M
UIS
JUDICIARY MACC MILITARY INTELLIGENCE/UNITTINDAKANKHAS
(UTK) POLICE/SPECIALBRANCH RELA ROS
97
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SYSTEMDEPENDSON CASH-FLOW
LOYALTY ISTOMONEY
SYSTEMBREAKSDOWN WHEN CASH-F
LOWSTOPS
98
HOW DOES THAT HAPPEN ?
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Leverage 100x
4 millionforeigners
Are bankssafe?
Are jobssafe?
http://www.imi.gov.my/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=524%3Ajumlah-statistik-pekerja-asing-sah-dan-pati-
yang-telah-didaftarkan-menerusi-program-6p-sehingga-18-ogos-2011&catid=1%3Aberita-terkini&lang=bm
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POLITICS
SOCIAL
ECONOMICS
X
STARVE
THE
BEAST
?
?
SYSTEM RESTS ON CONFIDENCE !
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SYSTEM RESTS ON CONFIDENCE !
CONFIDENCE
&TRUST
WHAT WE NEED !
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TheUS: A depressiondoes a lotofgood.
It wipesout badinvestments and
eliminates badspeculators. Itforces
capital intomoreproductive,more
profitableuses. It killsoffzombie
industries. It retires worn-outindustries
and reduces costssothatnew industries
can arise. Itsthe destructionthat
Schumpeters creativedestructionneeds.
2013 Economic cycle: 50 60 years !
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2013 - Economic cycle:50 60 years!
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Kondratieff_Wave.svg
HOW DO I PROTECT MYSELF ?
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Bank savings: Converttogold bullion,
Pensions: Withdraw ifpossible,
Stocks andmutual funds:Sell all,
Insurance:Giveitup,
Ta
xes: Minimizee
xposurethroughincorporation,
Commercial property:Sell, 104
HOW DO I PROTECT MYSELF ?
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Stock uponessentials, Food-growing land movetothe
countryside!
Housing: Sell. Keeponly 1tostay,
Businesses: Minimize loans,
Life-style: Cutdownonexpenditure,
Financial: Reducedebt,
PREPARING FOR A HARSH FUTURE
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Dont accept whateverissaidtoday.
Do youownduediligence.
Monitorfutureevents carefully and
compare with whatissaidtoday tosee
ifitmakessense.
Usethe knowledge wisely toprotect
yourselves, yourfamily & yourfriends.
Helpone another.
Our bestprotectionis National Unity.
FURTHER READING
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Banking & debt,simply-explained.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tGk5ioEXlIM&feature=player_embedded
Teh Chi Changs analysis:The Budget & itsShadow.
High Alert!
http://thedailybell.com/Public/Files/High%20Alert%20-
%203rd%20Edition(1).pdf
198 Ways To Bring Down A Dictatorship.
**** Tindakmalaysia.com ****
Tindak Malaysia
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Tindak Malaysia
Spreadthe word!
To befree:
Understandpsychological warfare,
Developself-defense techniques,Mental revolutionneededtotake action.
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